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Nanterre vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-83
20-17 27-24 23-19 29-23
Position#3
Record9-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game82.5
FranceLNBRound 14· Palais des Sports Maurice Thorez
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Nanterre v Paris
09 Jan 2027
NAN v PRS
upcoming
26 Dec 2025
NAN99
PRS83
01 Feb 2025
NAN78
PRS92
21 Oct 2023
NAN67
PRS98
27 Sep 2022
NAN97
PRS83
25 Mar 2022
NAN104
PRS107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nanterre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NanterreFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNanterre
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#14
W
89-65
89
65
+24
86avg 85
A31/10
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 85
H08/11
LNB
Le Portel
#33
W
121-60
121
60
+61
127avg 85
A11/11
French Cup
Cholet
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
75avg 85
A14/11
LNB
Boulazac
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
84avg 85
H22/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
L
83-86
83
86
-3
78avg 85
A07/12
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 85
H12/12
LNB
Antibes
#7
W
97-70
97
70
+27
99avg 85
A16/12
French Cup
Monaco
#1
L
98-105 OT
98
105
-7
95avg 85
A21/12
LNB
Nancy
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
86avg 85
A23/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-19
20-14
22-12
22-23
23-16
14-12
22-23
24-14
31-17
28-17
38-12
18-25
14-22
29-13
17-16
19-21
20-17
26-26
20-14
18-21
23-20
13-27
29-18
27-17
23-25
22-20
26-26
25-24
26-19
22-8
24-19
18-27
21-16
19-18
16-13
25-20
18-18
24-21
24-25
170.7Avg total
92.1Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.881.7168.5+5.169%
Season at home (6)88.280.7168.8+7.583%
Season away (7)85.682.6168.1+3.057%
Last 10 (10)92.178.6170.7+13.580%
Last 5 (5)93.486.6180.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.086.4162.4-10.429%
vs Similar (10)84.583.4167.9+1.160%
vs Weaker (13)89.177.5166.6+11.577%
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
90avg 90
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
104-125
104
125
-21
85avg 90
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
99-69
99
69
+30
95avg 90
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
110-80
110
80
+30
107avg 90
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
105-108
105
108
-3
95avg 90
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
82avg 90
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
69-85
69
85
-16
56avg 90
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
80avg 90
A18/12
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
107-84
107
84
+23
110avg 90
H21/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
102-92
102
92
+10
95avg 90
H23/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
33-32
16-15
29-29
29-35
17-23
24-33
34-34
36-20
12-19
21-17
30-13
21-15
32-23
24-16
33-26
29-28
27-20
17-32
32-28
26-22
15-25
24-31
25-19
13-30
16-22
23-16
17-17
21-24
29-25
24-21
16-25
29-23
26-25
24-15
28-21
28-18
23-28
28-12
23-34
192.3Avg total
97.9Scored
94.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)100.282.5182.7+17.775%
Season at home (6)103.786.2189.8+17.583%
Season away (6)96.778.8175.5+17.867%
Last 10 (10)97.994.4192.3+3.540%
Last 5 (5)91.690.6182.2+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.896.8189.5-4.025%
vs Similar (14)89.592.8182.3-3.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)100.082.5182.5+17.582%
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: +2.1+2.1
NanterreParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NanterreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Quentin
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A31/10
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H08/11
LNB
Le Portel
#33
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A11/11
French Cup
Cholet
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A14/11
LNB
Boulazac
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/11
LNB
JL Bourg
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A07/12
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H12/12
LNB
Antibes
#7
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A16/12
French Cup
Monaco
#1
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/12
LNB
Nancy
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A23/12
LNB
84.3Avg total
44.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.483.7+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.538.581.1+4.073%-
Last 30 away (19)42.243.185.3-0.937%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.184.3+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.486.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.442.181.6-2.729%-
vs Similar (10)41.141.782.8-0.640%-
vs Weaker (13)44.840.885.6+3.969%-
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A02/12
French Cup
Monaco
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A04/12
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#14
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/12
LNB
Le Portel
#16
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H09/12
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H11/12
Euroleague
Nancy
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A13/12
LNB
Barcelona
#8
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H16/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A18/12
Euroleague
Cholet
#5
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H21/12
LNB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/12
Euroleague
97.7Avg total
48.7Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.447.193.5-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.547.794.2-1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)46.246.592.7-0.343%-
Last 10 (10)48.749.097.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.248.493.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.051.099.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (14)42.847.990.7-5.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.343.192.4+6.273%-
This opponent (Nanterre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nanterretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nanterre: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.424.2
55.8%
54.8%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.8
34.9%
34.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.616.7
70.8%
75.1%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 97.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.8 points a game
46%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.9
53.3%
54.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.813.9
41.1%
34.2%41.7
🏀 Free throws18.414.1
76.6%
75.1%14.1
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nanterre
WLWWLWWWWW
Paris
WWLLLLWWLL
#3
League position
#2
+17.1
Net rating
+5.3
118.6
Offensive rating
120.1
101.5
Defensive rating
114.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
57.2%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
38.2%
Off. rebound %
36.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.9%
3-point %
41.1%
71.8%
Assist %
53.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 120.1Defence101.5 · 114.8Shooting54.5% · 57.2%3-point %34.9% · 41.1%Ball care16.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds38.2% · 36.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Nanterre   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nanterre wins
7
Paris wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Nanterre v Paris78-92
20/10/24Paris v Nanterre102-86
31/03/24Paris v Nanterre102-68
18/02/24Paris v Nanterre90-85
21/10/23Nanterre v Paris67-98
17/03/23Paris v Nanterre85-79
27/09/22Nanterre v Paris97-83
25/03/22Nanterre v Paris104-107 OT
23/01/22Paris v Nanterre80-83
Nanterrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ANancy91-84
21/12/25AMonaco98-105 OT
16/12/25AAntibes97-70
12/12/25HLe Mans98-88
07/12/25AJL Bourg83-86
22/11/25HBoulazac85-78
14/11/25ACholet78-76
11/11/25ALe Portel121-60
08/11/25HLe Portel81-74
31/10/25ASaint Quentin89-65
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25HCrvena zvezda102-92
21/12/25HCholet107-84
18/12/25AReal Madrid90-95
16/12/25HBarcelona69-85
13/12/25ANancy90-97
11/12/25HZalgiris Kaunas105-108
09/12/25HLe Portel110-80
07/12/25HSaint Quentin99-69
04/12/25AMonaco104-125
02/12/25AMonaco103-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nanterre
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%83%57%
Points / game86.888.285.6
Allowed / game81.780.782.6
Point differential+5.1+7.5+3.0
Avg total168.5168.8168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Paris
LNB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%83%67%
Points / game100.2103.796.7
Allowed / game82.586.278.8
Point differential+17.7+17.5+17.8
Avg total182.7189.8175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1311285%94.785.4+9.3
2 Paris129375%100.282.5+17.7
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne129375%89.578.1+11.4
4 Nanterre139469%86.881.7+5.1
5 JL Bourg139469%87.682.6+5.0
6 Strasbourg139469%83.481.5+1.8
7 Le Mans149564%87.483.3+4.1
8 Chalon/Saone148657%84.185.5-1.4
9 Cholet147750%84.184.7-0.6
10 Dijon146843%86.585.1+1.4
11 Nancy146843%86.088.0-2.0
12 Boulazac135838%80.282.8-2.6
13 Limoges1441029%82.690.8-8.2
14 Gravelines-Dunkerque1331023%78.290.1-11.8
15 Saint Quentin1421214%74.885.0-10.2
16 Le Portel141137%77.992.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nanterre2027232999
Paris1724192383
← all games of the day
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