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Sendai vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 76-70
21-29 20-9 13-20 22-12
Position#23
Record5-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game80.2
Sendai 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#16
Record13-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game75.0
JapanB League· Xebio Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sendai v Nagasaki
11 Feb 2027
SEND v NAGA
upcoming
29 Dec 2024
SEND76
NAGA70
28 Dec 2024
SEND66
NAGA79
12 Nov 2023
SEND81
NAGA86
11 Nov 2023
SEND94
NAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sendai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SendaiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSendai
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
L
67-78
67
78
-11
62avg 69
H01/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
78-94
78
94
-16
72avg 69
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
64-81
64
81
-17
51avg 69
H08/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 69
H11/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
67-84
67
84
-17
56avg 69
A14/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 69
A15/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 69
A18/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
72-85
72
85
-13
64avg 69
H21/12
B League
Saga
#18
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 69
H22/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 69
H28/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
20-19
15-22
5-19
16-34
33-23
14-28
15-9
19-21
17-22
15-18
13-20
16-28
19-22
18-19
18-13
18-20
14-15
18-25
17-24
8-25
30-16
14-16
17-21
14-18
20-14
18-13
16-15
26-22
20-17
17-23
9-23
20-15
21-23
19-26
9-23
8-27
15-14
25-18
18-20
149.9Avg total
69.1Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.880.2152.1-8.420%
Season at home (16)69.979.9149.8-9.912%
Season away (9)75.280.9156.1-5.733%
Last 10 (10)69.180.8149.9-11.710%
Last 5 (5)68.877.8146.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)72.280.2152.3-8.022%
vs Similar (4)79.884.5164.2-4.825%
vs Weaker (3)85.080.3165.3+4.767%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
93-78
93
78
+15
88avg 69
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
52-89
52
89
-37
37avg 69
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
62avg 69
H08/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
68avg 69
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
84-79
84
79
+5
72avg 69
H14/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
83-73
83
73
+10
77avg 69
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 69
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-75
91
75
+16
89avg 69
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
86avg 69
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 69
A28/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
22-23
18-20
32-18
17-19
12-26
14-20
9-24
26-24
17-18
16-19
16-14
17-22
26-22
27-16
12-28
23-21
22-23
15-21
24-14
16-14
21-16
25-13
21-30
18-23
10-15
23-17
26-18
23-20
25-25
13-15
30-15
15-18
16-31
25-15
24-16
27-8
14-15
18-25
20-18
160.8Avg total
81.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.175.0149.1-0.952%
Season at home (14)71.174.3145.4-3.243%
Season away (11)77.975.9153.8+2.064%
Last 10 (10)81.978.9160.8+3.070%
Last 5 (5)85.474.4159.8+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.276.8148.9-4.642%
vs Similar (11)73.873.9147.7-0.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.777.9166.6+10.9100%
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
SendaiNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SendaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H01/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H07/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H11/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A15/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A18/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H21/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
B League
Nagasaki
#16
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H28/12
B League
79.4Avg total
38.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.779.1-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.041.378.3-4.342%-
Last 30 away (11)40.839.780.5+1.145%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.379.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.274.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)38.040.078.0-2.043%-
vs Similar (4)40.841.282.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (3)38.345.784.0-7.333%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A02/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H07/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H08/12
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A11/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/12
B League
Shiga
#24
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A28/12
B League
78.8Avg total
38.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.477.1-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.238.474.6-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.540.580.0-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.078.8-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.074.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.641.977.5-6.325%-
vs Similar (11)38.338.676.9-0.436%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.736.176.9+4.686%-
This opponent (Sendai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sendaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sendai: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.3
49.3%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.26.7
24.6%
33.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws15.312.0
78.4%
72.7%12.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.6
48.6%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.3
38.0%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
72.7%15.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sendai
LLLWLLLLLL
Nagasaki
WWWWWWLLLW
#23
League position
#16
-15.8
Net rating
+4.0
97.6
Offensive rating
109.3
113.3
Defensive rating
105.2
44.1%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.6%
3-point %
38.0%
66.4%
Assist %
62.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 109.3Defence113.3 · 105.2Shooting44.1% · 52.2%3-point %24.6% · 38.0%Ball care16.5% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.8% · 30.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Sendai   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Sendai wins
2
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Sendai v Nagasaki66-79
12/11/23Sendai v Nagasaki81-86
11/11/23Sendai v Nagasaki94-70
Sendailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24HNagasaki66-79
22/12/24HSaga69-87
21/12/24HSaga72-85
18/12/24AChiba68-60
15/12/24AIbaraki Robots69-78
14/12/24AIbaraki Robots67-84
11/12/24HUtsunomiya Brex71-82
08/12/24HSeaHorses Mikawa64-81
07/12/24HSeaHorses Mikawa78-94
01/12/24HGunma67-78
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24ASendai79-66
22/12/24AIbaraki Robots97-85 OT
21/12/24AIbaraki Robots91-75
18/12/24HShimane77-73
15/12/24HShiga83-73
14/12/24HShiga84-79
11/12/24AHiroshima D.82-88
08/12/24HAlvark81-83 OT
07/12/24HAlvark52-89
02/12/24ASaga93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sendai
B League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %20%12%33%
Points / game71.869.975.2
Allowed / game80.279.980.9
Point differential-8.4-9.9-5.7
Avg total152.1149.8156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %12%12%11%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW52%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %52%43%64%
Points / game74.171.177.9
Allowed / game75.074.375.9
Point differential-0.9-3.2+2.0
Avg total149.1145.4153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%14%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)38% (8)-
Overtime %8%7%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2521484%91.078.8+12.1
2 Alvark2520580%78.370.3+8.0
3 Utsunomiya Brex2520580%83.375.5+7.8
4 Gunma2518772%78.970.5+8.4
5 Ryukyu2518772%83.075.6+7.4
6 SeaHorses Mikawa2517868%80.774.4+6.3
7 Chiba2517868%81.276.0+5.2
8 Shimane2516964%80.374.0+6.3
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya25151060%76.671.4+5.2
10 Kyoto25131252%81.680.2+1.3
11 Osaka25131252%81.580.5+1.0
12 Akita25131252%72.072.2-0.2
13 Diamond Dolphins25131252%82.382.7-0.4
14 Nagasaki25131252%74.175.0-0.9
15 Hiroshima D.25101540%77.183.0-6.0
16 Nagoya Fighting Eagles25101540%73.979.9-6.0
17 Saga2591636%74.576.0-1.5
18 Yokohama2591636%76.280.4-4.2
19 Hokkaido2591636%74.080.0-5.9
20 Ibaraki Robots2571828%74.982.1-7.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas2461825%77.182.5-5.5
22 Sendai2552020%71.880.2-8.4
23 Brave Thunders2552020%75.486.5-11.1
24 Shiga242228%74.286.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sendai2120132276
Nagasaki299201270
← all games of the day
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