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Real Madrid vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-74
18-8 24-22 16-26 22-18
Position#1
Record9-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game77.9
Real Madrid 🏆
Spain
vs
Murcia
Spain
Position#14
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game76.9
SpainACBRound 13
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Real Madrid v Murcia
08 Nov 2026
MAD90
MUR71
03 May 2026
MAD131
MUR123
09 Mar 2025
MAD80
MUR75
10 Jun 2024
MAD79
MUR63
08 Jun 2024
MAD84
MUR76
15 Feb 2024
MAD84
MUR79
15 Oct 2023
MAD106
MUR92
20 Nov 2022
MAD93
MUR57
11 May 2022
MAD90
MUR69
02 Feb 2021
MAD98
MUR87
23 Dec 2018
MAD80
MUR74
10 Dec 2017
MAD87
MUR85
16 Oct 2016
MAD93
MUR86
31 May 2016
MAD93
MUR72
27 May 2016
MAD107
MUR103
06 Dec 2015
MAD101
MUR80
16 Nov 2014
MAD90
MUR65
15 Mar 2014
MAD102
MUR65
03 Mar 2013
MAD86
MUR69
29 Apr 2012
MAD80
MUR79
25 Oct 2009
MAD73
MUR66
14 Dec 2008
MAD70
MUR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
W
89-76
89
76
+13
122avg 119
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
83-88
83
88
-5
117avg 119
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
69-86
69
86
-17
97avg 119
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
88-93
88
93
-5
109avg 119
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
118avg 119
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
87-63
87
63
+24
119avg 119
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
92-65
92
65
+27
120avg 119
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
71-84
71
84
-13
100avg 119
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
89-68
89
68
+21
122avg 119
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
82-72
82
72
+10
109avg 119
A21/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
25-15
15-14
27-19
22-29
19-23
24-13
18-23
19-20
17-19
23-24
10-23
20-24
21-14
20-29
27-26
23-23
22-29
15-22
24-8
17-20
23-11
25-15
22-17
22-17
31-13
16-20
23-15
21-20
13-25
13-25
24-14
23-10
20-21
20-24
26-13
27-16
19-15
19-28
17-13
161.1Avg total
83.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.777.9166.6+10.875%
Season at home (7)93.677.4171.0+16.186%
Season away (5)81.878.6160.4+3.260%
Last 10 (10)83.477.7161.1+5.760%
Last 5 (5)84.270.4154.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)84.084.8168.8-0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.775.9165.6+13.888%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A06/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
73-105
73
105
-32
97avg 102
A11/11
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
L
80-81
80
81
-1
no box
A13/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
80-58
80
58
+22
110avg 102
H18/11
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
63-62
63
62
+1
no box
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
106avg 102
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
107avg 102
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
80-71
80
71
+9
no box
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
104avg 102
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
67-61
67
61
+6
no box
A19/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-23
20-12
28-19
17-25
20-19
24-24
12-37
23-21
18-20
23-17
16-23
18-16
23-13
21-17
18-12
22-21
20-12
9-14
12-15
19-25
18-16
25-29
20-19
16-20
13-15
32-16
20-16
22-18
19-17
20-21
19-15
19-14
23-20
15-21
18-10
13-13
17-11
16-19
21-18
149.5Avg total
76.8Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.776.9150.6-3.245%
Season at home (6)75.069.0144.0+6.067%
Season away (5)72.286.4158.6-14.220%
Last 10 (10)76.872.7149.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)77.070.6147.6+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.483.8156.1-11.412%
vs Similar (10)74.466.7141.1+7.770%
vs Weaker (12)78.473.2151.7+5.275%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
Real MadridMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H20/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/11
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H09/12
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H13/12
Euroleague
Breogan
#18
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/12
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A21/12
Euroleague
81.8Avg total
42.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.083.6+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.537.684.1+8.988%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.783.1+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.281.8+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.676.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)40.841.882.6-1.040%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.538.784.2+6.975%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A06/11
Champions League
Barcelona
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/11
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#43
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H18/11
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A19/12
Champions League
73.2Avg total
37.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.135.272.3+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)36.437.273.6-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)37.935.373.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.833.869.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.441.976.2-7.512%-
vs Similar (10)36.634.971.5+1.750%-
vs Weaker (12)38.333.772.0+4.775%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.2
55.7%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.3
37.5%
36.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.013.3
78.2%
74.6%13.3
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 67.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.3
46.0%
52.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.3
36.3%
36.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.311.4
65.9%
74.6%11.4
They take 57.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWWLLLW
Murcia
WWWWLWWLLW
#1
League position
#14
+7.8
Net rating
-3.5
112.5
Offensive rating
102.3
104.7
Defensive rating
105.8
55.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
35.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.5%
3-point %
36.3%
66.1%
Assist %
54.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 102.3Defence104.7 · 105.8Shooting55.9% · 49.0%3-point %37.5% · 36.3%Ball care17.4% · 19.4%Off. rebounds28.7% · 35.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Real Madrid wins
2
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
12/05/18Murcia v Real Madrid61-63
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
16/10/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-86
31/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-72
29/05/16Murcia v Real Madrid91-87
27/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia107-103
03/04/16Murcia v Real Madrid99-104 OT
06/12/15Real Madrid v Murcia101-80
22/03/15Murcia v Real Madrid86-79
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/18ABayern82-72
19/12/18HPanathinaikos89-68
16/12/18ABreogan71-84
13/12/18HBarcelona92-65
09/12/18HGran Canaria87-63
07/12/18AAnadolu Efes84-82
29/11/18HCSKA Moscow88-93
25/11/18ABarcelona69-86
22/11/18AOlympiacos83-88
20/11/18HGran Canaria89-76
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/18AVentspils67-61
16/12/18HFuenlabrada75-65
12/12/18ALe Mans80-71
08/12/18AGipuzkoa81-67
24/11/18AUnicaja82-89
20/11/18ABanvit63-62
18/11/18HObradoiro CAB80-58
13/11/18ALudwigsburg80-81
11/11/18ABarcelona73-105
06/11/18AAnwil Wloclawek87-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game88.793.681.8
Allowed / game77.977.478.6
Point differential+10.8+16.1+3.2
Avg total166.6171.0160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%71%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game73.775.072.2
Allowed / game76.969.086.4
Point differential-3.2+6.0-14.2
Avg total150.6144.0158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1311285%88.575.2+13.3
2 Baskonia129375%87.670.6+17.0
3 Real Madrid129375%88.777.9+10.8
4 Unicaja129375%87.481.5+5.9
5 Valencia138562%78.878.2+0.7
6 Manresa127558%81.279.7+1.6
7 Tenerife137654%80.175.9+4.2
8 Joventut Badalona137654%77.880.1-2.2
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza126650%82.285.6-3.3
10 Murcia115645%73.776.9-3.2
11 Obradoiro CAB125742%76.681.0-4.4
12 San Pablo Burgos135838%80.282.2-2.1
13 MoraBanc Andorra135838%80.885.2-4.4
14 Fuenlabrada135838%77.183.6-6.5
15 Gran Canaria124833%81.284.0-2.8
16 Breogan134931%75.280.8-5.6
17 Estudiantes123925%78.285.5-7.3
18 Gipuzkoa1331023%72.583.1-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1824162280
Murcia822261874
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