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Indiana State vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 89-77
51-39 38-38
Position#13
Record25-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game71.9
vs
Position#296
Record12-18
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game69.6
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Indiana State v Murray State
19 Dec 2026
INDI v MURR
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
INDI72
MURR74
18 Dec 2024
INDI84
MURR74
03 Mar 2024
INDI89
MURR77
04 Feb 2023
INDI99
MURR56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-29
45-49
37-45
41-27
37-36
38-31
50-36
51-25
35-36
38-35
29-35
38-45
37-31
32-43
45-37
38-27
45-29
43-44
40-31
45-36
152.9Avg total
81.4Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)84.471.9156.3+12.583%
Season at home (14)87.866.4154.2+21.493%
Season away (16)81.476.6158.1+4.875%
Last 10 (10)81.471.5152.9+9.980%
Last 5 (5)78.471.6150.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)77.786.0163.7-8.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.170.3155.4+14.989%
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
L
58-60
58
60
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
71-43
71
43
+28
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
61-83
61
83
-22
H29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-30
20-30
26-24
33-37
35-18
36-25
33-34
31-35
32-27
41-43
35-37
47-35
29-48
43-47
29-41
39-31
36-44
44-24
30-38
31-45
138.1Avg total
68.8Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)70.769.6140.3+1.140%
Season at home (17)70.770.1140.8+0.647%
Season away (13)70.669.0139.6+1.631%
Last 10 (10)68.869.3138.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)72.678.0150.6-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.577.9147.4-8.48%
vs Similar (14)68.764.4133.1+4.450%
vs Weaker (4)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +1.3+1.3
Indiana StateMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A29/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
38.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.533.675.2+7.973%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.730.473.1+12.393%-
Last 30 away (16)40.536.476.9+4.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.573.3+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.232.671.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.042.381.3-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)41.832.774.5+9.178%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H27/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
35-18
35
18
+17
A03/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H10/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H29/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
32.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.767.9+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.933.268.1+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)33.434.367.7-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.166.4-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.673.4-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.339.473.8-5.133%-
vs Similar (14)32.528.861.3+3.757%-
vs Weaker (4)40.233.573.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Indiana State wins
1
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24AEvansville85-67
25/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)88-73
22/02/24AValparaiso83-64
18/02/24ASouthern Illinois69-74
14/02/24HIllinois State67-80
10/02/24AMissouri State73-71
08/02/24HValparaiso101-61
03/02/24HDrake75-67
01/02/24ABelmont78-72
27/01/24HBradley95-86 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/24HBelmont61-83
24/02/24HValparaiso80-68
22/02/24ASouthern Illinois68-72
18/02/24ADrake72-95
15/02/24HMissouri State82-72
10/02/24HEvansville73-70
08/02/24ABelmont64-69
03/02/24ANorthern Iowa71-43
31/01/24HIllinois State59-61
27/01/24HSouthern Illinois58-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW83%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %83%93%75%
Points / game84.487.881.4
Allowed / game71.966.476.6
Point differential+12.5+21.4+4.8
Avg total156.3154.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%79%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLWWWL47%
AwayLWLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %40%47%31%
Points / game70.770.770.6
Allowed / game69.670.169.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.6
Avg total140.3140.8139.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%29%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won10% (10)25% (4)0% (6)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State3025583%84.471.9+12.5
2 Drake3125681%80.770.7+10.0
3 Bradley31211068%74.867.5+7.3
4 Southern Illinois31191261%72.467.7+4.6
5 Belmont30181260%78.076.6+1.3
6 Northern Iowa31181358%73.570.6+2.8
7 Evansville30151550%72.673.8-1.2
8 Illinois State31151648%66.967.9-1.0
9 Murray State30121840%70.769.6+1.1
10 Illinois (Chi.)31112035%70.671.1-0.5
11 Valparaiso3172423%67.875.2-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Indiana State513889
Murray State393877
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