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Murray State vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 75-61
36-33 39-28
Position#47
Record18-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game65.1
Murray State 🏆
USA
vs
Austin Peay
USA
Position#60
Record19-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Murray State v Austin Peay
16 Dec 2022
MURR68
AUST60
17 Feb 2022
MURR91
AUST56
08 Dec 2020
MURR87
AUST57
06 Mar 2020
MURR73
AUST61
29 Feb 2020
MURR75
AUST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#193
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A09/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-29
44-35
32-27
41-43
35-26
39-29
26-32
38-39
33-29
40-36
34-35
34-36
45-32
40-25
32-17
28-46
36-19
23-39
29-29
45-33
134.2Avg total
70.6Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.665.1139.7+9.572%
Season at home (13)76.560.9137.4+15.585%
Season away (12)72.669.6142.2+3.058%
Last 10 (10)70.663.6134.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)69.262.2131.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)72.372.3144.7+0.033%
vs Weaker (25)75.365.2140.5+10.176%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#30
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
78-60
78
60
+18
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
48-35
38-26
44-32
31-38
37-26
36-37
32-33
30-32
33-39
35-34
36-34
46-32
47-53
44-31
34-29
35-34
38-39
35-28
32-30
145.1Avg total
75.6Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.970.0146.9+6.973%
Season at home (14)81.969.1150.9+12.893%
Season away (12)71.171.1142.2+0.050%
Last 10 (10)75.669.5145.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)77.870.8148.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.076.9149.9-3.940%
vs Weaker (16)79.467.1146.4+12.388%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +3.1+3.1
Murray StateAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#193
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H26/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H31/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H02/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A07/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A14/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
36-19
36
19
+17
A22/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/02
NCAA
60.9Avg total
33.4Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.130.066.0+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.530.368.8+8.276%-
Last 30 away (13)32.929.562.5+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)33.427.560.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.226.461.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)30.334.064.3-3.70%-
vs Weaker (25)36.429.565.9+6.976%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#30
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H31/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A08/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/02
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.633.671.1+4.059%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.034.274.2+5.875%-
Last 30 away (13)34.532.867.3+1.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.570.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.031.870.8+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.136.569.6-3.440%-
vs Weaker (16)39.131.971.1+7.269%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
1
Austin Peay wins
DateGameScore
14/02/20Austin Peay v Murray State71-68
Murray Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/20HEastern Kentucky74-62
22/02/20ASiu Edwardsville59-58
21/02/20AEastern Illinois60-63
15/02/20HMorehead State85-57
14/02/20AAustin Peay68-71
09/02/20ATennessee State73-65
07/02/20ABelmont64-71
02/02/20HSiu Edwardsville74-55
31/01/20HEastern Illinois73-70
26/01/20HTennessee State76-64
Austin Peaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/20HMorehead State67-58
22/02/20AEastern Illinois80-83 OT
21/02/20ASiu Edwardsville78-60
15/02/20HEastern Kentucky93-85
14/02/20HMurray State71-68
08/02/20ABelmont63-71
07/02/20ATennessee State68-70
01/02/20HEastern Illinois68-64
31/01/20HSiu Edwardsville82-58
25/01/20HBelmont86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW72%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %72%85%58%
Points / game74.676.572.6
Allowed / game65.160.969.6
Point differential+9.5+15.5+3.0
Avg total139.7137.4142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%77%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (1)50% (8)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %73%93%50%
Points / game76.981.971.1
Allowed / game70.069.171.1
Point differential+6.9+12.8+0.0
Avg total146.9150.9142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa2419579%76.465.1+11.3
2 Belmont2619773%79.069.2+9.9
3 Murray State2518772%74.665.1+9.5
4 Indiana State2518772%69.364.2+5.0
5 Bradley27171063%70.966.4+4.4
6 Southern Illinois25141156%62.561.9+0.6
7 Drake27151256%67.568.8-1.3
8 Illinois (Chi.)27141352%70.169.0+1.0
9 Valparaiso27131448%71.570.7+0.8
10 Illinois State2781930%65.469.9-4.5
11 Evansville2762122%66.775.6-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2619773%76.970.0+6.9
2 North Florida26161062%77.473.9+3.5
3 Lipscomb24131154%70.971.5-0.6
4 Stetson27131448%62.765.3-2.6
5 Eastern Kentucky26121446%74.278.3-4.1
6 North Alabama24111346%68.468.5-0.2
7 Jacksonville25111444%66.866.3+0.6
8 Central Arkansas2491538%76.981.6-4.7
9 Florida Gulf Coast2691735%61.565.0-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State363975
Austin Peay332861
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