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Murcia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 73-88
23-23 20-21 18-24 12-20
Position#14
Record5-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#16
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game86.3
SpainACBRound 2
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Murcia v Estudiantes
24 Sep 2020
MUR93
EST80
03 Jan 2019
MUR73
EST88
24 May 2018
MUR71
EST77
30 Dec 2016
MUR100
EST91
17 Jan 2016
MUR83
EST70
09 Nov 2014
MUR79
EST65
23 Mar 2014
MUR85
EST84
30 Dec 2012
MUR68
EST91
28 Dec 2011
MUR88
EST75
29 Nov 2009
MUR83
EST89
25 Jan 2009
MUR78
EST99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#43
L
80-81
80
81
-1
A13/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
80-58
80
58
+22
H18/11
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
W
81-67
81
67
+14
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
H30/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
18-20
23-17
16-23
18-16
23-13
21-17
18-12
22-21
20-12
9-14
12-15
19-25
18-16
25-29
20-19
16-20
13-15
32-16
20-16
22-18
19-17
20-21
19-15
19-14
23-20
15-21
18-10
13-13
17-11
16-19
21-18
8-18
22-24
26-16
18-22
13-10
22-20
14-26
24-22
146.7Avg total
75.5Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.777.2150.9-3.538%
Season at home (7)74.770.3145.0+4.457%
Season away (6)72.585.3157.8-12.817%
Last 10 (10)75.571.2146.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)73.871.0144.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.682.8155.4-10.210%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.466.7141.1+7.770%
vs Weaker (10)78.271.4149.6+6.880%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#17
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H06/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
61-92
61
92
-31
H08/12
Liga A
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H09/12
ACB
Ferro
#3
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H10/12
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A15/12
ACB
Gimnasia
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A19/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A21/12
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H23/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
A29/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-30
20-11
32-22
11-21
20-24
7-22
23-25
13-16
22-15
20-23
25-25
17-16
13-15
18-22
17-21
14-19
16-27
26-29
25-16
17-20
26-21
24-27
11-21
20-21
20-18
16-19
11-28
17-18
19-16
12-23
12-21
19-13
15-25
24-19
21-26
21-30
18-23
18-20
25-23
160.2Avg total
74.9Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)78.586.3164.8-7.823%
Season at home (7)76.185.7161.9-9.629%
Season away (6)81.287.0168.2-5.817%
Last 10 (10)74.985.3160.2-10.420%
Last 5 (5)73.286.4159.6-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.887.6160.3-14.811%
vs Similar ◀ (19)76.579.4155.9-2.937%
vs Weaker (2)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
MurciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#43
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A13/11
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H18/11
ACB
Banvit
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A20/11
Champions League
Unicaja
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A24/11
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#17
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A08/12
ACB
Le Mans
#31
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/12
ACB
Ventspils
#32
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A19/12
Champions League
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A23/12
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H30/12
ACB
71.2Avg total
36.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.436.272.6+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.834.571.4+2.362%-
Last 30 away (17)36.037.573.5-1.541%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.471.2+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)35.633.068.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.040.774.7-6.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.634.971.5+1.750%-
vs Weaker (10)38.533.071.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#17
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H06/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H08/12
Liga A
San Pablo Burgos
#12
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H09/12
ACB
Ferro
#3
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H10/12
Liga A
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/12
ACB
Gimnasia
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/12
Liga A
Ferro
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A19/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A21/12
Liga A
Valencia
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H23/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A29/12
ACB
77.2Avg total
36.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.640.176.7-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.139.975.9-3.838%-
Last 30 away (14)37.240.477.6-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.241.077.2-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.441.079.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.143.276.3-10.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)37.938.376.3-0.453%-
vs Weaker (2)39.543.583.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.0
46.9%
52.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.8
34.8%
36.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
74.6%11.6
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
52.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.3
32.5%
36.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
74.6%13.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLWWWWLWWL
Estudiantes
LLLLLLLWLW
#14
League position
#16
-6.1
Net rating
-12.7
99.4
Offensive rating
103.5
105.6
Defensive rating
116.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
19.7%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.8%
3-point %
32.5%
52.6%
Assist %
53.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 103.5Defence105.6 · 116.2Shooting48.8% · 49.9%3-point %34.8% · 32.5%Ball care19.7% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.6% · 26.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Murcia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
24/05/18Murcia v Estudiantes71-77
03/12/17Estudiantes v Murcia79-91
09/04/17Estudiantes v Murcia109-84
30/12/16Murcia v Estudiantes100-91
10/05/16Estudiantes v Murcia67-82
17/01/16Murcia v Estudiantes83-70
08/02/15Estudiantes v Murcia90-79
09/11/14Murcia v Estudiantes79-65
23/03/14Murcia v Estudiantes85-84
02/11/13Estudiantes v Murcia69-77
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/18HJoventut Badalona73-78
23/12/18AReal Madrid74-80
19/12/18AVentspils67-61
16/12/18HFuenlabrada75-65
12/12/18ALe Mans80-71
08/12/18AGipuzkoa81-67
24/11/18AUnicaja82-89
20/11/18ABanvit63-62
18/11/18HObradoiro CAB80-58
13/11/18ALudwigsburg80-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/18AMoraBanc Andorra82-96
23/12/18HValencia79-83
21/12/18ABoca Juniors60-78
19/12/18AFerro67-86
17/12/18AGimnasia78-89
15/12/18AObradoiro CAB81-91
10/12/18HFerro65-74
09/12/18HSan Pablo Burgos80-79
08/12/18HSan Lorenzo61-92
06/12/18HArgentino96-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game73.774.772.5
Allowed / game77.270.385.3
Point differential-3.5+4.4-12.8
Avg total150.9145.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
ACB 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game78.576.181.2
Allowed / game86.385.787.0
Point differential-7.8-9.6-5.8
Avg total164.8161.9168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1412286%87.975.1+12.8
2 Real Madrid1411379%88.277.4+10.9
3 Baskonia1410471%86.171.6+14.6
4 Unicaja1410471%86.281.4+4.9
5 Valencia149564%79.677.9+1.7
6 Tenerife148657%79.975.9+4.0
7 Manresa148657%81.980.2+1.7
8 Joventut Badalona148657%77.979.6-1.7
9 Tecnyconta Zaragoza147750%80.984.6-3.8
10 San Pablo Burgos146843%80.281.6-1.4
11 MoraBanc Andorra146843%81.984.9-3.1
12 Murcia135838%73.777.2-3.5
13 Obradoiro CAB145936%77.382.0-4.7
14 Breogan145936%76.981.9-5.0
15 Fuenlabrada145936%78.484.6-6.3
16 Gran Canaria1441029%79.882.9-3.1
17 Estudiantes1331023%78.586.3-7.8
18 Gipuzkoa1431121%73.083.9-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2320181273
Estudiantes2321242088
← all games of the day
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