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Nagasaki vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 78-83
24-27 19-15 13-16 22-25
Position#16
Record13-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#21
Record9-22
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game84.8
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Brave Thunders
07 Feb 2027
NAGA v BRAV
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
NAGA v BRAV
upcoming
26 Jan 2025
NAGA78
BRAV83
25 Jan 2025
NAGA76
BRAV80
03 Dec 2023
NAGA92
BRAV85
02 Dec 2023
NAGA77
BRAV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 69
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-75
91
75
+16
89avg 69
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
86avg 69
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 69
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 69
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 69
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 69
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 69
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 69
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 69
H25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
10-15
23-17
26-18
23-20
25-25
13-15
30-15
15-18
16-31
25-15
24-16
27-8
14-15
18-25
20-18
29-21
9-20
20-13
12-22
22-21
13-12
24-23
16-23
23-27
16-16
12-22
16-25
31-20
16-7
12-24
12-27
23-21
14-23
18-15
15-23
16-24
28-18
17-17
15-21
155.7Avg total
77.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.676.1149.7-2.542%
Season at home (17)71.475.8147.2-4.535%
Season away (14)76.376.5152.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)77.378.4155.7-1.140%
Last 5 (5)71.881.8153.6-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.976.9146.8-7.030%
vs Similar (13)71.276.1147.3-4.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.976.3159.1+6.671%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
75avg 73
A18/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
78avg 73
A21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
65-97
65
97
-32
56avg 73
A22/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 73
H28/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
89-78
89
78
+11
91avg 73
H29/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
61-82
61
82
-21
50avg 73
H04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 73
H05/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
80-94
80
94
-14
76avg 73
A11/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
73-66
73
66
+7
64avg 73
A12/01
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 73
A25/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
19-27
13-25
21-18
23-17
18-34
16-18
22-19
20-29
19-20
16-15
10-33
19-17
21-20
14-21
28-16
17-16
22-12
26-27
24-23
13-19
16-27
17-22
15-14
15-18
11-26
22-13
29-14
14-22
24-14
18-33
24-25
16-17
18-23
25-15
14-11
24-16
18-28
17-17
21-15
159.1Avg total
77.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.684.8160.5-9.229%
Season at home (15)72.880.6153.4-7.833%
Season away (16)78.388.8167.1-10.425%
Last 10 (10)77.082.1159.1-5.150%
Last 5 (5)74.277.8152.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.185.5159.6-11.420%
vs Similar (10)78.284.7162.9-6.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
NagasakiBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/01
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H25/01
B League
77.3Avg total
38.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.376.5-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.938.474.4-2.550%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.378.9-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.577.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.878.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.041.975.9-7.920%-
vs Similar (13)37.837.475.2+0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.639.179.7+1.471%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A18/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H29/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H05/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/01
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A25/01
B League
80.5Avg total
37.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.980.7-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.337.672.9-2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.147.587.6-7.419%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.780.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.842.075.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.042.680.7-4.625%-
vs Similar (10)37.543.480.9-5.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.717.5
47.7%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.4
36.2%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
72.7%13.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.0
48.8%
51.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.2
31.7%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.511.6
80.0%
72.7%11.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLLWWWW
Brave Thunders
WWLWLWWLLL
#16
League position
#21
-1.5
Net rating
-7.3
105.7
Offensive rating
102.8
107.2
Defensive rating
110.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.2%
3-point %
31.7%
65.1%
Assist %
78.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 102.8Defence107.2 · 110.1Shooting50.4% · 48.3%3-point %36.2% · 31.7%Ball care18.2% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.0% · 30.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
2
Brave Thunders wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Nagasaki v Brave Thunders76-80
03/12/23Nagasaki v Brave Thunders92-85
02/12/23Nagasaki v Brave Thunders77-80 OT
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HBrave Thunders76-80
11/01/25AHiroshima D.70-82
10/01/25AHiroshima D.71-78
05/01/25HYokohama67-90
04/01/25HYokohama75-79
29/12/24ASendai70-76
28/12/24ASendai79-66
22/12/24AIbaraki Robots97-85 OT
21/12/24AIbaraki Robots91-75
18/12/24HShimane77-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25ANagasaki80-76
12/01/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles73-66
11/01/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles80-94
05/01/25HSendai77-71
04/01/25HSendai61-82
29/12/24HIbaraki Robots89-78
28/12/24HIbaraki Robots82-74
22/12/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-97
21/12/24ASeaHorses Mikawa79-88
18/12/24ADiamond Dolphins84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeWWLLL35%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %42%35%50%
Points / game73.671.476.3
Allowed / game76.175.876.5
Point differential-2.5-4.5-0.2
Avg total149.7147.2152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)30% (10)-
Overtime %6%6%7%
Brave Thunders
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW29%
HomeLWWLW33%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game75.672.878.3
Allowed / game84.880.688.8
Point differential-9.2-7.8-10.4
Avg total160.5153.4167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%7%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3127487%92.378.0+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex3126584%85.975.7+10.2
3 Ryukyu3123874%84.076.0+8.0
4 Gunma3223972%78.671.2+7.4
5 SeaHorses Mikawa32221069%80.674.2+6.4
6 Alvark32221069%76.471.1+5.3
7 Chiba32211166%81.276.9+4.3
8 Shimane32201262%80.674.7+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya32181456%75.271.7+3.5
10 Diamond Dolphins32171553%83.082.6+0.4
11 Kyoto32161650%81.280.3+0.9
12 Osaka32161650%82.381.7+0.6
13 Akita32161650%72.873.3-0.5
14 Hiroshima D.32151747%77.481.2-3.9
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles32141844%76.080.3-4.3
16 Nagasaki31131842%73.676.1-2.5
17 Yokohama32122038%76.280.4-4.2
18 Saga32112134%74.176.7-2.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas32112134%77.881.2-3.4
20 Hokkaido32112134%73.979.6-5.8
21 Brave Thunders3192229%75.684.8-9.2
22 Sendai3282425%73.781.8-8.1
23 Ibaraki Robots3272522%73.082.1-9.2
24 Shiga3132810%74.487.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2419132278
Brave Thunders2715162583
← all games of the day
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