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Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 May 2019
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-82
18-19 19-20 19-24 24-19
Position#14
Record9-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#1
Record22-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game78.5
SpainACBRound 28
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Murcia v Real Madrid
31 Jan 2027
MUR v MAD
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
MUR80
MAD91
03 Nov 2024
MUR64
MAD85
12 Jun 2024
MUR73
MAD84
14 Jan 2024
MUR73
MAD61
12 Feb 2023
MUR80
MAD88
19 Dec 2021
MUR71
MAD80
07 Mar 2021
MUR58
MAD74
02 May 2019
MUR80
MAD82
12 May 2018
MUR61
MAD63
05 Feb 2017
MUR61
MAD89
29 May 2016
MUR91
MAD87
03 Apr 2016
MUR99
MAD104
22 Mar 2015
MUR86
MAD79
27 Oct 2013
MUR81
MAD88
04 Nov 2012
MUR64
MAD79
08 Jan 2012
MUR60
MAD91
07 Feb 2010
MUR67
MAD96
15 Mar 2009
MUR77
MAD88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
71-70
71
70
+1
no box
H03/03
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
A06/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
65-89
65
89
-24
80avg 96
A10/03
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
W
78-77
78
77
+1
no box
H13/03
Champions League
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
116-94
116
94
+22
131avg 96
H17/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
110-86
110
86
+24
no box
A24/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
93-101
93
101
-8
83avg 96
A31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 96
H07/04
ACB
Tenerife
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
96-86
96
86
+10
77avg 96
A28/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
21-15
16-16
21-21
12-23
19-22
20-14
16-16
15-18
11-20
24-25
15-26
26-19
16-18
19-16
17-24
26-16
28-26
33-20
29-32
32-17
28-27
29-19
21-23
24-18
23-27
24-31
22-25
16-24
22-19
17-23
20-20
21-19
15-11
11-31
29-22
31-20
20-26
21-21
24-19
169.4Avg total
84.7Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.382.4160.7-4.032%
Season at home (13)78.277.2155.3+1.046%
Season away (15)78.586.9165.3-8.420%
Last 10 (10)84.784.7169.4+0.050%
Last 5 (5)90.088.4178.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.983.1158.0-8.211%
vs Similar (16)83.481.8165.1+1.656%
vs Weaker (5)72.261.2133.4+11.0100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 111
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 111
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 111
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 111
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 111
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 111
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 111
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
78-63
78
63
+15
79avg 111
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
89avg 111
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
W
94-89
94
89
+5
90avg 111
H27/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
23-28
17-17
19-20
14-32
19-13
20-14
21-14
22-22
27-18
26-19
16-23
27-25
10-21
23-20
26-27
14-18
13-17
24-14
26-22
20-22
25-21
26-13
23-14
21-17
22-18
15-17
17-20
21-8
14-18
26-15
17-22
23-18
13-23
22-17
31-24
24-24
15-22
33-16
22-27
161.1Avg total
83.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)88.278.5166.8+9.779%
Season at home (15)90.677.7168.3+12.987%
Season away (13)85.579.5165.0+5.969%
Last 10 (10)83.477.7161.1+5.780%
Last 5 (5)86.075.2161.2+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)85.882.0167.8+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.678.6164.2+7.075%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +7.0+7.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
MurciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H03/03
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A10/03
ACB
Antwerp Giants
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H13/03
Champions League
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H17/03
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A24/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A31/03
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/04
ACB
Tenerife
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A28/04
ACB
82.2Avg total
41.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.274.5+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.334.273.5+5.162%-
Last 30 away (17)37.537.875.2-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.382.2+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.688.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.635.868.3-3.233%-
vs Similar (16)41.839.281.1+2.656%-
vs Weaker (5)37.227.464.6+9.880%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A23/04
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H27/04
ACB
78.6Avg total
38.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.581.6+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.840.383.1+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.680.0+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.277.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.240.682.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.839.581.3+2.354%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.5
50.2%
52.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.7
40.7%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.813.1
69.7%
74.6%13.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.1
53.9%
52.5%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.2
35.3%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.7%
74.6%16.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLLWWWLLW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWLWWL
#14
League position
#1
-2.3
Net rating
+8.3
114.2
Offensive rating
112.7
116.5
Defensive rating
104.4
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.7%
3-point %
35.3%
52.7%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 112.7Defence116.5 · 104.4Shooting55.5% · 53.4%3-point %40.7% · 35.3%Ball care17.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 30.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Murcia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murcia wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
23/12/18Real Madrid v Murcia80-74
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
16/10/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-86
31/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-72
29/05/16Murcia v Real Madrid91-87
27/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia107-103
03/04/16Murcia v Real Madrid99-104 OT
06/12/15Real Madrid v Murcia101-80
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/19AManresa96-86
13/04/19ATenerife76-83
07/04/19HBaskonia75-86
31/03/19AFuenlabrada93-101
24/03/19AEstudiantes110-86
17/03/19HTecnyconta Zaragoza116-94
13/03/19HAntwerp Giants78-77
10/03/19AValencia65-89
06/03/19AAntwerp Giants67-75
03/03/19HBarcelona71-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/19HBreogan94-89
23/04/19APanathinaikos89-82
19/04/19HPanathinaikos78-63
17/04/19HPanathinaikos75-72
14/04/19HObradoiro CAB94-70
07/04/19AGran Canaria77-71
04/04/19HZalgiris Kaunas86-93
31/03/19ATenerife91-82
28/03/19APanathinaikos74-73
24/03/19HBarcelona76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW32%
HomeLLWWL46%
AwayLWLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %32%46%20%
Points / game78.378.278.5
Allowed / game82.477.286.9
Point differential-4.0+1.0-8.4
Avg total160.7155.3165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW79%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %79%87%69%
Points / game88.290.685.5
Allowed / game78.577.779.5
Point differential+9.7+12.9+5.9
Avg total166.8168.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2823582%87.676.4+11.3
2 Real Madrid2822679%88.278.5+9.7
3 Baskonia2821775%86.474.2+12.2
4 Valencia29191066%81.878.4+3.4
5 Unicaja30181260%83.882.0+1.8
6 Manresa29161355%81.682.4-0.8
7 Joventut Badalona30161453%80.580.1+0.4
8 Tecnyconta Zaragoza29151452%83.285.7-2.5
9 Tenerife30151550%80.978.9+2.0
10 MoraBanc Andorra29131645%83.183.1+0.0
11 San Pablo Burgos29131645%82.583.2-0.7
12 Gran Canaria29111838%82.884.7-1.9
13 Obradoiro CAB29111838%78.282.1-3.8
14 Fuenlabrada29111838%82.189.8-7.7
15 Estudiantes30102033%82.687.2-4.6
16 Murcia2891932%78.382.4-4.0
17 Gipuzkoa2992031%75.682.4-6.9
18 Breogan2992031%76.683.5-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1819192480
Real Madrid1920241982
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