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Murray State vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 91-56
49-23 42-33
Position#4
Record24-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game62.5
vs
Position#262
Record10-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Murray State v Austin Peay
16 Dec 2022
MURR68
AUST60
17 Feb 2022
MURR91
AUST56
08 Dec 2020
MURR87
AUST57
06 Mar 2020
MURR73
AUST61
29 Feb 2020
MURR75
AUST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-24
39-22
48-22
43-29
32-29
42-37
39-24
40-29
34-36
46-39
33-28
44-38
35-31
30-22
44-24
35-35
29-36
44-26
24-28
33-25
133.1Avg total
74.7Scored
58.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.062.5142.5+17.592%
Season at home (15)85.963.7149.6+22.193%
Season away (11)72.060.8132.8+11.291%
Last 10 (10)74.758.4133.1+16.3100%
Last 5 (5)70.258.6128.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.577.5147.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)77.862.3140.1+15.588%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#241
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
68-63 OT
68
63
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H03/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
31-31
30-34
28-37
39-38
30-19
28-36
25-33
25-17
31-35
22-30
20-43
32-34
31-24
27-48
41-32
33-34
19-29
35-23
40-22
22-32
125.1Avg total
60.7Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)65.368.6133.9-3.342%
Season at home (10)67.964.0131.9+3.960%
Season away (14)63.471.9135.3-8.429%
Last 10 (10)60.764.4125.1-3.750%
Last 5 (5)60.064.2124.2-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)59.569.5128.9-10.023%
vs Similar (10)68.270.0138.2-1.840%
vs Weaker (6)77.568.2145.7+9.350%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +6.9+6.91st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: -3.3-3.3
Murray StateAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A12/02
NCAA
63.3Avg total
35.1Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.630.367.9+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.929.270.1+11.681%-
Last 30 away (14)33.931.565.4+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)35.128.263.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)33.029.462.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)30.536.066.5-5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.029.366.4+7.765%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#241
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
30-19
30
19
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H03/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H12/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H14/02
NCAA
60.1Avg total
29.6Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.732.864.6-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.032.466.4+1.658%-
Last 30 away (18)30.233.163.3-2.939%-
Last 10 (10)29.630.560.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.230.060.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.034.062.0-6.023%-
vs Similar (10)31.232.563.7-1.340%-
vs Weaker (6)39.330.369.7+9.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Murray State wins
2
Austin Peay wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/22AMorehead State57-53
11/02/22ATennessee State73-62
06/02/22HSiu Edwardsville79-59
03/02/22AAustin Peay65-53
29/01/22HMorehead State77-66
28/01/22ATennessee Tech80-75
25/01/22HTennessee Tech79-53
23/01/22HUT Martin74-66
21/01/22HEastern Illinois91-51
17/01/22AEastern Illinois72-46
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/22HEastern Illinois62-54
12/02/22HTennessee State54-52
11/02/22HSoutheast Missouri State74-66
08/02/22ABelmont58-72
05/02/22AMorehead State52-77
03/02/22HMurray State53-65
01/02/22HSiu Edwardsville68-63 OT
30/01/22ATennessee Tech58-55
28/01/22HBelmont67-75
22/01/22ATennessee State61-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %92%93%91%
Points / game80.085.972.0
Allowed / game62.563.760.8
Point differential+17.5+22.1+11.2
Avg total142.5149.6132.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%80%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)-100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW42%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %42%60%29%
Points / game65.367.963.4
Allowed / game68.664.071.9
Point differential-3.3+3.9-8.4
Avg total133.9131.9135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%10%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2624292%80.062.5+17.5
2 Belmont2722581%80.669.1+11.5
3 Drake2718967%74.366.6+7.7
4 Northern Iowa25151060%73.069.2+3.8
5 Bradley27151256%71.064.9+6.0
6 Southern Illinois27141352%63.260.5+2.7
7 Indiana State26111542%71.371.1+0.2
8 Valparaiso26111542%71.571.4+0.1
9 Illinois (Chi.)24101442%70.072.1-2.1
10 Illinois State27111641%76.175.9+0.3
11 Evansville2561924%59.269.0-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville2517868%67.158.8+8.2
2 Florida Gulf Coast2718967%78.073.3+4.8
3 Bellarmine27161159%70.466.7+3.8
4 Eastern Kentucky27121544%80.374.9+5.4
5 Stetson26111542%69.070.5-1.5
6 Austin Peay24101442%65.368.6-3.3
7 Lipscomb28111739%74.778.8-4.0
8 North Alabama2691735%69.767.3+2.3
9 North Florida2791833%69.571.4-1.9
10 Central Arkansas2581732%73.282.0-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State494291
Austin Peay233356
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