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Nagasaki vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 77-73
23-11 19-25 22-16 13-21
Position#17
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game82.3
vs
Position#12
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game72.5
JapanB League· Nagasaki Prefectural Sports Center (Nagasaki)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shimane
25 Sep 2026
NAGA78
SHIM85
23 Sep 2026
NAGA64
SHIM89
22 Apr 2026
NAGA106
SHIM74
02 Feb 2025
NAGA96
SHIM74
01 Feb 2025
NAGA69
SHIM78
18 Dec 2024
NAGA77
SHIM73
31 Mar 2024
NAGA81
SHIM85
30 Mar 2024
NAGA74
SHIM67
25 Oct 2023
NAGA77
SHIM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
83avg 85
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
90avg 85
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 85
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 85
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
78-85
78
85
-7
65avg 85
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 85
A22/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-24
14-18
27-24
26-18
18-23
25-23
20-22
25-25
17-26
28-15
26-18
32-20
24-21
16-27
22-15
29-26
22-14
13-25
14-20
30-23
24-18
16-23
21-10
172.2Avg total
89.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.882.3172.2+7.583%
Season at home (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Season away (4)89.881.5171.2+8.275%
Last 10 (6)89.882.3172.2+7.583%
Last 5 (5)89.682.4172.0+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (2)84.579.5164.0+5.050%
vs Weaker (2)95.083.5178.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A07/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H12/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
no box
H13/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H15/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
76-71
76
71
+5
77avg 69
H07/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 69
H08/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
no box
A14/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
85-65
85
65
+20
80avg 69
A15/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 69
H21/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
61-58
61
58
+3
46avg 69
H22/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
28-10
19-18
14-14
13-20
31-15
23-25
19-11
12-14
22-16
14-32
24-20
10-22
24-18
21-20
27-23
20-19
21-16
24-19
11-17
13-22
25-30
18-11
18-17
14-28
26-14
24-17
19-24
23-24
21-17
15-11
26-13
25-18
15-24
25-13
22-19
14-21
15-6
18-11
14-20
152.8Avg total
79.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.372.5151.8+6.883%
Season at home (4)74.570.8145.2+3.875%
Season away (2)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.373.5152.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)80.072.8152.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)80.977.4158.3+3.560%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.972.4153.3+8.587%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
NagasakiShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A21/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A22/10
B League
91.8Avg total
49.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)49.542.391.8+7.283%-
Last 30 at home (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 away (4)50.843.294.0+7.575%-
Last 10 (6)49.542.391.8+7.283%-
Last 5 (5)49.442.892.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
vs Similar (2)52.540.593.0+12.0100%-
vs Weaker (2)49.046.095.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A07/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/05
B League
Alvark
#6
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/05
B League
Alvark
#6
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/05
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#8
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H08/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/10
B League
Saga
#15
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/10
B League
Saga
#15
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H22/10
B League
76.4Avg total
38.8Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.175.5+1.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.737.675.3+0.156%-
Last 30 away (14)39.236.575.7+2.771%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)37.239.176.3-1.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.635.174.7+4.580%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
50.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.8
40.3%
33.5%35.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.0
67.9%
72.0%12.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.416.8
46.2%
50.9%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.4
34.2%
33.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.611.4
78.1%
72.0%11.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WLWWWW
Shimane
WWWWLWLLWW
#17
League position
#12
+8.7
Net rating
+11.2
112.7
Offensive rating
108.9
104.0
Defensive rating
97.8
57.1%
Effective FG%
48.5%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.0%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.3%
3-point %
34.2%
61.9%
Assist %
59.6%
83%
Form (last 6/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 108.9Defence104.0 · 97.8Shooting57.1% · 48.5%3-point %40.3% · 34.2%Ball care17.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 6/10)83% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nagasaki wins
0
Shimane wins
No previous meetings.
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya91-74
21/10/23ASun Rockers Shibuya78-85
15/10/23AToyama94-83
14/10/23AToyama96-84
09/10/23HChiba89-86
08/10/23HChiba91-82
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23HSaga61-58
21/10/23HSaga87-74
15/10/23AAkita85-65
14/10/23AAkita93-87 OT
08/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa74-80
07/10/23HSeaHorses Mikawa76-71
15/05/23HAlvark82-83
13/05/23HAlvark72-82
12/05/23HAlvark86-71
07/05/23ANagoya Fighting Eagles77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game89.890.089.8
Allowed / game82.384.081.5
Point differential+7.5+6.0+8.2
Avg total172.2174.0171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shimane
B League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game79.374.589.0
Allowed / game72.570.876.0
Point differential+6.8+3.8+13.0
Avg total151.8145.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Osaka660100%90.878.2+12.7
2 Diamond Dolphins660100%86.775.2+11.5
3 Brave Thunders76186%83.674.0+9.6
4 Alvark65183%79.362.8+16.5
5 NeoPhoenix65183%89.078.3+10.7
6 Nagasaki65183%89.882.3+7.5
7 Shimane65183%79.372.5+6.8
8 Ryukyu75271%79.679.4+0.1
9 Utsunomiya Brex64267%73.370.7+2.7
10 Nagoya Fighting Eagles64267%71.072.3-1.3
11 SeaHorses Mikawa63350%80.075.2+4.8
12 Yokohama63350%81.379.5+1.8
13 Chiba63350%87.086.8+0.2
14 Hiroshima D.62433%72.574.7-2.2
15 Shinshu62433%80.386.3-6.0
16 Akita62433%73.780.7-7.0
17 Gunma62433%77.286.0-8.8
18 Kyoto61517%79.283.0-3.8
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya61517%78.583.5-5.0
20 Saga61517%69.278.7-9.5
21 Sendai61517%77.286.7-9.5
22 Hokkaido61517%71.282.2-11.0
23 Ibaraki Robots6060%80.288.7-8.5
24 Toyama6060%74.288.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2319221377
Shimane1125162173
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