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Murcia vs Leyma Coruna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-81
18-17 19-23 26-18 25-23
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game96.0
Murcia 🏆
Spain
vs
Leyma Coruna
Spain
Position#15
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game105.5
SpainACBRound 5· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Murcia v Leyma Coruna
24 Oct 2026
MUR88
LKO81
24 May 2025
MUR105
LKO93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.21
Implied81.5%
Edge-
Leyma Coruna winLost
-no forecast
Best odds5.20
Implied18.5%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
W
116-95
116
95
+21
109avg 81
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
68-91
68
91
-23
51avg 81
H02/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
80avg 81
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
76-100
76
100
-24
60avg 81
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 81
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 81
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
85-58
85
58
+27
89avg 81
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
64avg 81
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
86-67
86
67
+19
80avg 81
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
93-116
93
116
-23
78avg 81
A18/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
35-17
28-23
30-26
14-16
16-30
22-20
16-25
22-18
21-22
24-26
23-21
17-27
19-25
25-27
15-21
16-22
17-14
19-16
25-32
18-18
28-28
24-27
30-21
16-8
23-14
27-20
19-16
13-16
20-28
24-22
20-24
15-17
19-15
32-23
20-12
14-25
22-33
24-28
33-30
175.0Avg total
86.8Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.896.0182.8-9.225%
Season at home (2)88.592.0180.5-3.550%
Season away (2)85.0100.0185.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)86.888.2175.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)88.285.0173.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.7105.3190.0-20.70%
vs Similar (7)89.493.9183.3-4.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)91.180.5171.6+10.590%
This opponent (Leyma Coruna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leyma CorunaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCoruna
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
92avg 84
H14/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 84
H17/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
74avg 84
A22/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
87-76
87
76
+11
78avg 84
A24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
77avg 84
H06/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
90avg 84
A07/06
Primera FEB
Barcelona
#7
L
101-119
101
119
-18
97avg 84
A26/09
ACB
Bilbao
#8
W
104-101 OT
104
101
+3
91avg 84
H04/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
51avg 84
H10/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
90-110
90
110
-20
82avg 84
A18/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
23-22
18-15
32-19
20-23
18-19
17-16
26-18
21-15
23-23
9-16
21-20
21-7
28-22
19-20
19-27
20-16
18-24
28-21
26-20
12-6
24-28
21-31
23-15
18-22
29-30
32-33
22-34
22-18
24-27
23-22
22-24
17-23
11-29
22-15
21-25
23-28
25-25
28-21
14-36
180.9Avg total
90.1Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.5105.5197.0-14.025%
Season at home (2)87.596.5184.0-9.050%
Season away (2)95.5114.5210.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)90.190.8180.9-0.760%
Last 5 (5)93.2103.8197.0-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)91.8101.4193.2-9.620%
vs Similar (3)89.796.7186.3-7.033%
vs Weaker (22)89.776.8166.5+12.991%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 177.5Actual: Under 177.5
Over 177.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under 177.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.51
Under
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
Marathon Be
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Over/Under 182.5 · main lineActual: Under 182.5
Over 182.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
Under 182.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
Betano
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathon Be
1.90
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
Over/Under 187.5Actual: Under 187.5
Over 187.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
Under 187.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Marathon Be
1.51
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Murcia total 92.5Actual: Murcia under 92.5
Over 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under 92.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.47
Murcia total 96.5 · main lineActual: Murcia under 96.5
Over 96.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under 96.5
no forecast
@ 1.86
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Murcia total 100.5Actual: Murcia under 100.5
Over 100.5
no forecast
@ 2.52
Under 100.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Under
Betano
1.42
Leyma Coruna total 81.5Actual: Leyma Coruna under 81.5
Over 81.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
Under 81.5
no forecast
@ 2.62
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Under
Betano
2.62
Leyma Coruna total 85.5 · main lineActual: Leyma Coruna under 85.5
Over 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Under
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.91
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Bet365
1.83
Leyma Coruna total 89.5Actual: Leyma Coruna under 89.5
Over 89.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
Under 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Under
Betano
1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Murcia -13.5Actual: Leyma Coruna +13.5
MUR -13.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
LKO +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
Best 5 market prices
MUR
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.37
Marathon Be
2.31
1xBet
2.31
LKO
Betano
1.55
Marathon Be
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Spread Murcia -10.5 · main lineActual: Leyma Coruna +10.5
MUR -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
LKO +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
Best 5 market prices
MUR
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathon Be
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.90
LKO
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Spread Murcia -7.5Actual: Leyma Coruna +7.5
MUR -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
LKO +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Best 5 market prices
MUR
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Be
1.57
1xBet
1.57
LKO
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.27
Marathon Be
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Bet365
2.12

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
MurciaLeyma Coruna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A04/06
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H06/06
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
ACB
Barcelona
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H04/10
ACB
Varese
#36
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/10
Champions League
Tenerife
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H11/10
ACB
Bamberg
#53
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A14/10
Champions League
Valencia
#2
L
36-58
36
58
-22
A18/10
ACB
81.0Avg total
38.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)42.841.283.9+1.663%30%
Last 30 at home (15)42.840.983.7+1.967%27%
Last 30 away (15)42.741.584.2+1.360%33%
Last 10 (10)38.842.281.0-3.440%30%
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.052.388.3-16.30%67%
vs Similar (7)42.343.986.1-1.643%29%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)44.038.582.5+5.480%25%
This opponent (Leyma Coruna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leyma CorunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H14/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H17/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A22/05
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#8
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A24/05
Primera FEB
Palencia
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H06/06
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A07/06
Primera FEB
Barcelona
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A26/09
ACB
Bilbao
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H04/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#6
L
28-52
28
52
-24
H10/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/10
ACB
83.9Avg total
41.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 89
Last 30 (30)43.638.482.0+5.270%20%
Last 30 at home (15)43.837.781.5+6.173%13%
Last 30 away (15)43.439.182.5+4.367%27%
Last 10 (10)41.742.283.9-0.550%30%
Last 5 (5)41.047.288.2-6.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.447.689.0-6.240%60%
vs Similar (3)40.746.787.3-6.00%33%
vs Weaker (22)44.535.179.6+9.486%9%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Leyma Coruna win
MUR win
no forecast
@ 1.36
LKO win
no forecast
@ 3.76
1st half Spread Murcia -6 · main lineActual: Leyma Coruna +6
MUR -6
no forecast
@ 1.95
LKO +6
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 89 · main lineActual: Under 89
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Murcia 1st half total 46.5 · main lineActual: Murcia under 46.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.05
Leyma Coruna 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Leyma Coruna under 41
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
1st half: MUR + total 88.5
MUR & over
no forecast
@ 2.75
MUR & under
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half: Draw + total 88.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: LKO + total 88.5
LKO & over
no forecast
@ 6.00
LKO & under
no forecast
@ 5.75
1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Under 87.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 2.14
1st half Over/Under 90.5Actual: Under 90.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Murcia -5Actual: Leyma Coruna +5
MUR -5
no forecast
@ 1.83
LKO +5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Spread Murcia -7.5Actual: Leyma Coruna +7.5
MUR -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
LKO +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Murcia -4Actual: Leyma Coruna +4
MUR -4
no forecast
@ 1.80
LKO +4
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.64
Under
no forecast
@ 2.35
1st half Over/Under 92.5Actual: Under 92.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Murcia (regulation)
MUR
no forecast
@ 1.40
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.00
LKO
no forecast
@ 3.74

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
MUR win + total 182.5
🔒 Pro
LKO win + total 182.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MUR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LKO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (MUR:LKO): MUR wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.6
52.5%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.8
33.1%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
75.7%17.2
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leyma Corunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leyma Coruna: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.1
51.3%
55.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.5
33.3%
36.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws26.420.4
77.3%
75.7%20.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LWLWWLLWLW
Leyma Coruna
LLWLWWWLWW
#10
League position
#15
-1.6
Net rating
-0.5
98.2
Offensive rating
107.8
99.8
Defensive rating
108.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
13.6%
Turnover %
7.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.1%
3-point %
33.3%
52.0%
Assist %
57.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 107.8Defence99.8 · 108.2Shooting51.2% · 50.7%3-point %33.1% · 33.3%Ball care13.6% · 7.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Leyma Coruna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
0
Leyma Coruna wins
DateGameScore
24/05/25Murcia v Leyma Coruna105-93
18/01/25Leyma Coruna v Murcia78-86
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26AValencia93-116
14/10/26ABamberg86-67
11/10/26HTenerife77-90
07/10/26HVarese85-58
04/10/26HBarcelona100-94
27/09/26ABasquet Girona77-84
06/06/26HBarcelona76-100
04/06/26ABarcelona90-87
02/06/26HBarcelona68-91
29/05/26HForca Lleida116-95
Leyma Corunalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ABasquet Girona90-110
10/10/26HBasket Zaragoza71-92
04/10/26HBilbao104-101 OT
26/09/26ABarcelona101-119
07/06/26AEstudiantes100-97 OT
06/06/26HPalencia92-81
24/05/26AHestia Menorca87-76
22/05/26AHestia Menorca82-85 OT
17/05/26HHestia Menorca81-76
14/05/26HHestia Menorca93-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game86.888.585.0
Allowed / game96.092.0100.0
Point differential-9.2-3.5-15.0
Avg total182.8180.5185.0
Over 182.550%50%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leyma Coruna
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game91.587.595.5
Allowed / game105.596.5114.5
Point differential-14.0-9.0-19.0
Avg total197.0184.0210.0
Over 182.575%50%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid440100%110.590.2+20.2
2 Baskonia43175%96.582.5+14.0
3 Breogan43175%107.099.8+7.2
4 Tenerife43175%83.077.5+5.5
5 Basket Zaragoza43175%91.086.5+4.5
6 Obradoiro CAB43175%91.890.0+1.8
7 Valencia42250%99.892.2+7.5
8 Joventut Badalona42250%96.591.8+4.8
9 Unicaja42250%84.581.2+3.2
10 Barcelona42250%97.8100.0-2.2
11 Bilbao42250%97.0100.5-3.5
12 Basquet Girona42250%91.0100.0-9.0
13 San Pablo Burgos52340%89.887.0+2.8
14 Forca Lleida41325%93.298.5-5.2
15 MoraBanc Andorra41325%88.095.0-7.0
16 Murcia41325%86.896.0-9.2
17 Leyma Coruna41325%91.5105.5-14.0
18 Manresa5050%84.6102.2-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1819262588
Leyma Coruna1723182381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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