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Nantes vs Lille Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 08 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-77
35-30 13-13 18-23 19-11
Position#13
Record11-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.1
Nantes 🏆
France
vs
Position#10
Record10-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game74.2
FrancePro BRound 23· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nantes v Lille
08 Mar 2024
NANT85
LILL77
18 Nov 2022
NANT79
LILL99
28 Jan 2022
NANT66
LILL90
18 Dec 2020
NANT72
LILL55
13 Mar 2020
NANT v LILL
upcoming
02 Nov 2018
NANT77
LILL60
20 Mar 2018
NANT60
LILL80
07 Apr 2017
NANT75
LILL66
01 Apr 2016
NANT99
LILL93
17 Apr 2015
NANT88
LILL66
08 Nov 2013
NANT84
LILL79
23 Nov 2012
NANT85
LILL77
02 Mar 2012
NANT65
LILL73
05 Nov 2010
NANT59
LILL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lille winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Lille
#10
W
70-66
70
66
+4
92avg 85
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
96avg 85
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
80avg 85
A16/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
94avg 85
A19/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
89avg 85
H26/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 85
A30/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
110-92
110
92
+18
124avg 85
H02/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
58-83
58
83
-25
64avg 85
A06/02
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
85avg 85
H09/02
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
A01/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
23-18
19-16
17-14
23-11
15-21
20-22
26-17
13-19
26-23
16-36
20-19
20-26
17-29
25-25
16-9
26-25
27-16
18-16
21-22
15-19
21-23
17-17
21-24
29-18
33-34
21-10
27-30
18-26
10-19
26-20
4-18
24-23
16-22
18-11
15-21
25-24
11-22
23-21
21-13
163.1Avg total
80.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.881.1160.9-1.348%
Season at home (11)82.176.7158.8+5.473%
Season away (12)77.785.1162.8-7.425%
Last 10 (10)80.282.9163.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)80.685.4166.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.184.7155.8-13.620%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.480.6161.1-0.247%
vs Weaker (1)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LilleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLille
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
86-69
86
69
+17
103avg 81
A22/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
66-70
66
70
-4
79avg 81
H27/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
71-79
71
79
-8
81avg 81
A12/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
77-69
77
69
+8
87avg 81
A19/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
79-80
79
80
-1
66avg 81
H26/01
Pro B
Vichy
#2
L
55-66
55
66
-11
69avg 81
A30/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
no box
H02/02
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
64-80
64
80
-16
78avg 81
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
70-68
70
68
+2
84avg 81
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
64-52
64
52
+12
61avg 81
H01/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
33-17
16-15
17-18
18-11
18-23
16-19
14-17
13-24
23-18
13-20
22-17
24-19
13-29
21-12
19-9
19-18
13-20
22-27
25-15
21-16
13-15
11-13
10-22
17-23
14-19
35-17
12-19
14-18
19-20
21-26
10-16
18-16
17-12
18-20
17-20
19-15
12-16
16-10
17-11
143.0Avg total
71.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.374.2147.5-0.945%
Season at home (11)69.572.5141.9-3.036%
Season away (11)77.275.9153.1+1.355%
Last 10 (10)71.471.6143.0-0.240%
Last 5 (5)67.069.8136.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.774.3138.0-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (23)75.676.7152.3-1.139%
vs Weaker (2)84.574.5159.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
NantesLille
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lille
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A19/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H26/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H02/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A06/02
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H09/02
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/03
Pro B
83.9Avg total
40.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.480.0-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.581.5+2.571%-
Last 30 away (16)35.743.078.7-7.319%-
Last 10 (10)40.343.683.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.086.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.440.475.8-5.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.142.182.1-2.047%-
vs Weaker (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Lille) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A22/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H27/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A12/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A19/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H26/01
Pro B
Vichy
#2
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A30/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H02/02
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H06/02
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A09/02
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H01/03
Pro B
72.6Avg total
35.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.377.3+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.737.774.4-1.050%-
Last 30 away (14)41.639.080.6+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)35.836.872.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.066.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.739.374.0-4.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)38.838.377.1+0.452%-
vs Weaker (2)42.038.080.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.4
57.5%
51.1%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.5
31.2%
33.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
72.2%12.7
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lilletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lille: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.316.5
44.2%
51.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.6
37.6%
33.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.210.0
61.7%
72.2%10.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
LLLWLWLLWW
Lille
WWLLLLWLLW
#13
League position
#10
-1.2
Net rating
-1.5
105.2
Offensive rating
94.3
106.4
Defensive rating
95.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
48.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
21.3%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.2%
3-point %
37.6%
61.5%
Assist %
70.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 94.3Defence106.4 · 95.8Shooting53.9% · 48.8%3-point %31.2% · 37.6%Ball care20.1% · 21.3%Off. rebounds28.0% · 26.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Nantes   ■ Lille
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nantes wins
4
Lille wins
DateGameScore
27/12/23Lille v Nantes66-70
31/03/23Lille v Nantes95-93
18/11/22Nantes v Lille79-99
25/03/22Lille v Nantes85-87
28/01/22Nantes v Lille66-90
19/04/21Lille v Nantes98-92 OT
18/12/20Nantes v Lille72-55
27/12/19Lille v Nantes76-82 OT
05/03/19Lille v Nantes71-74
02/11/18Nantes v Lille77-60
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ARouen88-92 OT
09/02/24HPau-Orthez73-77
06/02/24AFos-sur-Mer58-83
02/02/24HSt. Chamond110-92
30/01/24AChalons-Reims74-83
26/01/24HAix Maurienne92-79
19/01/24APau-Orthez78-89
16/01/24ABoulazac75-97
12/01/24HASA84-71
27/12/23ALille70-66
Lillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24HBoulazac64-52
09/02/24AChalons-Reims70-68
06/02/24HASA64-80
02/02/24HFos-sur-Mer82-83 OT
30/01/24AVichy55-66
26/01/24HChalons-Reims79-80
19/01/24AAix Maurienne77-69
12/01/24AAntibes71-79
27/12/23HNantes66-70
22/12/23ADenain-Voltaire86-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %48%73%25%
Points / game79.882.177.7
Allowed / game81.176.785.1
Point differential-1.3+5.4-7.4
Avg total160.9158.8162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Lille
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW45%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayWLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%36%55%
Points / game73.369.577.2
Allowed / game74.272.575.9
Point differential-0.9-3.0+1.3
Avg total147.5141.9153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%9%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)20% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle2219386%80.571.3+9.3
2 Vichy2217577%85.277.2+8.0
3 Boulazac2316770%79.974.8+5.1
4 Rouen2315865%83.880.8+3.0
5 Orleans2112957%80.680.9-0.2
6 Pau-Orthez22121055%79.577.5+2.0
7 Poitiers23121152%80.380.8-0.6
8 Nantes23111248%79.881.1-1.3
9 ASA21101148%75.977.6-1.7
10 Lille22101245%73.374.2-0.9
11 Chalons-Reims2291341%79.378.9+0.5
12 St. Chamond2291341%82.281.8+0.5
13 Antibes2291341%80.382.5-2.1
14 Denain-Voltaire2291341%75.379.6-4.3
15 Evreux2281436%77.481.6-4.3
16 Aix Maurienne2281436%79.384.4-5.1
17 Fos-sur-Mer2271532%77.479.9-2.5
18 Angers2261627%81.086.6-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes3513181985
Lille3013231177
← all games of the day
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