PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Morehead State vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 53-57
28-24 25-33
Position#76
Record19-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game63.4
vs
Position#4
Record23-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game62.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Morehead State v Murray State
12 Feb 2022
MORE53
MURR57
04 Feb 2021
MORE66
MURR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#241
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
W
74-73 OT
74
73
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
30-33
44-33
39-41
33-32
44-42
41-32
26-22
29-36
35-28
28-33
38-44
42-21
28-35
31-25
44-43
43-20
34-32
29-22
18-26
134.7Avg total
70.7Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)70.363.4133.7+7.073%
Season at home (13)74.759.7134.4+15.0100%
Season away (13)66.067.1133.1-1.146%
Last 10 (10)70.764.0134.7+6.780%
Last 5 (5)67.060.2127.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)69.277.5146.8-8.225%
vs Similar (8)64.866.9131.6-2.150%
vs Weaker (17)72.459.8132.2+12.694%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
W
82-60
82
60
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
72-46
72
46
+26
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
80-75
80
75
+5
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-35
34-25
33-24
39-22
48-22
43-29
32-29
42-37
39-24
40-29
34-36
46-39
33-28
44-38
35-31
30-22
44-24
35-35
29-36
44-26
136.3Avg total
77.2Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.962.9143.8+18.092%
Season at home (15)85.963.7149.6+22.193%
Season away (10)73.561.6135.1+11.990%
Last 10 (10)77.259.1136.3+18.1100%
Last 5 (5)74.863.0137.8+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)69.577.5147.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)77.962.9140.8+15.085%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +9.5+9.5
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.6+7.61st half: +8.6+8.62nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +9.5+9.5
Morehead StateMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
42-21
42
21
+21
A01/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H05/02
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A11/02
NCAA
64.6Avg total
36.1Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.329.863.1+3.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.726.760.4+7.193%-
Last 30 away (15)32.932.965.8+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)36.128.564.6+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)34.624.258.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)29.538.868.2-9.225%-
vs Similar (8)31.530.662.1+0.962%-
vs Weaker (17)35.027.462.4+7.688%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#24
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A15/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
33-24
33
24
+9
A17/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#356
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H21/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#329
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H25/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#295
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A28/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#76
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#296
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H06/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#241
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A11/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
37.5Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.830.468.2+7.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.229.469.5+10.876%-
Last 30 away (13)34.631.866.4+2.854%-
Last 10 (10)37.528.966.4+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.066.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)30.536.066.5-5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)37.229.566.7+7.865%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Morehead State wins
2
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/22ABelmont47-48
05/02/22HAustin Peay77-52
03/02/22HTennessee Tech75-68
01/02/22ATennessee Tech70-56
29/01/22AMurray State66-77
28/01/22ASoutheast Missouri State74-73 OT
25/01/22HTennessee State67-54
22/01/22HSiu Edwardsville77-74
21/01/22HBelmont83-74
15/01/22ATennessee State71-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/22ATennessee State73-62
06/02/22HSiu Edwardsville79-59
03/02/22AAustin Peay65-53
29/01/22HMorehead State77-66
28/01/22ATennessee Tech80-75
25/01/22HTennessee Tech79-53
23/01/22HUT Martin74-66
21/01/22HEastern Illinois91-51
17/01/22AEastern Illinois72-46
15/01/22ABelmont82-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %73%100%46%
Points / game70.374.766.0
Allowed / game63.459.767.1
Point differential+7.0+15.0-1.1
Avg total133.7134.4133.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %92%93%90%
Points / game80.985.973.5
Allowed / game62.963.761.6
Point differential+18.0+22.1+11.9
Avg total143.8149.6135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%80%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2619773%70.363.4+7.0
2 Western Illinois26151158%79.876.2+3.6
3 Southeast Missouri State25111444%74.577.1-2.6
4 Tennessee State25101540%71.871.8+0.0
5 UALR2171433%67.873.6-5.8
6 Siu Edwardsville2581732%68.270.3-2.1
7 UT Martin2581732%69.373.2-3.9
8 Tennessee Tech2571828%72.873.7-0.9
9 Eastern Illinois2442017%56.471.5-15.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State2523292%80.962.9+18.0
2 Belmont2621581%80.669.0+11.6
3 Drake2517868%75.067.1+7.8
4 Northern Iowa2314961%73.768.5+5.2
5 Bradley25141156%71.665.2+6.5
6 Southern Illinois25121348%62.960.6+2.3
7 Valparaiso24111346%71.870.9+1.0
8 Indiana State25111444%71.370.8+0.6
9 Illinois State26111542%76.376.0+0.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)2291341%70.872.9-2.1
11 Evansville2361726%59.568.8-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State282553
Murray State243357
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.