PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nagasaki vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 77-80 (OT)
11-24 22-16 17-16 20-14 7-10
Position#17
Record9-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#10
Record12-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game72.6
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Brave Thunders
07 Feb 2027
NAGA v BRAV
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
NAGA v BRAV
upcoming
26 Jan 2025
NAGA78
BRAV83
25 Jan 2025
NAGA76
BRAV80
03 Dec 2023
NAGA92
BRAV85
02 Dec 2023
NAGA77
BRAV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 80
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 80
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 80
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 80
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 80
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
98-81
98
81
+17
92avg 80
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
88-92
88
92
-4
72avg 80
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
97-101
97
101
-4
89avg 80
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 80
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
86-81
86
81
+5
86avg 80
A12/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
22-14
13-25
14-20
30-23
24-18
16-23
21-10
23-11
19-25
22-16
13-21
20-31
22-17
13-23
27-26
25-25
19-15
25-23
12-13
18-19
25-20
31-20
24-22
16-15
29-31
21-22
22-24
22-25
25-19
27-28
23-29
20-28
12-22
22-22
16-22
29-24
24-15
15-22
18-20
170.2Avg total
84.8Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.084.9171.9+2.164%
Season at home (5)84.082.8166.8+1.280%
Season away (9)88.786.1174.8+2.656%
Last 10 (10)84.885.4170.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)87.889.8177.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)86.285.8172.0+0.367%
vs Similar (4)81.283.5164.8-2.250%
vs Weaker (4)94.085.0179.0+9.075%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
87-70
87
70
+17
83avg 75
H20/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
72-58
72
58
+14
67avg 75
H21/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
87-66
87
66
+21
78avg 75
A25/10
B League
Osaka
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
73avg 75
A28/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
72-92
72
92
-20
62avg 75
A29/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
76-69
76
69
+7
74avg 75
A03/11
B League
Shimane
#12
W
85-81
85
81
+4
82avg 75
A04/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
75-59
75
59
+16
77avg 75
H08/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
84-63
84
63
+21
72avg 75
H11/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
71-61
71
61
+10
66avg 75
H12/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
22-18
21-20
20-13
14-10
22-14
16-16
20-18
29-23
21-8
20-27
17-8
16-19
23-15
15-19
25-21
16-29
22-17
18-24
16-22
18-22
19-13
16-14
23-20
20-24
16-25
21-17
28-15
24-11
12-15
18-21
21-12
23-14
23-21
18-12
20-16
11-14
20-18
31-15
9-14
148.1Avg total
78.8Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.572.6153.1+7.986%
Season at home (7)78.366.9145.1+11.486%
Season away (7)82.778.4161.1+4.386%
Last 10 (10)78.869.3148.1+9.590%
Last 5 (5)78.266.6144.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.578.5158.0+1.050%
vs Similar (12)82.176.6158.7+5.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.677.9161.6+5.769%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +4.0+4.0
NagasakiBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A22/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H25/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H29/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A04/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A05/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
B League
Sendai
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A11/11
B League
Sendai
#16
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A12/11
B League
87.6Avg total
45.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)46.142.688.6+3.571%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.441.085.4+3.480%-
Last 30 away (9)47.043.490.4+3.667%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.387.6+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.687.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)44.841.586.3+3.383%-
vs Similar (4)47.542.590.0+5.075%-
vs Weaker (4)46.544.290.8+2.250%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toyama
#24
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H20/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H21/10
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A25/10
B League
Osaka
#18
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A28/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A29/10
B League
Shimane
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A03/11
B League
Shimane
#12
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A04/11
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H08/11
B League
Gunma
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H11/11
B League
Gunma
#13
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H12/11
B League
74.4Avg total
39.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.878.6+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.136.876.8+3.362%-
Last 30 away (14)41.739.080.7+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.974.4+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.472.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.041.586.5+3.550%-
vs Similar (12)41.338.179.4+3.267%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)39.937.177.1+2.862%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.2
52.7%
50.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.3
34.9%
33.5%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
72.0%12.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.717.6
52.2%
50.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.5
36.5%
33.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.411.3
78.5%
72.0%11.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLLLWWLWWL
Brave Thunders
WWWWWLWWWW
#17
League position
#10
-1.8
Net rating
+13.5
106.3
Offensive rating
108.6
108.0
Defensive rating
95.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
53.4%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.9%
3-point %
36.5%
62.6%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 108.6Defence108.0 · 95.1Shooting52.6% · 53.4%3-point %34.9% · 36.5%Ball care17.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.6% · 27.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
0
Brave Thunders wins
No previous meetings.
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ASendai86-81
11/11/23ASendai70-94
08/11/23ADiamond Dolphins97-101
05/11/23AIbaraki Robots88-92
04/11/23AIbaraki Robots98-81
29/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa81-76
28/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa82-97
25/10/23HShimane77-73
22/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya91-74
21/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya78-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23HGunma71-61
11/11/23HGunma84-63
08/11/23HShinshu75-59
04/11/23AShimane85-81
03/11/23AShimane76-69
29/10/23AOsaka72-92
28/10/23AOsaka79-74
25/10/23ARyukyu87-66
21/10/23HToyama72-58
20/10/23HToyama87-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW64%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %64%80%56%
Points / game87.084.088.7
Allowed / game84.982.886.1
Point differential+2.1+1.2+2.6
Avg total171.9166.8174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %86%86%86%
Points / game80.578.382.7
Allowed / game72.666.978.4
Point differential+7.9+11.4+4.3
Avg total153.1145.1161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%86%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark1514193%80.961.9+19.0
2 NeoPhoenix1513287%87.976.2+11.7
3 Brave Thunders1412286%80.572.6+7.9
4 Utsunomiya Brex1512380%77.967.3+10.7
5 Diamond Dolphins1512380%84.678.1+6.5
6 Ryukyu1511473%81.877.5+4.3
7 Nagasaki149564%87.084.9+2.1
8 Osaka159660%83.080.0+3.0
9 Shimane169756%81.677.8+3.8
10 Chiba169756%82.984.4-1.6
11 Hiroshima D.158753%79.274.1+5.1
12 SeaHorses Mikawa158753%82.578.3+4.1
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles158753%73.675.0-1.4
14 Sendai157847%82.379.9+2.4
15 Saga157847%73.174.4-1.3
16 Yokohama156940%75.381.0-5.7
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya1551033%75.779.5-3.9
18 Gunma1551033%73.981.1-7.3
19 Shinshu1541127%76.383.6-7.3
20 Kyoto1541127%74.782.5-7.8
21 Akita1541127%69.377.3-8.0
22 Hokkaido1531220%72.280.5-8.3
23 Ibaraki Robots151147%75.887.4-11.6
24 Toyama150150%70.886.7-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nagasaki11221720777
Brave Thunders241616141080
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.