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MZT Skopje vs Vardar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 86-78
21-18 17-14 22-25 26-21
Position#1
Record16-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game69.2
MZT Skopje 🏆
Macedonia
vs
Vardar
Macedonia
Position#10
Record3-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game94.8
MacedoniaPrva LigaRound 21· Jane Sandanski Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · MZT Skopje v Vardar
27 Mar 2024
MSK86
VARD78
17 Apr 2021
MSK82
VARD66
07 Dec 2019
MSK97
VARD80
02 Feb 2019
MSK102
VARD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MZT Skopje winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vardar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MZT SkopjeMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Ohrid
#12
W
81-68
81
68
+13
77avg 74
H10/02
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#8
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 74
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#3
W
81-76
81
76
+5
73avg 74
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#2
W
62-60
62
60
+2
48avg 74
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Feniks 2010
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 74
A03/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
78-56
78
56
+22
79avg 74
H09/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 74
A16/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#15
W
95-69
95
69
+26
98avg 74
A19/03
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
no box
H22/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
66avg 74
A24/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
23-17
17-14
22-19
23-24
31-16
20-16
17-20
26-22
17-16
24-22
14-16
13-9
18-27
18-16
13-8
7-22
17-17
24-12
21-22
19-10
17-17
20-18
22-11
21-25
23-17
20-17
25-25
28-15
24-24
22-15
21-15
20-18
22-14
18-21
12-19
15-25
16-21
20-24
28-12
154.4Avg total
81.0Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.069.2150.3+11.880%
Season at home (10)79.467.0146.4+12.480%
Season away (10)82.771.5154.2+11.280%
Last 10 (10)81.073.4154.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)85.276.2161.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.085.0170.0+0.050%
vs Similar (6)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.670.1152.8+12.586%
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarMacedoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVardar
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
L
66-116
66
116
-50
46avg 62
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
81-89
81
89
-8
70avg 62
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
89-104
89
104
-15
82avg 62
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
82-92
82
92
-10
80avg 62
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
60-102
60
102
-42
45avg 62
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
58-101
58
101
-43
42avg 62
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
L
74-80
74
80
-6
62avg 62
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
78-92
78
92
-14
76avg 62
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
75-101
75
101
-26
53avg 62
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
65avg 62
H13/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-34
19-29
18-25
10-28
19-21
25-24
21-20
16-24
24-26
20-31
24-24
21-23
18-27
17-22
23-27
24-16
18-23
11-30
23-23
8-26
9-28
18-27
19-25
12-21
17-16
24-17
18-20
15-27
22-21
19-21
22-23
15-27
14-29
17-23
19-27
25-22
15-22
22-19
16-22
21-23
170.0Avg total
73.7Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.294.8168.9-20.515%
Season at home (10)76.195.1171.2-19.020%
Season away (10)72.394.4166.7-22.110%
Last 10 (10)73.796.3170.0-22.60%
Last 5 (5)71.892.0163.8-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.492.1162.5-21.78%
vs Similar (4)86.885.8172.5+1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -7.0-7.0
MZT SkopjeVardar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohrid
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/02
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H15/02
Macedonian Cup
Rabotnicki
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
Pelister
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Feniks 2010
#7
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A03/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H09/03
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A16/03
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/03
ABA League 2
Zlatibor
#3
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A24/03
ABA League 2
77.3Avg total
39.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.335.575.8+4.873%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.334.673.9+4.772%-
Last 30 away (12)41.836.978.7+4.875%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.477.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.278.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.542.087.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (6)35.336.571.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.634.475.0+6.181%-
This opponent (Vardar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VardarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tikvesh
#5
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A10/12
Prva Liga
Ohrid
#12
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A16/12
Prva Liga
Feniks 2010
#7
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H23/12
Prva Liga
TFT Skopje
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/01
Prva Liga
Cair 2030
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/01
Prva Liga
Rabotnicki
#2
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A03/02
Prva Liga
FMP Akademija
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A10/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H02/03
Prva Liga
Gostivar
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A09/03
Prva Liga
Pelister
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H13/03
Prva Liga
85.7Avg total
36.7Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.946.983.8-10.014%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.447.484.8-10.015%-
Last 30 away (16)36.446.582.9-10.112%-
Last 10 (10)36.749.085.7-12.310%-
Last 5 (5)35.444.680.0-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.147.683.7-11.512%-
vs Similar (4)41.542.584.0-1.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.2
53.1%
53.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.4
30.8%
32.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.615.5
83.3%
70.3%15.5
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vardartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vardar: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.0
50.5%
53.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.16.9
27.5%
32.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.312.0
62.2%
70.3%12.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
MZT Skopje
LLWWWLWWWW
Vardar
LLLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#10
+12.5
Net rating
-28.6
111.2
Offensive rating
90.4
98.8
Defensive rating
119.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
46.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
21.4%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.8%
3-point %
27.5%
56.6%
Assist %
58.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 90.4Defence98.8 · 119.0Shooting50.3% · 46.9%3-point %30.8% · 27.5%Ball care15.3% · 21.4%Off. rebounds30.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ MZT Skopje   ■ Vardar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
MZT Skopje wins
0
Vardar wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Vardar v MZT Skopje61-96
17/04/21MZT Skopje v Vardar82-66
12/01/21Vardar v MZT Skopje67-100
07/12/19MZT Skopje v Vardar97-80
02/02/19MZT Skopje v Vardar102-67
20/10/18Vardar v MZT Skopje72-102
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ASiroki Brijeg79-82
22/03/24HZlatibor85-90 OT
19/03/24ATFT Skopje95-69
16/03/24ACair 203089-84
09/03/24HTFT Skopje78-56
03/03/24AFeniks 201069-73
17/02/24HPelister62-60
16/02/24HRabotnicki81-76
15/02/24HGostivar91-76
10/02/24HOhrid81-68
Vardarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HPelister74-86
09/03/24AGostivar75-101
02/03/24HKozuv78-92
10/02/24AFMP Akademija74-80
03/02/24ARabotnicki58-101
27/01/24HCair 203060-102
20/01/24ATFT Skopje82-92
23/12/23HFeniks 201089-104
16/12/23AOhrid81-89
10/12/23ATikvesh66-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

MZT Skopje
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWLLWW80%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game81.079.482.7
Allowed / game69.267.071.5
Point differential+11.8+12.4+11.2
Avg total150.3146.4154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Vardar
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL20%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%20%10%
Points / game74.276.172.3
Allowed / game94.895.194.4
Point differential-20.6-19.0-22.1
Avg total168.9171.2166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rabotnicki2117481%89.373.5+15.8
2 MZT Skopje2016480%81.069.2+11.8
3 Pelister2014670%83.374.5+8.8
4 Cair 20302114767%84.378.6+5.7
5 TFT Skopje2114767%75.070.7+4.3
6 Tikvesh2113862%85.676.2+9.4
7 Feniks 201021111052%82.980.6+2.3
8 Gostivar2181338%82.184.4-2.3
9 Kozuv2151624%77.180.8-3.7
10 Ohrid2151624%75.588.7-13.2
11 FMP Akademija2041620%75.394.8-19.4
12 Vardar2031715%74.294.8-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
MZT Skopje2117222686
Vardar1814252178
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