PythiaBasketballBETA
B League· Happiness Arena
On 17 November 2026 the B League will feature Nagasaki against SeaHorses Mikawa, with the former entering on a starkly different run than the latter; Nagasaki sits 6-11 while SeaHorses Mikawa are 10-3, the latter having won four of their last five and posted 90.4 points per game against 80.7 allowed, whereas Nagasaki averages 77.1 to 81.9. Nagasaki's home record is 4-4 with 78.0 points scored and 80.8 allowed, and they have lost their last five, including defeats to Alvark 73-82, Sendai 87-107 and Hiroshima D. 73-80, all away or at home. SeaHorses Mikawa's road record is 6-2, with 90.1 points scored and 77.6 allowed, and they have won four of five recent outings, beating Shinshu 91-86 and Shiga 96-91 while dropping 83-90 to Gunma. The teams are even in head-to-head history, 3-3, with the last meeting ending 87-85 in favour of SeaHorses Mikawa. Pythia gives SeaHorses Mikawa a 70% chance to win against Nagasaki's 30%, projecting a 79-85 score and 163.2 total points, with a 5% chance of overtime. The model favours SeaHorses Mikawa. The final game will hinge on whether Nagasaki can overturn their recent slump.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (18) | 77.3 | 82.2 | 159.4 | -4.9 | 33% |
| Season at home (8) | 78.0 | 80.8 | 158.8 | -2.8 | 50% |
| Season away (10) | 76.7 | 83.3 | 160.0 | -6.6 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.8 | 83.1 | 167.9 | +1.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.0 | 89.0 | 169.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 75.7 | 86.6 | 162.4 | -10.9 | 18% |
| vs Similar (7) | 79.6 | 79.7 | 159.3 | -0.1 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 85.0 | 73.8 | 158.8 | +11.2 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (14) | 91.9 | 79.9 | 171.8 | +11.9 | 79% |
| Season at home (6) | 94.2 | 83.0 | 177.2 | +11.2 | 83% |
| Season away (8) | 90.1 | 77.6 | 167.8 | +12.5 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 93.4 | 82.2 | 175.6 | +11.2 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 93.0 | 83.0 | 176.0 | +10.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (11) | 83.9 | 80.6 | 164.5 | +3.3 | 55% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 88.8 | 79.2 | 168.0 | +9.6 | 84% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.7 | 39.3 | 80.0 | +1.4 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (18) | 41.3 | 39.6 | 80.9 | +1.7 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (12) | 39.8 | 38.8 | 78.6 | +0.9 | 58% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.5 | 40.6 | 85.1 | +3.9 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.2 | 43.0 | 86.2 | +0.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 40.5 | 40.4 | 80.8 | +0.1 | 64% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 37.0 | 39.6 | 76.6 | -2.6 | 29% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 43.0 | 38.2 | 81.2 | +4.8 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.5 | 41.2 | 83.8 | +1.3 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.4 | 40.9 | 82.3 | +0.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 43.7 | 41.6 | 85.3 | +2.1 | 67% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.0 | 43.9 | 88.9 | +1.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.2 | 44.8 | 87.0 | -2.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (11) | 40.4 | 40.0 | 80.4 | +0.4 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 43.8 | 41.9 | 85.7 | +1.8 | 53% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.8 | 18.9 | 53.6% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.8 | 10.3 | 32.9% | 30.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 14.1 | 10.8 | 73.8% | 10.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 38.9 | 22.3 | 53.6% | 44.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.7 | 10.9 | 32.9% | 32.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.2 | 12.7 | 73.8% | 12.7 |
Nagasaki
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28/01/26 | SeaHorses Mikawa v Nagasaki | 87-85 OT |
| 15/10/25 | Nagasaki v SeaHorses Mikawa | 107-82 |
| 13/04/25 | SeaHorses Mikawa v Nagasaki | 83-78 |
| 12/04/25 | SeaHorses Mikawa v Nagasaki | 86-91 OT |
| 29/10/23 | Nagasaki v SeaHorses Mikawa | 81-76 |
| 28/10/23 | Nagasaki v SeaHorses Mikawa | 82-97 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Chiba | 80-86 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Alvark | 73-82 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Sendai | 87-107 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Hiroshima D. | 73-80 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Kobe | 87-90 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Kobe | 81-71 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Macau Hou Chon | 97-76 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Ryukyu | 101-84 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Shiga | 85-89 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Saga | 84-66 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 33% |
| Home | WWLWL | 50% |
| Away | WLLLL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 18 | 8 | 10 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Points / game | 77.3 | 78.0 | 76.7 |
| Allowed / game | 82.2 | 80.8 | 83.3 |
| Point differential | -4.9 | -2.8 | -6.6 |
| Avg total | 159.4 | 158.8 | 160.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 28% | 38% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 100% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 79% |
| Home | WLWWW | 83% |
| Away | WLWWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 6 | 8 |
| Win % | 79% | 83% | 75% |
| Points / game | 91.9 | 94.2 | 90.1 |
| Allowed / game | 79.9 | 83.0 | 77.6 |
| Point differential | +11.9 | +11.2 | +12.5 |
| Avg total | 171.8 | 177.2 | 167.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (3) | 100% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Diamond Dolphins | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92% | 92.6 | 76.7 | +15.9 |
| 2 |  Hiroshima D. | 16 | 13 | 3 | 81% | 89.9 | 82.1 | +7.9 |
| 3 | SeaHorses Mikawa | 14 | 11 | 3 | 79% | 91.9 | 79.9 | +11.9 |
| 4 |  Alvark | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 92.9 | 82.3 | +10.6 |
| 5 |  Sendai | 18 | 14 | 4 | 78% | 88.6 | 80.2 | +8.4 |
| 6 |  Gunma | 16 | 12 | 4 | 75% | 82.8 | 73.8 | +9.1 |
| 7 |  NeoPhoenix | 12 | 9 | 3 | 75% | 87.4 | 81.6 | +5.8 |
| 8 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 89.9 | 80.3 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Levanga Hokkaido | 17 | 11 | 6 | 65% | 97.3 | 93.2 | +4.1 |
| 10 |  Kyoto | 16 | 9 | 7 | 56% | 84.3 | 79.2 | +5.1 |
| 11 |  Toyama | 17 | 9 | 8 | 53% | 82.6 | 88.4 | -5.8 |
| 12 |  Ibaraki Robots | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 83.7 | 79.8 | +3.9 |
| 13 |  Ryukyu | 16 | 8 | 8 | 50% | 83.4 | 81.6 | +1.8 |
| 14 |  Chiba | 18 | 9 | 9 | 50% | 92.2 | 95.1 | -2.9 |
| 15 |  Shimane | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 83.5 | 81.1 | +2.4 |
| 16 |  Shiga | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 86.4 | 88.8 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Utsunomiya Brex | 16 | 7 | 9 | 44% | 81.1 | 83.6 | -2.4 |
| 18 |  Yokohama | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41% | 78.3 | 83.8 | -5.5 |
| 19 |  Altiri Chiba | 18 | 7 | 11 | 39% | 79.8 | 84.7 | -4.8 |
| 20 |  Shinshu | 17 | 6 | 11 | 35% | 83.9 | 86.8 | -2.9 |
| 21 | Nagasaki | 18 | 6 | 12 | 33% | 77.3 | 82.2 | -4.9 |
| 22 |  Brave Thunders | 17 | 5 | 12 | 29% | 79.2 | 83.9 | -4.8 |
| 23 |  Akita | 18 | 5 | 13 | 28% | 83.3 | 90.7 | -7.4 |
| 24 |  Kobe | 16 | 4 | 12 | 25% | 79.9 | 87.3 | -7.4 |
| 25 |  Saga | 16 | 1 | 15 | 6% | 77.3 | 95.6 | -18.3 |
| 26 |  Osaka | 17 | 1 | 16 | 6% | 70.4 | 90.4 | -20.0 |
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