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Ibaraki Robots vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 75-91
20-23 25-25 15-13 15-30
Position#22
Record7-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#16
Record10-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game75.0
JapanB League· Adastria Mito Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ibaraki Robots v Nagasaki
28 Apr 2027
IBAR v NAGA
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
IBAR103
NAGA109
18 Apr 2026
IBAR69
NAGA90
22 Dec 2024
IBAR85
NAGA97
21 Dec 2024
IBAR75
NAGA91
05 Nov 2023
IBAR92
NAGA88
04 Nov 2023
IBAR81
NAGA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ibaraki Robots winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ibaraki RobotsJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRobots
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
74avg 68
A09/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
54-83
54
83
-29
48avg 68
A10/11
B League
Osaka
#13
L
77-82
77
82
-5
66avg 68
H30/11
B League
Osaka
#13
L
71-74
71
74
-3
62avg 68
H01/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
93-66
93
66
+27
97avg 68
A07/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
93-81
93
81
+12
90avg 68
A08/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
46-61
46
61
-15
29avg 68
A11/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
84-67
84
67
+17
83avg 68
H14/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
76avg 68
H15/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
60-78
60
78
-18
50avg 68
A18/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
20-12
23-21
24-28
15-16
14-27
13-17
12-23
20-20
22-19
20-19
15-24
23-18
18-18
11-24
19-14
25-17
19-20
22-8
27-21
34-24
11-16
29-14
19-27
12-16
10-13
13-22
11-10
20-18
15-14
25-18
24-17
25-8
16-30
16-14
21-17
17-15
19-25
12-19
12-19
148.4Avg total
74.3Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.581.0155.5-6.532%
Season at home (13)74.581.7156.2-7.231%
Season away (9)74.480.0154.4-5.633%
Last 10 (10)74.374.1148.4+0.250%
Last 5 (5)72.271.2143.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.284.8158.9-10.624%
vs Similar (3)74.071.3145.3+2.767%
vs Weaker (2)93.073.5166.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
68-71
68
71
-3
51avg 68
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
L
54-55
54
55
-1
44avg 68
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
51-80
51
80
-29
37avg 68
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
88avg 68
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
52-89
52
89
-37
37avg 68
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
62avg 68
H08/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
68avg 68
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 68
H14/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-73
83
73
+10
77avg 68
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 68
H18/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
16-25
20-14
12-20
22-21
9-8
13-13
10-13
13-23
12-15
10-22
16-20
21-17
22-23
18-20
32-18
17-19
12-26
14-20
9-24
26-24
17-18
16-19
16-14
17-22
26-22
27-16
12-28
23-21
22-23
15-21
24-14
16-14
21-16
25-13
21-30
18-23
10-15
23-17
26-18
149.4Avg total
72.5Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.075.0147.0-2.945%
Season at home (14)71.174.3145.4-3.243%
Season away (8)73.876.1149.9-2.450%
Last 10 (10)72.576.9149.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)81.479.2160.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.078.4151.4-5.443%
vs Similar (12)74.373.8148.2+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.579.8168.2+8.8100%
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
Ibaraki RobotsNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ibaraki RobotsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A09/11
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/11
B League
Osaka
#13
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H30/11
B League
Osaka
#13
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A08/12
B League
Akita
#14
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A11/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H14/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/12
B League
74.0Avg total
37.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.380.6-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.242.882.1-3.644%-
Last 30 away (12)39.239.178.3+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.574.0+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.871.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.042.181.2-3.140%-
vs Similar (3)37.336.774.0+0.767%-
vs Weaker (2)44.538.583.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/11
B League
Akita
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H10/11
B League
Saga
#18
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A01/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H18/12
B League
74.7Avg total
36.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.378.5-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.139.176.2-1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)39.642.081.6-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.774.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.678.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.743.780.4-7.029%-
vs Similar (12)38.938.577.4+0.442%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.234.075.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Ibaraki Robots) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ibaraki Robotstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ibaraki Robots: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.4
52.0%
51.2%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.4
36.0%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws13.38.0
60.2%
72.7%8.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.8
49.4%
51.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.1
32.9%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws15.711.0
70.1%
72.7%11.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ibaraki Robots
LWWLWWLLLW
Nagasaki
WWWLLLWLLL
#22
League position
#16
-1.0
Net rating
-5.3
100.9
Offensive rating
100.0
101.8
Defensive rating
105.2
52.8%
Effective FG%
49.4%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
19.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
32.9%
65.8%
Assist %
54.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 100.0Defence101.8 · 105.2Shooting52.8% · 49.4%3-point %36.0% · 32.9%Ball care18.8% · 19.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.22 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ibaraki Robots   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ibaraki Robots wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
05/11/23Ibaraki Robots v Nagasaki92-88
04/11/23Ibaraki Robots v Nagasaki81-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AHokkaido60-78
15/12/24HSendai78-69
14/12/24HSendai84-67
11/12/24AAkita46-61
08/12/24AShiga93-81
07/12/24AShiga93-66
01/12/24HOsaka71-74
30/11/24HOsaka77-82
10/11/24ASun Rockers Shibuya54-83
09/11/24ASun Rockers Shibuya87-80
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HShimane77-73
15/12/24HShiga83-73
14/12/24HShiga84-79
11/12/24AHiroshima D.82-88
08/12/24HAlvark81-83 OT
07/12/24HAlvark52-89
02/12/24ASaga93-78
01/12/24ASaga51-80
10/11/24HAkita54-55
09/11/24HAkita68-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ibaraki Robots
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL32%
HomeLLLWW31%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %32%31%33%
Points / game74.574.574.4
Allowed / game81.081.780.0
Point differential-6.5-7.2-5.6
Avg total155.5156.2154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%8%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW45%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %45%43%50%
Points / game72.071.173.8
Allowed / game75.074.376.1
Point differential-2.9-3.2-2.4
Avg total147.0145.4149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)38% (8)-
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark2319483%79.370.4+8.8
2 NeoPhoenix2218482%91.178.8+12.3
3 Utsunomiya Brex2218482%82.574.3+8.2
4 Ryukyu2216673%84.176.7+7.4
5 Gunma2316770%78.770.3+8.4
6 Chiba2316770%80.875.4+5.4
7 Shimane2315865%79.973.1+6.8
8 Sun Rockers Shibuya2214864%76.170.8+5.3
9 SeaHorses Mikawa2214864%79.474.8+4.5
10 Osaka23131057%81.979.9+2.0
11 Akita23121152%71.972.2-0.3
12 Kyoto22111150%80.979.5+1.4
13 Diamond Dolphins22111150%82.482.9-0.5
14 Nagasaki22101245%72.075.0-2.9
15 Hiroshima D.23101343%77.282.5-5.3
16 Hokkaido2291341%73.978.5-4.6
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2281436%74.982.0-7.1
18 Yokohama2381535%75.680.5-4.9
19 Saga2271532%74.076.8-2.8
20 Ibaraki Robots2271532%74.581.0-6.5
21 Koshigaya Alphas2261627%76.681.5-4.9
22 Sendai2251723%72.279.8-7.5
23 Brave Thunders2241818%75.486.5-11.1
24 Shiga221215%73.986.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ibaraki Robots2025151575
Nagasaki2325133091
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