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Nantes vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 73-77
24-23 16-22 18-11 15-21
Position#13
Record11-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game80.8
Nantes
France
vs
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
Position#7
Record11-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game77.5
FrancePro BRound 21· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nantes v Pau-Orthez
30 Sep 2025
NANT76
POR90
01 Oct 2024
NANT84
POR89
09 Feb 2024
NANT73
POR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
100avg 85
H22/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
70-66
70
66
+4
92avg 85
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
96avg 85
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
80avg 85
A16/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
94avg 85
A19/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
89avg 85
H26/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 85
A30/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
110-92
110
92
+18
124avg 85
H02/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
58-83
58
83
-25
64avg 85
A06/02
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
19-19
13-20
23-22
17-24
21-12
21-14
23-20
11-18
23-18
19-16
17-14
23-11
15-21
20-22
26-17
13-19
26-23
16-36
20-19
20-26
17-29
25-25
16-9
26-25
27-16
18-16
21-22
15-19
21-23
17-17
21-24
29-18
33-34
21-10
27-30
18-26
10-19
26-20
4-18
162.4Avg total
80.7Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)79.780.8160.5-1.052%
Season at home (10)83.076.7159.7+6.380%
Season away (11)76.784.5161.2-7.727%
Last 10 (10)80.781.7162.4-1.050%
Last 5 (5)82.485.2167.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.682.8153.4-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.480.1160.5+0.353%
vs Weaker (1)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Angers
#18
W
92-83
92
83
+9
86avg 80
A15/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
66-87
66
87
-21
76avg 80
H19/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
86avg 80
A23/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
67avg 80
H27/12
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
73-74
73
74
-1
84avg 80
A12/01
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
101avg 80
H19/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
A26/01
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
84avg 80
H30/01
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
77-82
77
82
-5
76avg 80
A02/02
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
82-73
82
73
+9
94avg 80
H06/02
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
16-33
26-18
22-19
9-27
21-25
18-15
18-20
18-27
22-24
14-20
22-11
16-19
17-18
19-16
18-21
9-24
23-15
16-17
25-18
26-20
29-17
25-25
9-16
21-19
19-20
19-17
21-24
19-16
8-16
30-14
19-18
23-20
17-22
17-13
20-27
16-18
31-11
21-26
14-18
158.5Avg total
79.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.677.5157.1+2.155%
Season at home (11)79.574.5153.9+5.073%
Season away (9)79.881.1160.9-1.333%
Last 10 (10)79.878.7158.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)84.277.4161.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.084.5163.5-5.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.377.3155.6+1.053%
vs Weaker (6)80.073.5153.5+6.567%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
NantesPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H22/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A19/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H26/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H02/02
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A06/02
Pro B
82.4Avg total
40.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.279.3-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.139.280.3+1.971%-
Last 30 away (16)35.443.078.4-7.619%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.782.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.247.090.2-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.440.975.3-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.341.681.9-1.353%-
vs Weaker (1)40.039.079.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A15/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
30-52
30
52
-22
H19/12
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A23/12
Pro B
Rouen
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H27/12
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A12/01
Pro B
Nantes
#13
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H19/01
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/01
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H30/01
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/02
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H06/02
Pro B
79.2Avg total
38.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.078.1+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.137.778.8+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.740.577.2-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.479.2-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.877.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.040.281.2+0.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.639.578.1-0.953%-
vs Weaker (6)38.836.775.5+2.250%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.9
57.2%
51.1%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.1
32.9%
33.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
72.2%13.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.0
53.6%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.1
33.5%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.617.2
69.9%
72.2%17.2
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
LWLWLLWWWL
Pau-Orthez
WLWWWLLLLW
#13
League position
#7
+1.7
Net rating
+3.1
106.9
Offensive rating
105.7
105.2
Defensive rating
102.5
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
20.5%
Turnover %
21.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.43
32.9%
3-point %
33.5%
64.0%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 105.7Defence105.2 · 102.5Shooting54.5% · 52.2%3-point %32.9% · 33.5%Ball care20.5% · 21.2%Off. rebounds29.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Nantes   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nantes wins
1
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
19/01/24Pau-Orthez v Nantes89-78
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24AFos-sur-Mer58-83
02/02/24HSt. Chamond110-92
30/01/24AChalons-Reims74-83
26/01/24HAix Maurienne92-79
19/01/24APau-Orthez78-89
16/01/24ABoulazac75-97
12/01/24HASA84-71
27/12/23ALille70-66
22/12/23HFos-sur-Mer82-70
19/12/23ADenain-Voltaire84-87 OT
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24HEvreux82-73
02/02/24AAntibes77-82
30/01/24HOrleans76-64
26/01/24AFos-sur-Mer97-90 OT
19/01/24HNantes89-78
12/01/24AEvreux73-74
27/12/23HRouen70-74
23/12/23ABoulazac76-82
19/12/23HAntibes66-87
15/12/23AAngers92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%80%27%
Points / game79.783.076.7
Allowed / game80.876.784.5
Point differential-1.0+6.3-7.7
Avg total160.5159.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW55%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%73%33%
Points / game79.679.579.8
Allowed / game77.574.581.1
Point differential+2.1+5.0-1.3
Avg total157.1153.9160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle1917289%81.872.0+9.8
2 Vichy2016480%85.076.5+8.4
3 Boulazac2014670%81.375.5+5.8
4 Rouen2012860%83.080.0+3.0
5 Pau-Orthez2011955%79.677.5+2.1
6 Orleans2011955%81.081.5-0.5
7 Nantes21111052%79.780.8-1.0
8 Poitiers20101050%80.281.0-0.8
9 St. Chamond2091145%83.582.5+1.1
10 Chalons-Reims2091145%80.279.5+0.8
11 Antibes2091145%80.782.2-1.6
12 ASA2091145%75.577.5-1.9
13 Denain-Voltaire2091145%76.079.8-3.8
14 Lille2081240%74.075.6-1.6
15 Evreux2071335%77.882.0-4.2
16 Aix Maurienne2071335%79.084.7-5.7
17 Fos-sur-Mer2061430%77.380.4-3.1
18 Angers2051525%81.287.4-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes2416181573
Pau-Orthez2322112177
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