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Nanterre vs Paris Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.9/10
Around normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.2
Allowed / game86.4
FranceLNBRound 15· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Nanterre v Paris
09 Jan 2027
NAN v PRS
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
NAN99
PRS83
01 Feb 2025
NAN78
PRS92
21 Oct 2023
NAN67
PRS98
27 Sep 2022
NAN97
PRS83
25 Mar 2022
NAN104
PRS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paris win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
75avg 81
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#26
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
74avg 81
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-73
101
73
+28
99avg 81
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
93-65
93
65
+28
87avg 81
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#13
L
65-80
65
80
-15
51avg 81
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#10
W
86-69
86
69
+17
90avg 81
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 81
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#12
W
101-98
101
98
+3
97avg 81
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
93-81
93
81
+12
no box
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
24-23
17-19
19-27
19-18
22-27
13-19
22-12
21-19
22-20
28-17
30-17
21-17
14-13
31-15
27-20
20-19
18-27
16-19
11-15
23-17
21-17
22-17
20-18
21-23
19-26
22-20
18-18
13-31
34-25
24-18
30-24
22-16
32-19
20-23
19-23
16-32
20-20
25-22
21-28
170.8Avg total
86.7Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.779.7166.4+7.071%
Season at home (4)89.571.8161.2+17.8100%
Season away (3)83.090.3173.3-7.333%
Last 10 (10)86.784.1170.8+2.650%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.087.7176.7+1.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.082.8161.8-3.833%
vs Weaker (15)87.779.0166.7+8.773%
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
83avg 86
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
84avg 86
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
W
96-75
96
75
+21
96avg 86
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#5
W
99-93
99
93
+6
88avg 86
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 86
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
116-112 OT
116
112
+4
no box
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#10
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#12
W
107-77
107
77
+30
no box
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
111-109 OT
111
109
+2
no box
H11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
23-20
21-15
28-16
26-32
28-25
16-26
23-21
18-16
22-27
24-23
32-9
23-25
31-22
19-25
26-21
25-17
10-19
30-29
34-29
21-26
36-32
24-23
23-23
19-28
22-15
20-15
18-21
23-26
19-10
24-34
29-20
25-24
32-22
22-19
28-12
23-14
27-29
22-29
20-20
191.9Avg total
99.6Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.286.4183.6+10.988%
Season at home (4)102.887.0189.8+15.8100%
Season away (4)91.885.8177.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)99.692.3191.9+7.380%
Last 5 (5)103.896.4200.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)88.193.9182.0-5.743%
vs Similar ◀ (10)95.396.4191.7-1.150%
vs Weaker (13)92.882.9175.8+9.977%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.9+6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +6.9+6.9
NanterreParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roanne
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A02/10
LNB
Trabzonspor
#26
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A07/10
Champions League
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H10/10
LNB
Rytas
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H13/10
Champions League
Nancy
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A17/10
LNB
Cholet
#10
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
LNB
Sabah Baku
#24
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/10
Champions League
JL Bourg
#12
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A31/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#6
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H07/11
LNB
Rytas
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A11/11
Champions League
85.8Avg total
42.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.684.0+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.837.979.7+3.973%-
Last 30 away (15)43.045.288.2-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.385.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.245.289.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.242.582.7-2.342%-
vs Weaker (15)43.940.684.5+3.367%-
This opponent (Paris) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulazac
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H18/10
LNB
Valencia
#3
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H23/10
Euroleague
Roanne
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
LNB
Dubai
#5
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A27/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#18
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H01/11
LNB
Cholet
#10
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A03/11
LNB
Anadolu Efes
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/11
Euroleague
JL Bourg
#12
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H08/11
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H11/11
Euroleague
92.4Avg total
47.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.145.590.6-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.447.696.0+0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.343.184.4-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)47.145.392.4+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)49.445.294.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.745.389.0-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.348.592.8-4.220%-
vs Weaker (13)46.443.489.8+3.046%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.5
54.0%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.5
31.5%
34.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.215.6
70.3%
74.2%15.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 94.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
55.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.5
36.7%
34.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
74.2%14.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
LWWLWLWWLL
Paris
WWWLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#1
+3.4
Net rating
+4.0
96.2
Offensive rating
103.4
92.8
Defensive rating
99.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
57.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.9%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
31.5%
3-point %
36.7%
67.7%
Assist %
59.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 103.4Defence92.8 · 99.4Shooting51.3% · 57.9%3-point %31.5% · 36.7%Ball care14.9% · 14.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Nanterre   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nanterre wins
8
Paris wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Paris v Nanterre96-92
26/12/25Nanterre v Paris99-83
01/02/25Nanterre v Paris78-92
20/10/24Paris v Nanterre102-86
31/03/24Paris v Nanterre102-68
18/02/24Paris v Nanterre90-85
21/10/23Nanterre v Paris67-98
17/03/23Paris v Nanterre85-79
27/09/22Nanterre v Paris97-83
25/03/22Nanterre v Paris104-107 OT
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ARytas82-102
07/11/26HChalon/Saone93-81
31/10/26AJL Bourg101-98
27/10/26ASabah Baku80-87
24/10/26HCholet86-69
17/10/26ANancy65-80
13/10/26HRytas93-65
10/10/26HGravelines-Dunkerque101-73
07/10/26ATrabzonspor83-93 OT
02/10/26ARoanne83-93
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HFenerbahce111-109 OT
08/11/26HJL Bourg107-77
05/11/26AAnadolu Efes95-90
03/11/26ACholet90-94 OT
01/11/26HChalon/Saone116-112 OT
29/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-94
27/10/26ADubai99-93
25/10/26ARoanne96-75
23/10/26HValencia93-104
18/10/26HBoulazac90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game86.789.583.0
Allowed / game79.771.890.3
Point differential+7.0+17.8-7.3
Avg total166.4161.2173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paris
LNB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game97.2102.891.8
Allowed / game86.487.085.8
Point differential+10.9+15.8+6.0
Avg total183.6189.8177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %25%25%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris87188%97.286.4+10.9
2 Dijon76186%93.181.7+11.4
3 Le Mans76186%98.687.9+10.7
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne76186%91.184.4+6.7
5 Nanterre75271%86.779.7+7.0
6 Chalon/Saone74357%93.185.1+8.0
7 Roanne74357%80.780.4+0.3
8 Strasbourg84450%81.187.5-6.4
9 Boulazac73443%81.083.7-2.7
10 Cholet83538%81.087.4-6.4
11 Limoges72529%86.489.0-2.6
12 JL Bourg72529%88.692.4-3.9
13 Nancy72529%79.383.9-4.6
14 Pau-Orthez72529%83.690.6-7.0
15 Saint Quentin82625%87.494.8-7.4
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque7070%76.789.6-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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