PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Hiroshima D. vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 78-71
20-31 7-16 24-12 27-12
Position#15
Record11-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#16
Record13-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game75.7
JapanB League· Hiroshima Sun Plaza
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki
06 Nov 2026
HIRO v NAGA
upcoming
10 Dec 2025
HIRO74
NAGA105
11 Jan 2025
HIRO82
NAGA70
10 Jan 2025
HIRO78
NAGA71
11 Dec 2024
HIRO88
NAGA82
31 Jan 2024
HIRO74
NAGA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hiroshima D. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 71
A15/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-87
74
87
-13
62avg 71
H18/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
80-79
80
79
+1
74avg 71
A21/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 71
A22/12
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
84-73
84
73
+11
68avg 71
A25/12
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
70avg 71
H28/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
90avg 71
H29/12
B League
Akita
#14
W
74-72
74
72
+2
73avg 71
H04/01
B League
Akita
#14
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 71
H05/01
B League
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
94-63
94
63
+31
95avg 71
H08/01
EASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
23-21
13-11
19-16
21-24
15-19
15-24
23-20
22-19
23-20
21-17
14-23
18-24
24-20
17-24
14-17
26-16
27-21
14-23
17-13
27-25
19-23
18-21
15-25
26-28
20-17
24-15
18-28
18-23
22-17
17-16
17-16
20-18
13-15
10-18
17-18
30-18
22-19
16-14
26-12
158.7Avg total
79.1Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.082.8159.7-5.839%
Season at home (12)80.281.7161.8-1.550%
Season away (16)74.683.6158.1-9.031%
Last 10 (10)79.179.6158.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.279.6159.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.187.2162.3-12.19%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.579.6161.1+1.971%
vs Weaker (5)84.472.0156.4+12.480%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
68avg 69
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 69
H14/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-73
83
73
+10
77avg 69
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 69
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-75
91
75
+16
89avg 69
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
86avg 69
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 69
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 69
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 69
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 69
H05/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
26-22
27-16
12-28
23-21
22-23
15-21
24-14
16-14
21-16
25-13
21-30
18-23
10-15
23-17
26-18
23-20
25-25
13-15
30-15
15-18
16-31
25-15
24-16
27-8
14-15
18-25
20-18
29-21
9-20
20-13
12-22
22-21
13-12
24-23
16-23
23-27
16-16
12-22
16-25
158.9Avg total
80.5Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.775.7149.4-2.046%
Season at home (16)71.175.6146.6-4.538%
Season away (12)77.275.9153.2+1.358%
Last 10 (10)80.578.4158.9+2.160%
Last 5 (5)77.679.2156.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.576.1146.5-5.636%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.475.4146.7-4.036%
vs Weaker (8)86.477.6164.0+8.888%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
Hiroshima D.Nagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A15/12
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A21/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A22/12
B League
Taoyuan Pauian Pilots
#2
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A25/12
EASL
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H29/12
B League
Akita
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H04/01
B League
Akita
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H05/01
B League
San Miguel Beermen
#10
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H08/01
EASL
85.3Avg total
44.0Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.383.9-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.341.383.6+1.046%-
Last 30 away (17)41.143.184.2-1.935%-
Last 10 (10)44.041.385.3+2.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.684.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.443.581.9-5.218%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.242.686.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (5)41.638.680.2+3.060%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/01
B League
77.5Avg total
38.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.675.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.437.873.2-2.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.639.678.2-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.077.5-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.240.975.1-6.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.137.774.8-0.636%-
vs Weaker (8)40.436.877.1+3.675%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.815.7
47.9%
51.2%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.211.4
36.5%
33.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
72.7%13.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.9
48.5%
51.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
33.4%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.712.4
74.3%
72.7%12.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hiroshima D.
WLWLLWLWLW
Nagasaki
LLLWWWWWWL
#15
League position
#16
-4.7
Net rating
+2.9
106.9
Offensive rating
109.2
111.7
Defensive rating
106.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.5%
3-point %
37.9%
69.4%
Assist %
62.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 109.2Defence111.7 · 106.4Shooting51.2% · 52.1%3-point %36.5% · 37.9%Ball care17.5% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.1% · 32.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Hiroshima D.   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Hiroshima D. wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
11/12/24Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki88-82
17/04/24Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.89-78
31/01/24Hiroshima D. v Nagasaki74-85
31/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.68-86
30/12/23Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.64-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HSan Miguel Beermen94-63
05/01/25HAkita60-69
04/01/25HAkita74-72
29/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex94-100 OT
28/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex79-94
25/12/24ATaoyuan Pauian Pilots84-73
22/12/24AYokohama73-85
21/12/24AYokohama80-79
18/12/24HKyoto74-87
15/12/24ASaga79-74
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HYokohama67-90
04/01/25HYokohama75-79
29/12/24ASendai70-76
28/12/24ASendai79-66
22/12/24AIbaraki Robots97-85 OT
21/12/24AIbaraki Robots91-75
18/12/24HShimane77-73
15/12/24HShiga83-73
14/12/24HShiga84-79
11/12/24AHiroshima D.82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hiroshima D.
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLLLWL50%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %39%50%31%
Points / game77.080.274.6
Allowed / game82.881.783.6
Point differential-5.8-1.5-9.0
Avg total159.7161.8158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayLWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %46%38%58%
Points / game73.771.177.2
Allowed / game75.775.675.9
Point differential-2.0-4.5+1.3
Avg total149.4146.6153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%12%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (9)-
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2723485%91.578.9+12.6
2 Utsunomiya Brex2823582%84.375.5+8.9
3 Ryukyu2821775%83.575.1+8.4
4 Gunma2820871%78.971.4+7.5
5 SeaHorses Mikawa2820871%80.773.7+7.0
6 Alvark2820871%76.870.4+6.4
7 Chiba28181064%80.275.8+4.4
8 Shimane28171161%80.275.0+5.2
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya28171161%75.970.8+5.1
10 Osaka28151354%81.880.5+1.4
11 Diamond Dolphins28151354%82.182.1-0.1
12 Kyoto28141450%81.480.9+0.5
13 Akita28141450%72.272.2-0.0
14 Nagasaki28131546%73.775.7-2.0
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles28131546%74.979.5-4.6
16 Yokohama28111739%76.679.9-3.3
17 Hiroshima D.28111739%77.082.8-5.8
18 Hokkaido28101836%73.679.0-5.4
19 Saga2891932%73.877.0-3.2
20 Koshigaya Alphas2882029%77.181.8-4.7
21 Sendai2872125%72.379.1-6.8
22 Ibaraki Robots2872125%74.482.6-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2872125%75.485.5-10.0
24 Shiga272257%74.487.7-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hiroshima D.207242778
Nagasaki3116121271
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.