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Murray State vs Miss. Valley St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 108-60
47-23 61-37
Position#102
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#372
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game83.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miss. Valley St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H03/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-23
41-33
31-20
32-33
34-37
33-37
33-24
29-36
39-36
36-39
39-40
46-35
22-41
38-29
35-29
39-24
28-27
34-43
34-31
51-46
138.8Avg total
71.5Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.567.3138.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)73.269.0142.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.467.6134.0-1.129%
vs Similar (16)71.971.9143.8-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)70.469.6140.0+0.957%
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#321
L
39-86
39
86
-47
A11/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H16/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
56-79
56
79
-23
H18/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
38-79
38
79
-41
A22/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
L
58-83
58
83
-25
H02/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H07/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H08/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
55-106
55
106
-51
A04/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#518
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
16-44
23-42
18-32
52-50
30-46
26-33
16-35
22-44
24-35
32-29
29-39
29-44
32-27
32-45
34-31
28-35
22-59
33-47
40-27
57-34
137.3Avg total
59.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.083.5159.5-7.550%
Season at home (1)97.061.0158.0+36.0100%
Season away (1)55.0106.0161.0-51.00%
Last 10 (10)59.577.8137.3-18.310%
Last 5 (5)67.277.6144.8-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)53.382.1135.4-28.84%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)91.071.0162.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -11.4-11.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -6.9-6.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -11.4-11.42nd half2nd half: +2.4+2.42nd half: -6.9-6.9
Murray StateMiss. Valley St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#248
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
32.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.832.563.3-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.532.764.2-1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)29.932.362.2-2.462%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.863.6+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.665.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.932.962.7-3.029%-
vs Similar (16)31.733.465.1-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)29.730.159.9-0.471%-
This opponent (Miss. Valley St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miss. Valley St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#321
L
16-44
16
44
-28
A11/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
L
18-32
18
32
-14
H16/02
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H18/02
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
L
16-35
16
35
-19
A22/02
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H08/03
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
22-59
22
59
-37
A04/11
NCAA
MUW Owls
#518
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H06/11
NCAA
63.6Avg total
26.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)24.337.461.7-13.123%-
Last 30 at home (11)29.632.462.0-2.755%-
Last 30 away (19)21.240.461.6-19.25%-
Last 10 (10)26.137.563.6-11.430%-
Last 5 (5)31.436.668.0-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)23.238.061.1-14.818%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Miss. Valley St. wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25HNebraska O.85-77
08/03/25ABradley62-70
07/03/25HEvansville74-53
02/03/25ABelmont60-70
26/02/25HIndiana State85-75
22/02/25ABradley83-85 OT
20/02/25HSouthern Illinois62-60
18/02/25HNorthern Iowa67-74
12/02/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-53
08/02/25AValparaiso74-56
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25HMUW Owls97-61
04/11/25AUAB55-106
08/03/25HJackson State62-66
07/03/25HAlcorn State64-72
02/03/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff58-83
25/02/25APrairie View A&M56-64
22/02/25ATexas Southern38-79
18/02/25HAlabama State56-79
16/02/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs70-82
11/02/25AAlcorn State39-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+8.0+8.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Miss. Valley St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.097.055.0
Allowed / game83.561.0106.0
Point differential-7.5+36.0-51.0
Avg total159.5158.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Illinois110100%83.042.0+41.0
2 Northern Iowa110100%86.057.0+29.0
3 Illinois (Chi.)110100%91.071.0+20.0
4 Murray State110100%85.077.0+8.0
5 Indiana State21150%90.082.5+7.5
6 Evansville21150%71.566.0+5.5
7 Drake21150%78.076.0+2.0
8 Belmont21150%65.081.0-16.0
9 Valparaiso21150%62.585.0-22.5
10 Illinois State1010%68.072.0-4.0
11 Bradley1010%63.069.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prairie View A&M220100%94.550.5+44.0
2 Grambling St.21150%76.574.5+2.0
3 Miss. Valley St.21150%76.083.5-7.5
4 Alabama A&M Bulldogs21150%65.579.0-13.5
5 Alcorn State2020%73.092.0-19.0
6 Bethune-Cookman2020%75.598.0-22.5
7 Southern Univ.2020%79.5104.5-25.0
8 Arkansas-Pine Bluff2020%62.088.5-26.5
9 Florida A&M1010%67.0102.0-35.0
10 Alabama State1010%64.0101.0-37.0
11 Texas Southern2020%56.5101.0-44.5
12 Jackson State2020%62.5109.5-47.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State4761108
Miss. Valley St.233760
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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