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Murcia vs Nizhny Novgorod Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-90 (OT)
17-17 14-23 20-12 22-21 21-17
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game68.5
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record10-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game71.9
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nizhny Novgorod winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H30/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
73-88
73
88
-15
H03/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A06/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
20-12
9-14
12-15
19-25
18-16
25-29
20-19
16-20
13-15
32-16
20-16
22-18
19-17
20-21
19-15
19-14
23-20
15-21
18-10
13-13
17-11
16-19
21-18
8-18
22-24
26-16
18-22
13-10
22-20
14-26
24-22
23-23
20-21
18-24
12-20
14-31
13-12
17-18
24-27
148.5Avg total
73.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.968.5144.5+7.482%
Season at home (4)78.874.5153.2+4.275%
Season away (7)74.365.1139.4+9.186%
Last 10 (10)73.674.9148.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)71.079.0150.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.282.3153.6-11.111%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.669.6143.3+4.064%
vs Weaker (10)78.271.4149.6+6.880%
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
A17/11
VTB United League
Ludwigsburg
#43
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H21/11
Champions League
Saratov
#11
L
75-98
75
98
-23
H07/12
VTB United League
Avellino
#25
W
92-71
92
71
+21
A12/12
Champions League
Khimki M.
#3
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A16/12
VTB United League
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H18/12
Champions League
BC Samara
#19
W
86-64
86
64
+22
A20/12
Russian Cup
Parma Perm
#12
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
H23/12
VTB United League
BC Samara
#19
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H28/12
Russian Cup
Astana
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H06/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
14-15
15-21
19-24
19-25
20-14
16-19
19-18
16-15
20-22
13-36
26-25
24-16
19-14
30-24
19-17
25-24
19-16
24-25
25-15
26-13
20-17
20-18
20-14
23-22
24-7
19-16
20-19
21-18
12-20
22-17
19-19
13-22
22-20
15-15
22-14
21-21
29-14
21-19
14-24
161.4Avg total
82.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.671.9151.5+7.767%
Season at home (8)79.572.4151.9+7.150%
Season away (7)79.771.3151.0+8.486%
Last 10 (10)82.778.7161.4+4.070%
Last 5 (5)85.874.6160.4+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.981.6158.5-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.278.2151.5-5.050%
vs Weaker (14)86.976.3163.2+10.679%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
MurciaNizhny Novgorod
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H30/12
ACB
Estudiantes
#16
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H03/01
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#9
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/01
ACB
71.7Avg total
35.6Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.236.272.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.335.272.5+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)35.237.172.3-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)35.636.171.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.669.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.240.073.2-6.822%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.536.072.5+0.545%-
vs Weaker (10)38.533.071.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/11
VTB United League
Ludwigsburg
#43
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H21/11
Champions League
Saratov
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/12
VTB United League
Avellino
#25
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A12/12
Champions League
Khimki M.
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A16/12
VTB United League
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H18/12
Champions League
BC Samara
#19
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A20/12
Russian Cup
Parma Perm
#12
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/12
VTB United League
BC Samara
#19
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H28/12
Russian Cup
Astana
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H06/01
VTB United League
76.7Avg total
40.3Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.275.8+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.836.775.5+2.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.335.776.1+4.667%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.476.7+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.877.0+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.140.177.2-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.235.173.4+3.138%-
vs Weaker (14)41.734.676.4+7.179%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.6
47.6%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.7
35.6%
34.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws17.812.0
67.4%
73.8%12.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nizhny Novgorodtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Murcia wins
0
Nizhny Novgorod wins
DateGameScore
23/10/18Nizhny Novgorod v Murcia51-72
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19ATecnyconta Zaragoza68-88
03/01/19HEstudiantes73-88
30/12/18HJoventut Badalona73-78
23/12/18AReal Madrid74-80
19/12/18AVentspils67-61
16/12/18HFuenlabrada75-65
12/12/18ALe Mans80-71
08/12/18AGipuzkoa81-67
24/11/18AUnicaja82-89
20/11/18ABanvit63-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HAstana85-78
28/12/18HBC Samara72-71
23/12/18HParma Perm100-98 OT
20/12/18ABC Samara86-64
18/12/18HAnwil Wloclawek86-62
16/12/18AKhimki M.93-80
12/12/18AAvellino92-71
07/12/18HSaratov75-98
21/11/18HLudwigsburg74-76
17/11/18AUnics Kazan64-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %82%75%86%
Points / game75.978.874.3
Allowed / game68.574.565.1
Point differential+7.4+4.2+9.1
Avg total144.5153.2139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nizhny Novgorod
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%50%86%
Points / game79.679.579.7
Allowed / game71.972.471.3
Point differential+7.7+7.1+8.4
Avg total151.5151.9151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%38%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife109190%81.667.3+14.3
2 Murcia119282%75.968.5+7.4
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem108280%87.576.4+11.1
4 AEK Athens108280%80.275.5+4.7
5 Virtus Bologna97278%86.176.3+9.8
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Venezia107370%86.080.3+5.7
9 Bamberg107370%83.680.0+3.6
10 Promitheas107370%83.281.0+2.2
11 Avellino107370%84.583.1+1.4
12 Nizhny Novgorod1510567%79.671.9+7.7
13 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
14 Antwerp Giants149564%82.678.9+3.8
15 Banvit106460%81.274.3+6.9
16 PAOK106460%80.376.5+3.8
17 Hapoel Holon106460%82.680.0+2.6
18 Strasbourg106460%76.374.4+1.9
19 Nanterre116555%83.072.7+10.3
20 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
21 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
22 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
23 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
24 Besiktas105550%76.177.4-1.3
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Oostende105550%75.380.8-5.5
30 Bonn94544%85.187.0-1.9
31 Fribourg Olympic167944%78.882.4-3.6
32 Bayreuth125742%78.675.8+2.8
33 Neptunas104640%82.983.4-0.5
34 Anwil Wloclawek104640%79.681.6-2.0
35 Le Mans104640%72.275.7-3.5
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Lietkabelis103730%74.877.9-3.1
38 Dijon103730%75.779.5-3.8
39 Nymburk103730%77.082.2-5.2
40 Ventspils103730%77.683.6-6.0
41 Fuenlabrada103730%75.884.0-8.2
42 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
43 Ludwigsburg102820%76.183.2-7.1
44 Petrol Olimpija91811%75.183.7-8.6
45 Opava101910%73.493.1-19.7
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Murcia171420222194
Nizhny Novgorod172312211790
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