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Gunma vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 72-78
20-19 28-18 4-23 20-18
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#16
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game63.8
JapanB League· Open House Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Gunma v Nagasaki
13 Feb 2027
GUNM v NAGA
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
GUNM72
NAGA77
14 Feb 2026
GUNM80
NAGA97
20 Oct 2024
GUNM82
NAGA72
19 Oct 2024
GUNM72
NAGA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gunma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
89-59
89
59
+30
85avg 73
H20/04
B League
Akita
#14
L
72-101
72
101
-29
55avg 73
H21/04
B League
Alvark
#2
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
85avg 73
A27/04
B League
Alvark
#2
L
64-80
64
80
-16
56avg 73
A28/04
B League
Sendai
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
94avg 73
H04/05
B League
Sendai
#16
L
79-98
79
98
-19
71avg 73
H05/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
82-53
82
53
+29
no box
H03/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
80avg 73
H05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
74avg 73
A12/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
61avg 73
A13/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
24-13
27-17
22-13
21-30
16-29
17-23
18-19
20-23
22-15
13-20
22-19
14-34
11-20
27-15
12-11
24-24
20-21
27-21
26-19
23-24
22-24
18-22
16-28
20-14
16-12
23-15
23-12
19-15
22-21
16-16
22-19
14-18
31-27
22-17
11-21
11-13
21-16
12-18
24-27
158.8Avg total
79.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.870.2147.0+6.550%
Season at home (2)80.562.0142.5+18.5100%
Season away (2)73.078.5151.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)79.879.0158.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.275.8153.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.887.8167.6-8.022%
vs Similar (14)80.678.1158.7+2.664%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)85.475.6161.0+9.986%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
67-98
67
98
-31
50avg 72
A20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
75avg 72
A21/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 72
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
77avg 72
H28/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 72
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
105-102 OT
105
102
+3
91avg 72
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-68
76
68
+8
68avg 72
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
53-58
53
58
-5
47avg 72
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
68-59
68
59
+9
66avg 72
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 72
A13/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-38
17-21
17-25
14-14
26-24
25-29
19-14
21-17
26-27
21-22
17-20
21-18
18-19
22-18
23-9
21-20
19-11
26-19
24-19
13-16
24-12
14-20
26-30
19-21
17-20
19-11
20-12
20-25
15-19
11-15
13-11
14-13
17-20
21-19
13-7
17-13
19-19
20-21
17-13
23-17
154.7Avg total
79.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.063.8132.8+5.275%
Season at home (2)64.563.0127.5+1.550%
Season away (2)73.564.5138.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.075.7154.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)76.271.4147.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.683.8163.4-4.143%
vs Similar (11)75.877.3153.1-1.555%
vs Weaker (5)87.280.4167.6+6.860%
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
GunmaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
B League
Akita
#14
L
37-59
37
59
-22
H21/04
B League
Alvark
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/04
B League
Alvark
#2
L
25-54
25
54
-29
A28/04
B League
Sendai
#16
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/05
B League
Sendai
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H05/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H03/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A12/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A13/10
B League
79.6Avg total
38.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.682.2-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.182.5+0.450%-
Last 30 away (16)40.042.082.0-2.038%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.979.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.047.488.4-6.433%-
vs Similar (14)40.140.780.8-0.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.435.777.1+5.771%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A20/04
B League
Ryukyu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/04
B League
Osaka
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H27/04
B League
Osaka
#18
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/04
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A05/05
B League
Kyoto
#21
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/05
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H04/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H05/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/10
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/10
B League
80.0Avg total
39.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.682.1-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.741.080.7-1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)41.342.183.4-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.480.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.435.270.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.644.282.8-5.621%-
vs Similar (11)42.541.383.7+1.255%-
vs Weaker (5)42.034.876.8+7.280%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.9
50.1%
51.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.2
36.3%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
72.7%14.3
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.1
48.7%
51.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.7
34.0%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws13.710.5
76.6%
72.7%10.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gunma
LLWWLWLWLW
Nagasaki
WWLWWWWLWL
#6
League position
#16
-1.5
Net rating
+3.9
105.9
Offensive rating
104.5
107.4
Defensive rating
100.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.3%
3-point %
34.0%
72.1%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 104.5Defence107.4 · 100.6Shooting51.9% · 49.7%3-point %36.3% · 34.0%Ball care16.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds21.9% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Gunma   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Gunma wins
0
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
03/03/24Nagasaki v Gunma78-91
02/03/24Nagasaki v Gunma67-85
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AKyoto68-74
12/10/24AKyoto78-83
05/10/24HHiroshima D.79-71
03/10/24HHiroshima D.82-53
05/05/24HSendai79-98
04/05/24HSendai97-85
28/04/24AAlvark64-80
27/04/24AAlvark90-86 OT
21/04/24HAkita72-101
20/04/24HAkita89-59
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AHokkaido79-70
12/10/24AHokkaido68-59
05/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya53-58
04/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya76-68
06/05/24AKyoto105-102 OT
05/05/24AKyoto82-65
28/04/24HOsaka84-66
27/04/24HOsaka85-87
21/04/24ARyukyu91-84
20/04/24ARyukyu67-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gunma
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.880.573.0
Allowed / game70.262.078.5
Point differential+6.5+18.5-5.5
Avg total147.0142.5151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game69.064.573.5
Allowed / game63.863.064.5
Point differential+5.2+1.5+9.0
Avg total132.8127.5138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka440100%85.068.8+16.2
2 Shimane440100%79.564.5+15.0
3 Alvark440100%83.569.2+14.2
4 Chiba54180%85.475.4+10.0
5 Saga54180%73.269.4+3.8
6 Diamond Dolphins43175%82.072.5+9.5
7 Nagasaki43175%69.063.8+5.2
8 NeoPhoenix43175%84.079.2+4.8
9 Ryukyu53260%85.876.6+9.2
10 Kyoto53260%76.472.6+3.8
11 Yokohama53260%76.878.2-1.4
12 Gunma42250%76.870.2+6.5
13 Utsunomiya Brex42250%82.281.5+0.8
14 SeaHorses Mikawa42250%73.072.5+0.5
15 Sun Rockers Shibuya42250%67.269.2-2.0
16 Akita52340%74.272.4+1.8
17 Ibaraki Robots41325%68.078.2-10.2
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles41325%66.079.5-13.5
19 Shiga51420%79.287.8-8.6
20 Brave Thunders51420%75.685.0-9.4
21 Sendai4040%70.576.2-5.8
22 Hokkaido4040%62.077.2-15.2
23 Hiroshima D.4040%67.283.0-15.8
24 Koshigaya Alphas4040%63.285.0-21.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gunma202842072
Nagasaki1918231878
← all games of the day
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