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Nagasaki vs Gunma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 78-91
24-26 24-19 19-22 11-24
Position#17
Record16-24
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Gunma 🏆
Japan
Position#13
Record22-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.3
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Gunma
10 Oct 2026
NAGA70
GUNM59
03 Mar 2024
NAGA78
GUNM91
02 Mar 2024
NAGA67
GUNM85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gunma winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
77avg 74
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
68-103
68
103
-35
57avg 74
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 74
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 74
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
W
99-92
99
92
+7
98avg 74
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
81-101
81
101
-20
73avg 74
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-97
76
97
-21
70avg 74
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
67-85
67
85
-18
55avg 74
H02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
12-28
20-22
18-22
18-27
25-24
18-29
14-18
17-22
16-29
16-28
19-24
26-23
23-21
21-12
15-18
20-21
19-25
17-22
20-23
23-28
18-27
20-14
22-14
18-21
29-26
24-17
28-28
16-33
29-21
21-22
15-25
15-37
12-19
23-18
26-23
22-20
14-26
17-23
14-16
172.1Avg total
79.6Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)81.285.1166.3-3.940%
Season at home (21)77.483.7161.1-6.233%
Season away (19)85.486.7172.1-1.347%
Last 10 (10)79.692.5172.1-12.920%
Last 5 (5)82.694.2176.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.488.9168.2-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.484.5161.9-7.130%
vs Weaker (4)82.079.0161.0+3.025%
This opponent (Gunma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGunma
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
100-93 OT
100
93
+7
no box
A21/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
97-93
97
93
+4
98avg 72
H27/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
81-87
81
87
-6
76avg 72
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 72
A31/01
B League
Saga
#15
W
79-68
79
68
+11
69avg 72
A03/02
B League
Saga
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
68avg 72
A04/02
B League
Sendai
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
75avg 72
H07/02
B League
Osaka
#18
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 72
H10/02
B League
Osaka
#18
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 72
H11/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
85-67
85
67
+18
74avg 72
A02/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
25-23
20-15
13-24
24-15
25-24
26-18
22-36
24-20
19-18
16-25
22-24
13-17
23-21
32-28
26-16
13-15
19-17
30-20
17-16
28-21
6-17
25-13
20-18
18-15
23-23
14-17
26-24
14-17
21-23
18-13
21-14
21-19
31-21
26-17
11-23
20-22
26-14
23-17
16-14
164.4Avg total
85.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)78.880.3159.1-1.555%
Season at home (21)80.980.7161.6+0.162%
Season away (19)76.479.8156.3-3.447%
Last 10 (10)85.978.5164.4+7.490%
Last 5 (5)81.672.4154.0+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.286.6169.8-3.440%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.278.1151.3-4.846%
vs Weaker (7)86.674.7161.3+11.9100%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
NagasakiGunma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akita
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A21/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H27/01
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H28/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A31/01
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H03/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H04/02
B League
Shimane
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A07/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A10/02
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A11/02
B League
Gunma
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
B League
89.5Avg total
40.1Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.883.8-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.843.180.9-5.325%-
Last 30 away (14)42.644.687.1-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)40.149.489.5-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)39.251.690.8-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.946.083.9-8.119%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)41.242.383.5-1.150%-
vs Weaker (4)45.838.884.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Gunma) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GunmaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#21
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A21/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H27/01
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H28/01
B League
Hokkaido
#20
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A31/01
B League
Saga
#15
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A03/02
B League
Saga
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A04/02
B League
Sendai
#16
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/02
B League
Osaka
#18
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H10/02
B League
Osaka
#18
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H11/02
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
B League
80.1Avg total
41.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.878.9-0.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.940.280.1-0.431%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.477.4-1.329%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.380.1+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.541.382.8+0.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.238.976.2-1.731%-
vs Weaker (7)38.939.478.3-0.629%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.4
69.5%
72.0%11.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gunmatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gunma: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.6
50.9%
50.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.8
40.0%
33.5%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.3
72.4%
72.0%16.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLWLLWLLL
Gunma
WWWWWWWLWW
#17
League position
#13
-17.5
Net rating
+11.7
100.4
Offensive rating
112.5
118.0
Defensive rating
100.8
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.4%
3-point %
40.0%
69.1%
Assist %
68.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 112.5Defence118.0 · 100.8Shooting50.6% · 54.1%3-point %32.4% · 40.0%Ball care18.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 27.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Gunma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
1
Gunma wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Nagasaki v Gunma67-85
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HGunma67-85
11/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-97
10/02/24AUtsunomiya Brex81-101
07/02/24AShimane99-92
04/02/24HDiamond Dolphins90-96 OT
03/02/24HDiamond Dolphins76-91
31/01/24AHiroshima D.85-74
28/01/24HNeoPhoenix68-103
27/01/24HNeoPhoenix75-98
21/01/24AAkita79-88
Gunmalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ANagasaki85-67
11/02/24HOsaka89-80
10/02/24HOsaka74-67
07/02/24HSendai81-79
04/02/24ASaga79-69
03/02/24ASaga79-68
31/01/24AHokkaido94-82
28/01/24HSeaHorses Mikawa81-87
27/01/24HSeaHorses Mikawa97-93
21/01/24AKyoto100-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %40%33%47%
Points / game81.277.485.4
Allowed / game85.183.786.7
Point differential-3.9-6.2-1.3
Avg total166.3161.1172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%5%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)80% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Gunma
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW55%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayWWWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %55%62%47%
Points / game78.880.976.4
Allowed / game80.380.779.8
Point differential-1.6+0.1-3.4
Avg total159.1161.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%5%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix4034685%90.278.0+12.2
2 Utsunomiya Brex4033782%79.268.1+11.1
3 Alvark4032880%81.768.8+12.9
4 Ryukyu40281270%81.276.7+4.5
5 Diamond Dolphins40271368%82.178.2+3.9
6 Chiba40261465%85.781.8+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa41261563%81.876.6+5.2
8 Shimane40231757%83.478.4+5.0
9 Brave Thunders40221855%80.577.1+3.4
10 Gunma40221855%78.880.3-1.6
11 Hiroshima D.40211952%78.774.0+4.8
12 Sun Rockers Shibuya40211952%75.774.5+1.1
13 Akita40211952%74.074.1-0.1
14 Saga40202050%74.974.8+0.1
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40192148%73.575.5-1.9
16 Sendai40182245%79.079.8-0.7
17 Yokohama40172342%76.782.2-5.5
18 Nagasaki40162440%81.285.1-3.9
19 Osaka41152637%77.682.5-5.0
20 Hokkaido40122830%74.580.5-5.9
21 Kyoto40122830%77.684.6-7.0
22 Ibaraki Robots4173417%73.785.1-11.4
23 Shinshu4063415%71.084.0-13.0
24 Toyama4143710%74.085.5-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2424191178
Gunma2619222491
← all games of the day
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