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Aguada vs Nacional Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2019
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 78-86
21-23 23-14 16-22 18-27
Position#3
Record25-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#2
Record27-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game79.3
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Semi-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · Aguada v Nacional
28 May 2026
AGUA92
NACI91
21 May 2026
AGUA89
NACI109
25 Apr 2026
AGUA94
NACI98
20 Dec 2025
AGUA98
NACI94
30 May 2025
AGUA96
NACI97
25 May 2025
AGUA80
NACI72
19 May 2025
AGUA84
NACI75
13 Mar 2025
AGUA99
NACI81
13 Dec 2024
AGUA88
NACI90
21 May 2024
AGUA92
NACI87
14 May 2024
AGUA115
NACI101
23 Mar 2024
AGUA103
NACI89
18 Jan 2024
AGUA105
NACI111
12 Dec 2022
AGUA91
NACI71
19 Apr 2022
AGUA80
NACI65
06 Apr 2022
AGUA93
NACI72
17 Nov 2021
AGUA78
NACI58
10 Apr 2021
AGUA84
NACI80
12 Feb 2021
AGUA72
NACI85
01 Dec 2020
AGUA20
NACI0
24 Jan 2020
AGUA87
NACI67
03 May 2019
AGUA78
NACI86
25 Apr 2019
AGUA69
NACI75
11 Mar 2019
AGUA123
NACI117
18 Jan 2019
AGUA96
NACI90
04 May 2018
AGUA84
NACI77
26 Apr 2018
AGUA81
NACI91
19 Apr 2018
AGUA76
NACI81
26 Mar 2018
AGUA70
NACI68
10 Nov 2017
AGUA86
NACI78
16 Oct 2013
AGUA81
NACI61
28 Sep 2012
AGUA94
NACI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nacional winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
123-117 OT
123
117
+6
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
77-59
77
59
+18
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
28-22
21-16
10-21
14-15
15-14
12-34
23-19
18-18
22-15
20-19
16-19
22-18
22-16
12-29
18-23
18-27
20-16
26-23
26-15
21-13
14-15
14-19
21-20
24-23
20-8
30-20
19-30
28-10
16-10
13-25
28-18
12-14
10-15
29-29
18-17
16-25
27-8
13-14
21-12
160.3Avg total
82.1Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)83.279.5162.6+3.766%
Season at home (20)82.681.5164.1+1.160%
Season away (18)83.877.2161.0+6.672%
Last 10 (10)82.178.2160.3+3.970%
Last 5 (5)78.869.0147.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)80.580.4160.8+0.156%
vs Weaker (5)94.279.4173.6+14.8100%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#5
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
63-85
63
85
-22
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
21-21
31-25
21-18
23-15
14-20
18-18
20-20
23-25
22-18
16-14
13-17
17-20
19-21
20-17
14-19
18-5
19-14
15-27
25-11
21-14
12-17
20-21
18-25
24-18
11-15
23-14
26-11
10-28
10-16
25-13
18-28
14-12
15-10
29-29
17-18
25-16
8-27
14-13
12-21
150.9Avg total
76.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)85.179.3164.5+5.868%
Season at home (23)84.079.9163.9+4.061%
Season away (17)86.778.6165.3+8.176%
Last 10 (10)76.074.9150.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)70.473.2143.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (21)82.779.7162.4+3.062%
vs Weaker (9)97.177.7174.8+19.489%
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.4-0.4
AguadaNacional
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A22/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#6
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A08/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A30/04
Liga Uruguaya
71.5Avg total
39.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.036.275.3+2.855%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.935.773.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (11)40.937.178.0+3.855%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.571.5+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.628.265.8+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)37.336.974.2+0.448%-
vs Weaker (4)49.832.081.8+17.8100%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#1
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H01/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A05/04
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
20-44
20
44
-24
H23/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
W
29-22
29
22
+7
A26/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
71.0Avg total
35.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.737.378.0+3.469%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.737.879.5+3.969%-
Last 30 away (13)39.536.676.2+2.969%-
Last 10 (10)35.036.071.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.664.6-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)38.136.975.0+1.265%-
vs Weaker (9)46.638.284.8+8.378%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Aguada wins
2
Nacional wins
DateGameScore
30/04/19Nacional v Aguada59-77
26/04/19Aguada v Nacional69-75
23/04/19Nacional v Aguada63-85
11/03/19Aguada v Nacional123-117 OT
19/01/19Aguada v Nacional96-90
06/11/18Nacional v Aguada70-77
05/05/18Aguada v Nacional84-77
01/05/18Nacional v Aguada55-74
27/04/18Aguada v Nacional81-91
24/04/18Nacional v Aguada61-79
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/19ANacional77-59
26/04/19HNacional69-75
23/04/19ANacional85-63
08/04/19ADefensor93-81
03/04/19HDefensor70-67
28/03/19ADefensor90-81
26/03/19HDefensor74-86
22/03/19ADefensor76-71
15/03/19HUrunday64-82
11/03/19HNacional123-117 OT
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/19HAguada59-77
26/04/19AAguada75-69
23/04/19HAguada63-85
09/04/19HOlimpia Kings84-58
05/04/19AOlimpia Kings71-77
01/04/19HOlimpia Kings77-57
30/03/19AOlimpia Kings70-77
26/03/19HOlimpia Kings89-84 OT
20/03/19HMalvin75-73
15/03/19HTrouville97-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW66%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayWWWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %66%60%72%
Points / game83.282.683.8
Allowed / game79.581.577.2
Point differential+3.7+1.1+6.6
Avg total162.6164.1161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%30%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%5%6%
Nacional
Liga Uruguaya 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL68%
HomeWWWLL61%
AwayWLLLW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402317
Win %68%61%76%
Points / game85.184.086.7
Allowed / game79.379.978.6
Point differential+5.8+4.0+8.1
Avg total164.5163.9165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%35%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %5%4%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Malvin40301075%83.077.6+5.4
2 Nacional40271368%85.179.3+5.8
3 Aguada38251366%83.279.5+3.7
4 Olimpia Kings37221559%84.379.2+5.1
5 Trouville36201656%80.876.9+3.9
6 Defensor36201656%86.784.8+1.9
7 Urunday40221855%80.278.1+2.1
8 Goes33171652%85.282.4+2.9
9 Hebraica y Macabi32161650%84.182.7+1.5
10 Bigua38191950%80.880.8-0.0
11 Welcome2671927%80.386.2-5.9
12 Atenas2671927%80.892.9-12.1
13 Sayago2632312%78.691.3-12.8
14 Verdirrojo262248%76.592.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2123161878
Nacional2314222786
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