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Nagasaki vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 76-80
16-24 28-18 17-17 15-21
Position#16
Record13-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#21
Record8-22
FormWLWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game85.1
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nagasaki v Brave Thunders
07 Feb 2027
NAGA v BRAV
upcoming
05 Feb 2027
NAGA v BRAV
upcoming
26 Jan 2025
NAGA78
BRAV83
25 Jan 2025
NAGA76
BRAV80
03 Dec 2023
NAGA92
BRAV85
02 Dec 2023
NAGA77
BRAV80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
83-73
83
73
+10
77avg 69
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
74avg 69
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
91-75
91
75
+16
89avg 69
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
97-85 OT
97
85
+12
86avg 69
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 69
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
70-76
70
76
-6
56avg 69
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
75-79
75
79
-4
66avg 69
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
67-90
67
90
-23
59avg 69
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
71-78
71
78
-7
62avg 69
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 69
A11/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
21-16
25-13
21-30
18-23
10-15
23-17
26-18
23-20
25-25
13-15
30-15
15-18
16-31
25-15
24-16
27-8
14-15
18-25
20-18
29-21
9-20
20-13
12-22
22-21
13-12
24-23
16-23
23-27
16-16
12-22
16-25
31-20
16-7
12-24
12-27
23-21
14-23
18-15
15-23
155.7Avg total
78.0Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.576.0149.5-2.543%
Season at home (16)71.175.6146.6-4.538%
Season away (14)76.376.5152.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)78.077.7155.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)70.681.0151.6-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.576.1146.5-5.636%
vs Similar (13)71.276.1147.3-4.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.075.7159.7+8.383%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
L
83-84
83
84
-1
77avg 73
H15/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
75avg 73
A18/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
79-88
79
88
-9
78avg 73
A21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
65-97
65
97
-32
56avg 73
A22/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-74
82
74
+8
82avg 73
H28/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
89-78
89
78
+11
91avg 73
H29/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
61-82
61
82
-21
50avg 73
H04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
W
77-71
77
71
+6
68avg 73
H05/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
80-94
80
94
-14
76avg 73
A11/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
73-66
73
66
+7
64avg 73
A12/01
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
26-15
15-31
20-18
31-25
19-27
13-25
21-18
23-17
18-34
16-18
22-19
20-29
19-20
16-15
10-33
19-17
21-20
14-21
28-16
17-16
22-12
26-27
24-23
13-19
16-27
17-22
15-14
15-18
11-26
22-13
29-14
14-22
24-14
18-33
24-25
16-17
18-23
25-15
14-11
160.2Avg total
77.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.585.1160.6-9.627%
Season at home (15)72.880.6153.4-7.833%
Season away (15)78.289.6167.8-11.420%
Last 10 (10)77.382.9160.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)76.078.2154.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.285.3159.4-11.120%
vs Similar (10)78.284.7162.9-6.540%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
NagasakiBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
B League
Shimane
#8
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H18/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A21/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/12
B League
Sendai
#23
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A28/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H04/01
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A10/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A11/01
B League
75.4Avg total
38.1Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.938.975.9-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.437.873.2-2.350%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.378.9-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.375.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.240.975.1-6.727%-
vs Similar (13)37.837.475.2+0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.038.778.7+1.367%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H15/12
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A18/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A21/12
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H29/12
B League
Sendai
#23
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H04/01
B League
Sendai
#23
L
26-44
26
44
-18
H05/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/01
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A12/01
B League
80.2Avg total
38.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.842.580.3-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.737.373.0-1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.947.787.7-7.820%-
Last 10 (10)38.441.880.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.238.872.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.042.180.1-4.130%-
vs Similar (10)37.543.480.9-5.950%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.5
48.6%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.8
37.4%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.312.8
69.9%
72.7%12.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.520.3
48.9%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.1
32.0%
33.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.211.8
77.6%
72.7%11.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWWW
Brave Thunders
WLWLWWLLLL
#16
League position
#21
+0.4
Net rating
-7.5
107.3
Offensive rating
104.6
106.9
Defensive rating
112.1
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.4%
3-point %
32.0%
64.1%
Assist %
76.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 104.6Defence106.9 · 112.1Shooting51.8% · 48.6%3-point %37.4% · 32.0%Ball care18.1% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.7% · 30.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nagasaki wins
1
Brave Thunders wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Nagasaki v Brave Thunders92-85
02/12/23Nagasaki v Brave Thunders77-80 OT
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AHiroshima D.70-82
10/01/25AHiroshima D.71-78
05/01/25HYokohama67-90
04/01/25HYokohama75-79
29/12/24ASendai70-76
28/12/24ASendai79-66
22/12/24AIbaraki Robots97-85 OT
21/12/24AIbaraki Robots91-75
18/12/24HShimane77-73
15/12/24HShiga83-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles73-66
11/01/25ANagoya Fighting Eagles80-94
05/01/25HSendai77-71
04/01/25HSendai61-82
29/12/24HIbaraki Robots89-78
28/12/24HIbaraki Robots82-74
22/12/24ASeaHorses Mikawa65-97
21/12/24ASeaHorses Mikawa79-88
18/12/24ADiamond Dolphins84-95
15/12/24HHokkaido83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %43%38%50%
Points / game73.571.176.3
Allowed / game76.075.676.5
Point differential-2.5-4.5-0.2
Avg total149.5146.6152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%12%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (9)-
Overtime %7%6%7%
Brave Thunders
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW27%
HomeLWWLW33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game75.572.878.2
Allowed / game85.180.689.6
Point differential-9.6-7.8-11.4
Avg total160.6153.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3026487%92.978.5+14.4
2 Utsunomiya Brex3025583%85.375.4+9.9
3 Ryukyu3023777%83.975.0+8.9
4 Gunma3122971%78.571.4+7.2
5 Alvark3021970%76.270.6+5.6
6 SeaHorses Mikawa32221069%80.674.2+6.4
7 Chiba31201165%81.076.9+4.2
8 Shimane32201262%80.674.7+5.8
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya31181358%75.671.5+4.0
10 Kyoto31161552%82.080.6+1.4
11 Osaka31161552%81.981.1+0.9
12 Diamond Dolphins31161552%82.482.2+0.2
13 Akita31151648%72.373.8-1.5
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles31141745%76.080.1-4.1
15 Hiroshima D.31141745%77.682.0-4.5
16 Nagasaki30131743%73.576.0-2.5
17 Yokohama31121939%76.580.4-3.9
18 Saga30111937%74.176.1-2.0
19 Hokkaido30102033%73.579.6-6.1
20 Koshigaya Alphas3092130%77.381.7-4.4
21 Brave Thunders3082227%75.585.1-9.6
22 Sendai3182326%73.681.9-8.3
23 Ibaraki Robots3172423%73.481.9-8.5
24 Shiga302287%74.288.1-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki1628171576
Brave Thunders2418172180
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