PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murray State vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 65-92
41-49 24-43
Position#296
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Position#99
Record8-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game62.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
57-67
57
67
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A10/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H16/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-26
42-46
34-43
47-43
37-35
35-37
28-33
29-34
42-32
37-40
33-35
39-41
26-28
23-25
41-53
40-32
29-24
26-37
31-40
35-40
143.4Avg total
69.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.872.1143.9-0.327%
Season at home (6)73.569.3142.8+4.250%
Season away (5)69.875.4145.2-5.60%
Last 10 (10)69.973.5143.4-3.620%
Last 5 (5)64.671.0135.6-6.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.079.0148.0-10.025%
vs Similar (10)69.868.5138.3+1.350%
vs Weaker (4)80.262.2142.5+18.0100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
66-79
66
79
-13
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A21/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
63-65
63
65
-2
H30/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
90-47
90
47
+43
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A07/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A17/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
89-53
89
53
+36
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-19
47-48
32-39
34-40
25-36
45-22
32-24
29-45
23-30
47-27
37-35
26-30
46-16
44-31
40-36
34-40
25-18
43-39
49-24
40-29
135.7Avg total
72.9Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.162.0137.1+13.167%
Season at home (8)78.560.5139.0+18.075%
Season away (4)68.265.0133.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)72.962.8135.7+10.160%
Last 5 (5)76.859.6136.4+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.880.9149.7-12.113%
vs Similar (5)72.069.6141.6+2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)77.861.9139.7+15.980%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.2-1.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +3.8+3.8
Murray StateSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A20/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H22/11
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/12
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A10/12
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#130
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#244
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H16/12
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A19/12
NCAA
68.6Avg total
33.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.468.9+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.033.170.1+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)31.935.767.7-3.820%-
Last 10 (10)33.734.968.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.068.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)33.838.272.0-4.525%-
vs Similar (10)33.631.665.2+2.060%-
vs Weaker (4)39.526.065.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#146
W
31-19
31
19
+12
H10/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H15/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H30/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
46-16
46
16
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
25-18
25
18
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Houston Christian
#358
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H20/12
NCAA
61.7Avg total
34.0Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.166.9+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.031.067.0+5.062%-
Last 30 away (14)31.235.566.7-4.343%-
Last 10 (10)34.027.761.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.425.865.2+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)32.537.369.7-4.840%-
vs Similar (5)33.429.262.6+4.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.928.864.7+7.160%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23AUALR66-80
16/12/23HSE Louisiana55-61
14/12/23AMississippi St.81-85
10/12/23AAustin Peay49-53
03/12/23AIllinois State72-76
30/11/23HBradley79-72
22/11/23HAppalachian State57-67
20/11/23ANC Wilmington81-83 OT
15/11/23HWestern Kentucky81-86
11/11/23HTennessee Tech78-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HHouston Christian89-53
17/12/23AFlorida State68-57
07/12/23AArizona State74-76
03/12/23HTX A&M Commerce90-47
30/11/23HDayton63-65
26/11/23HLouisiana Monroe70-57
23/11/23AWisconsin61-69
21/11/23AWest Virginia70-58
15/11/23HTexas A&M66-79
10/11/23HLamar78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game71.873.569.8
Allowed / game72.169.375.4
Point differential-0.3+4.2-5.6
Avg total143.9142.8145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %9%0%20%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game75.178.568.2
Allowed / game62.060.565.0
Point differential+13.1+18.0+3.2
Avg total137.1139.0133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State1211192%88.270.8+17.3
2 Drake1311285%78.766.9+11.8
3 Evansville1210283%82.570.5+12.0
4 Belmont139469%81.179.2+1.9
5 Illinois State128467%68.565.4+3.1
6 Southern Illinois117464%76.265.9+10.3
7 Illinois (Chi.)127558%72.862.9+9.8
8 Bradley127558%72.170.5+1.6
9 Northern Iowa136746%77.873.8+4.0
10 Valparaiso124833%66.870.2-3.4
11 Murray State113827%71.872.1-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson109190%78.569.3+9.2
2 Virginia119282%65.655.5+10.2
3 Pittsburgh129375%81.163.4+17.7
4 Miami (FL)129375%82.171.2+10.9
5 Virginia Tech129375%74.264.4+9.8
6 Boston College129375%79.470.8+8.6
7 Syracuse129375%78.270.2+8.0
8 Duke118373%81.366.5+14.8
9 Wake Forest118373%80.968.4+12.5
10 North Carolina118373%84.574.5+10.1
11 NC State118373%79.570.5+9.0
12 Georgia Tech107370%72.371.3+1.0
13 SMU Mustangs128467%75.162.0+13.1
14 Stanford105550%78.474.6+3.8
15 Florida State105550%77.274.6+2.6
16 Louisville125742%74.675.4-0.8
17 California114736%76.075.9+0.1
18 Notre Dame114736%62.867.5-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State412465
SMU Mustangs494392
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.