PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murray State vs Austin Peay Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 68-60
27-29 41-31
Position#182
Record6-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game69.4
vs
Position#338
Record6-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game67.6
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Murray State v Austin Peay
16 Dec 2022
MURR68
AUST60
17 Feb 2022
MURR91
AUST56
08 Dec 2020
MURR87
AUST57
06 Mar 2020
MURR73
AUST61
29 Feb 2020
MURR75
AUST61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Peay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
66-69
66
69
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
70-67 OT
70
67
+3
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
77-70 OT
77
70
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
39-47
46-27
44-26
35-28
53-51
36-33
33-38
41-28
36-32
34-30
32-39
35-27
27-35
29-30
33-32
25-32
33-37
27-42
39-23
142.3Avg total
72.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.969.4142.3+3.560%
Season at home (4)73.864.0137.8+9.875%
Season away (6)72.373.0145.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)72.969.4142.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)67.468.0135.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.079.7153.7-5.733%
vs Similar (5)68.068.4136.4-0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)76.060.3136.3+15.895%
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A12/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
98-74
98
74
+24
H15/11
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A21/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
102-57
102
57
+45
H07/12
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
16-31
28-32
50-34
48-40
32-30
30-30
30-32
44-27
33-29
32-50
29-24
26-32
33-32
41-43
30-36
47-25
47-21
55-36
48-23
38-38
138.2Avg total
73.7Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.567.6139.2+3.955%
Season at home (6)82.064.0146.0+18.067%
Season away (5)59.072.0131.0-13.040%
Last 10 (10)73.764.5138.2+9.260%
Last 5 (5)78.862.0140.8+16.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)58.970.4129.3-11.520%
vs Similar (10)67.567.8135.3-0.360%
vs Weaker (5)82.459.6142.0+22.8100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.6+3.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.6+1.61st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +3.6+3.6
Murray StateAustin Peay
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/11
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H13/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/11
NCAA
UMass
#224
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A20/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#303
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H14/12
NCAA
65.8Avg total
33.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.429.965.3+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.927.965.8+10.175%-
Last 30 away (14)32.532.364.8+0.243%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.165.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.262.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.734.066.7-1.367%-
vs Similar (5)30.432.863.2-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)36.928.765.6+8.264%-
This opponent (Austin Peay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin PeayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#14
L
16-31
16
31
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Milligan
#551
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H15/11
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A18/11
NCAA
Albany
#346
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Howard
#99
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H01/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/12
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#598
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H07/12
NCAA
Wilson College
#489
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H13/12
NCAA
64.0Avg total
34.8Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.532.163.6-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.331.265.5+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)28.733.061.7-4.347%-
Last 10 (10)34.829.264.0+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.427.264.6+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.134.561.5-7.433%-
vs Similar (10)31.531.663.1-0.150%-
vs Weaker (5)45.026.071.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Murray State wins
2
Austin Peay wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22HChicago State66-65
10/12/22ABellarmine58-69
04/12/22AValparaiso77-70 OT
02/12/22HIllinois State70-67 OT
27/11/22AChattanooga Mocs66-69
20/11/22ATulsa77-60
18/11/22HUMass69-71
17/11/22ATexas A&M88-79
13/11/22HWilson College90-53
08/11/22ASt. Louis Billikens68-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22HWilson College86-61
07/12/22HKentucky Christian102-57
03/12/22HTennessee State77-61
01/12/22HWestern Kentucky74-75
26/11/22HHoward55-56
22/11/22ABucknell65-79
21/11/22AAlbany74-59
18/11/22ASouth Florida62-60
15/11/22HMilligan98-74
12/11/22APurdue44-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game72.973.872.3
Allowed / game69.464.073.0
Point differential+3.5+9.8-0.7
Avg total142.3137.8145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %20%25%17%
Austin Peay
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game71.582.059.0
Allowed / game67.664.072.0
Point differential+3.9+18.0-13.0
Avg total139.2146.0131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State119282%83.370.8+12.5
2 Drake108280%72.866.2+6.6
3 Bradley107370%69.059.2+9.8
4 Southern Illinois117464%69.462.4+7.0
5 Illinois (Chi.)117464%69.865.3+4.5
6 Murray State106460%72.969.4+3.5
7 Belmont116555%76.574.0+2.5
8 Illinois State115645%67.969.8-1.9
9 Valparaiso114736%69.575.5-6.1
10 Northern Iowa103730%69.766.7+3.0
11 Evansville123925%61.171.2-10.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens Royals119282%81.470.2+11.2
2 Florida Gulf Coast129375%71.665.3+6.2
3 Lipscomb117464%78.368.1+10.2
4 Jacksonville85362%68.158.9+9.2
5 Stetson95456%77.269.6+7.7
6 Austin Peay116555%71.567.6+3.9
7 North Alabama116555%77.074.1+2.9
8 Central Arkansas105550%76.577.8-1.3
9 Eastern Kentucky115645%83.574.9+8.5
10 Bellarmine115645%68.762.4+6.4
11 North Florida93633%72.076.7-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State274168
Austin Peay293160
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.