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Murray State vs San Francisco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 01:40
Final 92-87 (OT)
36-37 37-36 19-14
Position#4
Record30-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game62.3
vs
Position#61
Record23-9
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Francisco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#262
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
91-56
91
56
+35
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
62-60
62
60
+2
A19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
76-43
76
43
+33
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
30-22
44-24
35-35
29-36
44-26
24-28
33-25
49-23
42-33
27-33
35-27
35-17
41-26
32-37
38-31
51-31
37-43
34-34
37-33
132.7Avg total
73.2Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.362.3141.6+17.094%
Season at home (19)84.962.9147.9+22.095%
Season away (13)71.161.3132.4+9.892%
Last 10 (10)73.259.5132.7+13.7100%
Last 5 (5)73.462.4135.8+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)77.761.9139.6+15.893%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#56
W
73-59
73
59
+14
A04/02
NCAA
Portland
#140
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A06/02
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H09/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
105-61
105
61
+44
H11/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
74-58
74
58
+16
A12/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Pacific
#330
W
104-71
104
71
+33
A22/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H25/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
78-62
78
62
+16
A27/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-25
33-34
36-41
38-30
29-24
39-45
60-27
45-34
40-28
34-30
33-38
31-31
48-24
56-47
42-52
31-37
38-28
40-34
27-47
44-34
147.4Avg total
78.4Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)77.167.2144.3+10.072%
Season at home (18)81.968.9150.8+13.178%
Season away (14)70.964.9135.9+6.064%
Last 10 (10)78.469.0147.4+9.460%
Last 5 (5)78.074.4152.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.277.2144.5-10.025%
vs Similar (9)67.264.8132.0+2.444%
vs Weaker (17)82.665.7148.3+16.994%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +3.5+3.5
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +5.9+5.92nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +3.5+3.5
Murray StateSan Francisco
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austin Peay
#262
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H18/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A19/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
35-17
35
17
+18
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H06/03
NCAA
65.4Avg total
36.0Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.829.567.3+8.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.828.369.1+12.576%-
Last 30 away (13)33.931.265.1+2.846%-
Last 10 (10)36.029.465.4+6.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.830.466.2+5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)37.429.667.0+7.962%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#56
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A04/02
NCAA
Portland
#140
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/02
NCAA
Portland
#140
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H09/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H11/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A12/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#35
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Pacific
#330
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A22/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H25/02
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A27/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A08/03
NCAA
72.7Avg total
39.3Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.531.569.0+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.632.171.7+7.481%-
Last 30 away (14)35.130.865.9+4.464%-
Last 10 (10)39.333.472.7+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.875.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.238.872.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (9)32.228.360.6+3.967%-
vs Weaker (17)41.331.572.8+9.888%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
San Francisco wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22HMorehead State71-67
05/03/22HSoutheast Missouri State88-74
26/02/22ASoutheast Missouri State70-68
25/02/22HBelmont76-43
19/02/22AUT Martin62-60
18/02/22HAustin Peay91-56
12/02/22AMorehead State57-53
11/02/22ATennessee State73-62
06/02/22HSiu Edwardsville79-59
03/02/22AAustin Peay65-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/22AGonzaga71-81
27/02/22ASan Diego Toreros78-62
25/02/22HGonzaga73-89
22/02/22APacific104-71
18/02/22ASt. Marys (CA)64-69
12/02/22ASanta Clara74-58
11/02/22HPepperdine105-61
09/02/22HPortland68-69
06/02/22APortland74-71
04/02/22ABrigham Young73-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %94%95%92%
Points / game79.384.971.1
Allowed / game62.362.961.3
Point differential+17.0+22.0+9.8
Avg total141.6147.9132.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%79%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (1)100% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Francisco
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL72%
HomeLWLWL78%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %72%78%64%
Points / game77.181.970.9
Allowed / game67.268.964.9
Point differential+10.0+13.1+6.0
Avg total144.3150.8135.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%56%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State3230294%79.362.3+17.0
2 Belmont3225778%78.568.2+10.3
3 Drake33231070%73.365.8+7.5
4 Northern Iowa30191163%74.470.5+3.9
5 Bradley31171455%70.565.2+5.3
6 Southern Illinois31161552%64.061.4+2.7
7 Illinois (Chi.)30141647%72.072.9-1.0
8 Valparaiso32141844%70.870.5+0.2
9 Illinois State33132039%74.274.7-0.6
10 Indiana State31112035%70.571.9-1.5
11 Evansville3062420%59.270.7-11.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gonzaga3027390%88.065.6+22.4
2 St. Marys (CA)3326779%70.160.3+9.8
3 San Francisco3223972%77.167.2+10.0
4 Seattle3223972%74.866.6+8.2
5 Santa Clara31201165%77.772.4+5.4
6 Portland31181358%74.171.4+2.7
7 Washington State33191458%71.965.4+6.5
8 San Diego Toreros31151648%65.867.3-1.5
9 Loyola Marymount29111838%69.374.1-4.8
10 Pacific3082227%65.972.7-6.9
11 Pepperdine3272522%68.277.5-9.3
12 Oregon State3132810%68.378.1-9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Murray State36371992
San Francisco37361487
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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