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Murcia vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 85-77
14-18 24-21 23-17 24-21
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game71.0
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record7-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game75.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-71
107
71
+36
101avg 78
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
110-88
110
88
+22
111avg 78
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
92avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 78
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 78
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
82avg 78
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
W
86-79
86
79
+7
70avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
62avg 78
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 78
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 78
A10/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
23-12
25-18
28-23
28-20
30-26
28-27
24-15
19-20
25-18
29-16
24-13
19-25
13-13
25-16
23-23
30-18
21-26
16-21
26-12
19-21
22-13
22-21
29-25
18-19
23-24
21-22
24-14
18-22
14-19
23-26
25-24
18-19
26-24
8-16
20-18
17-18
23-23
15-23
27-32
170.2Avg total
89.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.171.0158.1+16.188%
Season at home (4)85.267.0152.2+18.2100%
Season away (4)89.075.0164.0+14.075%
Last 10 (10)89.980.3170.2+9.670%
Last 5 (5)82.484.6167.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (9)83.282.3165.6+0.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.277.1166.2+12.174%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 76
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
84avg 76
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
97-72
97
72
+25
97avg 76
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
93avg 76
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
84-77
84
77
+7
81avg 76
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
81avg 76
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 76
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
61avg 76
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 76
H03/01
BBL
Jena
#16
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
75avg 76
A08/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-24
27-25
19-18
25-22
15-17
24-16
23-19
21-20
30-12
21-23
25-17
14-23
20-20
21-18
24-18
19-18
21-16
23-25
21-18
27-25
24-27
25-24
16-21
16-19
8-23
16-22
26-16
14-18
17-22
24-16
12-29
20-14
18-10
21-30
23-23
10-16
25-24
21-12
14-18
167.1Avg total
84.7Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.575.8165.2+13.888%
Season at home (4)97.075.5172.5+21.5100%
Season away (4)82.076.0158.0+6.075%
Last 10 (10)84.782.4167.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)79.284.2163.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)73.379.7153.0-6.333%
vs Similar (12)84.382.2166.5+2.250%
vs Weaker (14)86.681.9168.4+4.757%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.6+0.6
MurciaRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forca Lleida
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/12
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#1
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H21/12
ACB
Granada
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A27/12
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A03/01
ACB
Bilbao
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/01
ACB
83.5Avg total
43.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.582.3+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.881.0+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)43.440.183.5+3.360%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.883.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.480.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (9)41.238.079.2+3.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.440.383.7+3.163%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H21/11
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A08/12
BBL
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/12
BBL
Szombathely
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A17/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#11
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A20/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H26/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H31/12
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H03/01
BBL
Jena
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/01
BBL
77.9Avg total
38.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.580.8+1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.237.578.7+3.750%-
Last 30 away (16)41.441.382.7+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.477.9-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.675.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.740.372.0-8.733%-
vs Similar (12)42.439.682.0+2.842%-
vs Weaker (14)41.639.481.0+2.143%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.7
50.5%
52.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.9
36.9%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.516.8
71.5%
73.4%16.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀36%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.715.3
46.8%
52.0%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.9
34.5%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws26.120.8
79.7%
73.4%20.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLLWWWWWWW
Rostock
WWLLLWWWWL
#2
League position
#10
+12.1
Net rating
+3.5
114.3
Offensive rating
108.4
102.3
Defensive rating
104.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.2%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.9%
3-point %
34.5%
56.2%
Assist %
61.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 108.4Defence102.3 · 104.9Shooting52.6% · 49.2%3-point %36.9% · 34.5%Ball care14.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds36.4% · 32.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Murcia   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
0
Rostock wins
No previous meetings.
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ABilbao82-96
03/01/26AGran Canaria72-77
30/12/25HReal Madrid80-91
27/12/25AGranada86-79
21/12/25HValencia92-80
17/12/25ATrefl Sopot93-77
14/12/25HJoventut Badalona80-77
10/12/25HSzombathely97-67
06/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos110-88
22/11/25AForca Lleida107-71
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AJena89-82 OT
03/01/26HFrankfurt82-77
31/12/25HBayern67-85
26/12/25HAlba Berlin66-80
20/12/25AChemnitz92-97
17/12/25ASzombathely84-77
15/12/25HLudwigsburg96-89 OT
10/12/25HTrefl Sopot97-72
08/12/25ABamberg87-74
21/11/25HVechta87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game87.185.289.0
Allowed / game71.067.075.0
Point differential+16.1+18.2+14.0
Avg total158.1152.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.597.082.0
Allowed / game75.875.576.0
Point differential+13.8+21.5+6.0
Avg total165.2172.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao98189%98.868.1+30.7
2 Murcia87188%87.171.0+16.1
3 Rostock87188%89.575.8+13.8
4 Petkim Spor97278%85.871.9+13.9
5 Peristeri97278%86.275.7+10.6
6 PAOK97278%85.782.2+3.4
7 Reggiana96367%85.773.9+11.8
8 CSM Oradea96367%82.979.9+3.0
9 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
10 KK Bosna117464%78.675.6+3.0
11 Basket Zaragoza85362%90.879.9+10.9
12 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
13 Cedevita Junior95456%86.983.3+3.6
14 Szombathely95456%82.781.9+0.8
15 BC Prievidza116555%84.882.0+2.8
16 Sassari84450%86.479.4+7.0
17 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
18 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
19 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
20 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
21 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
22 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
23 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
24 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
25 Sporting CP94544%84.280.6+3.7
26 Trefl Sopot94544%86.784.9+1.8
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1424232485
Rostock1821172177
← all games of the day
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