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Murcia vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 95-69
20-19 27-19 22-25 26-6
Position#6
Record3-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game85.6
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#7
Record2-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game84.2
SpainACBRound 6· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Murcia v Gran Canaria
14 Mar 2026
MUR87
GKA76
01 Dec 2024
MUR63
GKA83
21 Oct 2023
MUR95
GKA69
17 Dec 2022
MUR99
GKA85
10 Apr 2022
MUR86
GKA75
07 Nov 2020
MUR74
GKA78
26 May 2019
MUR v GKA
upcoming
14 Jan 2018
MUR84
GKA78
25 Jan 2017
MUR67
GKA83
29 Oct 2016
MUR57
GKA76
20 Dec 2015
MUR71
GKA75
30 Dec 2014
MUR85
GKA89
16 Feb 2014
MUR71
GKA78
18 Nov 2012
MUR97
GKA99
07 Mar 2012
MUR76
GKA60
27 Dec 2009
MUR86
GKA83
30 Apr 2009
MUR72
GKA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
65-60
65
60
+5
57avg 69
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
67-55
67
55
+12
59avg 69
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
57-86
57
86
-29
36avg 69
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
67avg 69
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
no box
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
88-76
88
76
+12
79avg 69
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 69
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
53avg 69
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
88avg 69
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 69
A18/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
18-12
20-8
11-25
18-7
12-17
19-17
18-14
15-23
11-18
18-21
13-24
20-20
17-21
19-19
18-19
24-25
15-15
18-17
19-19
18-13
20-11
23-24
27-28
19-17
10-20
26-20
25-11
10-12
14-28
22-13
22-24
22-15
15-27
25-39
30-25
25-22
17-19
16-14
16-23
155.5Avg total
76.9Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.485.6172.0+0.860%
Season at home (2)84.072.0156.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)88.094.7182.7-6.733%
Last 10 (10)76.978.6155.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)80.481.0161.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.591.6172.1-11.130%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.277.4160.6+5.971%
vs Weaker (5)79.281.6160.8-2.440%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
68-95
68
95
-27
55avg 79
A28/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 79
H31/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
W
97-92
97
92
+5
95avg 79
H24/09
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
64-88
64
88
-24
52avg 79
A28/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 79
A01/10
ACB
Aris
#11
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 79
A04/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#2
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 79
H08/10
ACB
Ulm
#9
W
111-82
111
82
+29
112avg 79
H11/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
67avg 79
H15/10
ACB
Trento
#16
W
87-73
87
73
+14
84avg 79
A18/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
12-29
22-19
21-25
18-21
19-18
19-28
25-22
22-24
17-20
38-22
20-26
15-32
15-20
16-20
18-16
16-28
26-15
14-21
19-25
20-28
18-7
19-20
25-11
21-22
25-14
12-22
18-11
30-16
32-20
22-32
27-14
14-18
23-14
22-24
14-27
31-20
13-21
18-23
25-9
164.0Avg total
81.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.084.2161.2-7.240%
Season at home (3)82.081.3163.3+0.767%
Season away (2)69.588.5158.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)81.482.6164.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)85.874.6160.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.988.1166.0-10.314%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.582.5169.0+4.083%
vs Weaker (17)84.477.7162.1+6.771%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.6+2.6
MurciaGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A07/05
ACB
Bilbao
#12
W
30-24
30
24
+6
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A24/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H16/09
Supercopa ACB
Granada
#17
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A23/09
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H27/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H30/09
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A08/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/10
ACB
Tortona
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
Champions League
69.3Avg total
33.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.375.1-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.135.674.6+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)34.840.875.6-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)33.635.769.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.870.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.041.878.8-4.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.934.872.7+3.171%-
vs Weaker (5)33.240.874.0-7.620%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#3
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A28/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H31/05
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H24/09
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A28/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A01/10
ACB
Aris
#11
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/10
Eurocup
Unicaja
#2
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/10
ACB
Ulm
#9
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H11/10
Eurocup
Barcelona
#3
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H15/10
ACB
Trento
#16
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A18/10
Eurocup
80.9Avg total
40.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.181.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.538.983.5+5.659%-
Last 30 away (13)36.241.677.8-5.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.980.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.081.4+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.043.980.9-6.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.338.782.0+4.750%-
vs Weaker (17)41.639.180.7+2.659%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.6
48.6%
53.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.4
27.2%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.112.4
72.5%
75.6%12.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.9
55.4%
53.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.913.7
68.8%
75.6%13.7
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLLWWWLLWW
Gran Canaria
WLWWWLLWLL
#6
League position
#7
-0.4
Net rating
-1.6
97.4
Offensive rating
107.5
97.8
Defensive rating
109.1
45.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
18.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.2%
3-point %
35.1%
55.9%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 107.5Defence97.8 · 109.1Shooting45.5% · 54.2%3-point %27.2% · 35.1%Ball care16.8% · 18.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murcia wins
6
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Gran Canaria v Murcia107-89
17/12/22Murcia v Gran Canaria99-85
10/04/22Murcia v Gran Canaria86-75
27/12/21Gran Canaria v Murcia83-100
02/05/21Gran Canaria v Murcia91-81
07/11/20Murcia v Gran Canaria74-78
20/01/19Gran Canaria v Murcia90-82
15/04/18Gran Canaria v Murcia83-71
14/01/18Murcia v Gran Canaria84-78
07/05/17Gran Canaria v Murcia74-64
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23ATortona74-78
15/10/23AReal Madrid92-106
08/10/23ABilbao68-77
30/09/23HTenerife80-68
27/09/23HBaskonia88-76
23/09/23AGranada104-101 OT
16/09/23HUnicaja74-79
24/05/23ABarcelona57-86
14/05/23HBilbao67-55
07/05/23ABreogan65-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23ATrento87-73
15/10/23HBarcelona73-83
11/10/23HUlm111-82
08/10/23HUnicaja76-69
04/10/23AAris82-66
01/10/23AJoventut Badalona75-89
28/09/23ABasquet Girona64-88
24/09/23HManresa97-92
31/05/23HReal Madrid81-89
28/05/23AReal Madrid68-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game86.484.088.0
Allowed / game85.672.094.7
Point differential+0.8+12.0-6.7
Avg total172.0156.0182.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game77.082.069.5
Allowed / game84.281.388.5
Point differential-7.2+0.7-19.0
Avg total161.2163.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%96.080.6+15.4
2 Baskonia54180%86.280.0+6.2
3 Barcelona54180%86.481.6+4.8
4 Valencia54180%81.477.8+3.6
5 Bilbao54180%83.280.6+2.6
6 Basquet Girona53260%83.882.4+1.4
7 Murcia53260%86.485.6+0.8
8 Manresa53260%88.488.4+0.0
9 MoraBanc Andorra63350%82.783.7-1.0
10 Joventut Badalona63350%84.087.7-3.7
11 Unicaja52340%89.684.8+4.8
12 Obradoiro CAB52340%81.878.2+3.6
13 Tenerife52340%79.283.8-4.6
14 Gran Canaria52340%77.084.2-7.2
15 Basket Zaragoza51420%79.487.8-8.4
16 Palencia61517%75.880.2-4.3
17 Breogan61517%72.077.2-5.2
18 Granada5050%89.295.2-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2027222695
Gran Canaria191925669
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