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Nagasaki vs Gunma Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 70-59
15-16 27-19 9-10 19-14
Position#16
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#9
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game69.2
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Gunma
10 Oct 2026
NAGA70
GUNM59
03 Mar 2024
NAGA78
GUNM91
02 Mar 2024
NAGA67
GUNM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#18
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H23/09
B League
Shimane
#18
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H08/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
18-27
24-11
17-14
36-24
20-22
24-20
22-27
9-20
21-16
21-18
18-17
20-14
11-15
21-9
14-22
17-10
19-13
19-22
17-19
16-17
22-28
12-22
14-22
22-23
19-17
16-27
21-18
21-10
11-16
12-25
30-23
2-21
22-20
21-31
20-18
19-22
16-24
15-10
24-15
152.9Avg total
74.8Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.483.8155.2-12.420%
Season at home (3)72.081.7153.7-9.733%
Season away (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)74.878.1152.9-3.350%
Last 5 (5)71.483.8155.2-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
vs Similar (3)72.081.7153.7-9.733%
vs Weaker (25)87.579.3166.8+8.276%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/05
B League
Sendai
#11
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
H03/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
87-68
87
68
+19
A09/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
79-85
79
85
-6
A10/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A11/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H24/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H26/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H03/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H04/10
B League
Ryukyu
#11
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A08/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
25-12
16-25
26-20
17-6
16-23
26-19
12-23
22-21
28-14
18-17
19-16
11-25
30-23
25-18
13-19
18-18
23-19
6-15
21-20
23-21
19-13
20-14
14-26
19-17
26-23
24-13
22-6
19-23
18-8
22-29
13-11
17-17
21-17
22-23
26-20
13-15
18-16
22-12
23-22
154.4Avg total
80.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.269.2149.4+11.0100%
Season at home (4)81.270.2151.5+11.0100%
Season away (1)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.573.9154.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)80.269.2149.4+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)78.474.2152.7+4.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.468.5152.9+16.086%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
NagasakiGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/09
B League
Shimane
#18
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/09
B League
Kyoto
#7
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A03/10
B League
Kyoto
#7
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A04/10
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H08/10
B League
74.5Avg total
36.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.982.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.240.883.9+2.458%-
Last 30 away (11)40.738.479.1+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.174.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.673.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.033.561.5-5.550%-
vs Similar (3)38.043.781.7-5.733%-
vs Weaker (25)43.940.083.9+4.064%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H02/05
B League
Sendai
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H03/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A09/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A10/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A11/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H26/09
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#15
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/10
B League
Ryukyu
#11
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A08/10
B League
75.5Avg total
39.9Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.635.879.4+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.634.678.2+8.994%-
Last 30 away (13)43.537.480.9+6.262%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.675.5+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.072.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)42.237.479.7+4.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.135.179.3+9.086%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.116.8
50.8%
53.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.8
29.8%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.4
72.4%
73.7%14.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.0
49.9%
53.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.2
32.1%
32.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.113.6
79.5%
73.7%13.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLLLLWWLWW
Gunma
WWWWWLLWWW
#16
League position
#9
-4.3
Net rating
+6.1
85.9
Offensive rating
96.0
90.2
Defensive rating
89.9
47.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.8%
3-point %
32.1%
64.1%
Assist %
70.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence85.9 · 96.0Defence90.2 · 89.9Shooting47.9% · 49.0%3-point %29.8% · 32.1%Ball care14.8% · 11.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nagasaki wins
3
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Gunma v Nagasaki72-77
14/02/26Gunma v Nagasaki80-97
20/10/24Gunma v Nagasaki82-72
19/10/24Gunma v Nagasaki72-78
03/03/24Nagasaki v Gunma78-91
02/03/24Nagasaki v Gunma67-85
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26HShinshu74-71
04/10/26AKyoto65-90
03/10/26AKyoto76-84 OT
25/09/26HShimane78-85
23/09/26HShimane64-89
26/05/26HRyukyu72-64
24/05/26HRyukyu66-60
23/05/26HRyukyu69-71
16/05/26HChiba102-93
15/05/26HChiba82-74
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/26ARyukyu76-65
04/10/26HIbaraki Robots86-77
03/10/26HIbaraki Robots72-71
26/09/26HAltiri Chiba91-59
24/09/26HAltiri Chiba76-74
11/05/26AChiba68-72
10/05/26AChiba79-85
09/05/26AChiba87-68
03/05/26HSendai87-86 OT
02/05/26HSendai83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game71.472.070.5
Allowed / game83.881.787.0
Point differential-12.4-9.7-16.5
Avg total155.2153.7157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%0%50%
Gunma
B League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.281.276.0
Allowed / game69.270.265.0
Point differential+11.0+11.0+11.0
Avg total149.4151.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins440100%89.573.5+16.0
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Gunma550100%80.269.2+11.0
5 Kyoto65183%83.577.7+5.8
6 Alvark54180%96.486.8+9.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers64267%90.882.7+8.2
8 SeaHorses Mikawa53260%88.480.4+8.0
9 Utsunomiya Brex53260%83.077.0+6.0
10 Shimane53260%84.480.0+4.4
11 Sendai63350%89.083.7+5.3
12 Levanga Hokkaido63350%96.295.5+0.7
13 Yokohama63350%76.776.2+0.5
14 Toyama63350%84.586.8-2.3
15 Ryukyu52340%77.883.8-6.0
16 Brave Thunders52340%80.087.4-7.4
17 Shiga62433%91.790.2+1.5
18 Shinshu62433%83.884.3-0.5
19 Altiri Chiba62433%79.585.0-5.5
20 Kobe62433%78.284.3-6.2
21 Chiba62433%95.5103.0-7.5
22 Nagasaki51420%71.483.8-12.4
23 Akita51420%70.083.4-13.4
24 Osaka61517%69.782.2-12.5
25 Saga61517%76.091.0-15.0
26 Ibaraki Robots6060%78.384.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki152791970
Gunma1619101459
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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