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Murray State vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-53
33-33 40-20
Position#214
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game64.6
vs
Position#94
Record3-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Murray State v Southeast Missouri State
08 Dec 2024
MURR73
SOUT53
04 Mar 2022
MURR88
SOUT74
30 Dec 2021
MURR106
SOUT81
12 Feb 2021
MURR80
SOUT60
04 Jan 2020
MURR81
SOUT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-60
35
60
-25
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
113-37
113
37
+76
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
88-67
88
67
+21
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
31-45
39-51
38-38
14-27
21-33
54-19
59-18
39-41
29-42
44-30
44-37
36-30
43-31
30-35
45-42
44-30
35-36
33-25
30-36
142.2Avg total
73.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.764.6145.3+16.171%
Season at home (5)81.860.4142.2+21.480%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)73.868.4142.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)76.866.4143.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)67.478.7146.1-11.20%
vs Similar (16)69.465.5134.9+3.956%
vs Weaker (4)74.261.0135.2+13.2100%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#34
L
50-72
50
72
-22
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A03/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A05/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A10/11
NCAA
Crowley's Ridge
#645
W
93-38
93
38
+55
H14/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H17/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A22/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H23/11
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H01/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
25-38
34-28
36-38
29-46
31-42
38-40
38-45
47-17
46-21
45-45
37-42
34-34
32-32
27-30
37-42
40-21
40-38
28-37
32-41
143.0Avg total
71.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.072.5146.5+1.538%
Season at home (4)79.864.0143.8+15.850%
Season away (4)68.281.0149.2-12.825%
Last 10 (10)71.271.8143.0-0.640%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.276.2139.4-13.07%
vs Similar (12)71.274.8145.9-3.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.5-2.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.7+3.71st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: -2.5-2.5
Murray StateSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A03/03
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
14-27
14
27
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#689
W
54-19
54
19
+35
H05/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A09/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A16/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#32
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H23/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H04/12
NCAA
68.9Avg total
36.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.332.767.0+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.931.365.2+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)34.934.869.7+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)36.332.668.9+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.430.067.4+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.240.373.6-7.122%-
vs Similar (16)33.629.262.8+4.362%-
vs Weaker (4)35.032.567.5+2.575%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morehead State
#34
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A01/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A03/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A05/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/11
NCAA
Crowley's Ridge
#645
W
47-17
47
17
+30
H14/11
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H17/11
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#337
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A22/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#86
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H23/11
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H01/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#51
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A05/12
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.7Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.434.767.1-2.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.833.268.0+1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)30.036.266.2-6.213%-
Last 10 (10)34.733.267.9+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.468.2+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.237.967.1-8.67%-
vs Similar (12)34.033.267.2+0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)35.535.070.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/24HEvansville63-61
26/11/24HUT Arlington79-66
23/11/24HUtah Valley State75-77
21/11/24HMd.-East. Shore79-61
16/11/24AMiddle Tenn. St.88-67
09/11/24APittsburgh68-83
05/11/24HBethel (TN)113-37
07/03/24HMissouri State35-60
03/03/24AIndiana State77-89
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/24ALipscomb60-78
01/12/24HUMKC80-59
23/11/24HUNC Asheville64-72
22/11/24ACentral Arkansas77-73 OT
17/11/24HChattanooga Mocs82-87
14/11/24HCrowley's Ridge93-38
10/11/24AVanderbilt76-85
05/11/24ABradley60-88
03/03/24ASouthern Indiana70-66
01/03/24AMorehead State50-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game80.781.878.0
Allowed / game64.660.475.0
Point differential+16.1+21.4+3.0
Avg total145.3142.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game74.079.868.2
Allowed / game72.564.081.0
Point differential+1.5+15.8-12.8
Avg total146.5143.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake880100%73.157.8+15.4
2 Bradley98189%83.666.1+17.4
3 Belmont108280%83.276.9+6.3
4 Murray State75271%80.764.6+16.1
5 Indiana State106460%82.876.8+6.0
6 Northern Iowa95456%76.265.1+11.1
7 Illinois (Chi.)95456%83.675.2+8.3
8 Illinois State95456%79.972.6+7.3
9 Valparaiso84450%77.069.8+7.2
10 Southern Illinois104640%74.674.5+0.1
11 Evansville93633%69.273.0-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville106460%74.168.0+6.1
2 Western Illinois106460%72.067.0+5.0
3 UALR95456%67.670.4-2.9
4 Southern Indiana94544%78.774.8+3.9
5 Tennessee Tech104640%72.078.6-6.6
6 Southeast Missouri State83538%74.072.5+1.5
7 Tennessee State93633%83.777.8+5.9
8 UT Martin93633%73.071.6+1.4
9 Lindenwood93633%71.170.6+0.6
10 Eastern Illinois93633%68.475.3-6.9
11 Morehead State93633%67.674.8-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State334073
Southeast Missouri State332053
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