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Nara vs Fukuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 76-90
22-26 23-26 18-18 13-20
Position#9
Record24-31
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.1
Nara
Japan
vs
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
Position#2
Record38-17
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game74.4
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Fukuoka
06 Apr 2025
NARA76
FUKU90
05 Apr 2025
NARA72
FUKU89
27 Oct 2024
NARA63
FUKU83
26 Oct 2024
NARA81
FUKU62
31 Jan 2024
NARA74
FUKU83
03 Dec 2023
NARA64
FUKU84
02 Dec 2023
NARA68
FUKU60
15 Mar 2015
NARA67
FUKU73
14 Mar 2015
NARA88
FUKU87
16 Feb 2014
NARA58
FUKU78
15 Feb 2014
NARA84
FUKU73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 71
A08/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
79avg 71
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 71
A14/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
82avg 71
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
72-60
72
60
+12
70avg 71
H22/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
62avg 71
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
83-71
83
71
+12
82avg 71
A26/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
67-64
67
64
+3
66avg 71
A29/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
57-112
57
112
-55
42avg 71
A30/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 71
H05/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-20
15-16
20-18
20-27
25-17
24-19
17-11
21-21
25-20
22-14
15-21
28-24
21-21
23-31
19-17
19-11
22-15
13-14
18-20
22-30
13-14
21-15
11-22
22-19
25-14
23-21
13-17
25-19
13-14
16-16
13-15
7-22
15-31
21-30
14-29
19-24
20-27
17-16
16-22
155.7Avg total
76.3Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)76.780.1156.8-3.344%
Season at home (27)74.579.2153.7-4.733%
Season away (28)78.980.9159.8-2.054%
Last 10 (10)76.379.4155.7-3.160%
Last 5 (5)69.283.4152.6-14.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.086.0162.0-10.027%
vs Similar (8)74.279.2153.5-5.062%
vs Weaker (7)85.373.9159.1+11.486%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 80
H07/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
84-60
84
60
+24
82avg 80
H08/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
60-80
60
80
-20
44avg 80
A15/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 80
A16/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
89-80
89
80
+9
84avg 80
H22/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
67-82
67
82
-15
57avg 80
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
85-95
85
95
-10
77avg 80
H26/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
84-62
84
62
+22
79avg 80
A28/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
100-71
100
71
+29
87avg 80
A29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
93avg 80
A05/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-9
20-14
20-21
16-14
26-17
25-12
13-20
20-11
16-24
12-17
16-26
16-13
13-32
21-15
11-14
17-18
20-19
19-19
23-23
27-19
18-27
18-25
20-14
11-16
18-21
18-30
22-18
27-26
25-11
23-9
23-12
13-30
23-15
29-25
21-16
27-15
24-19
27-20
16-17
22-16
154.4Avg total
80.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)83.174.4157.5+8.769%
Season at home (26)86.074.3160.2+11.777%
Season away (29)80.574.6155.1+6.062%
Last 10 (10)80.573.9154.4+6.660%
Last 5 (5)85.076.4161.4+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.079.5140.5-18.50%
vs Similar (4)93.085.0178.0+8.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.372.8155.1+9.567%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
NaraFukuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A08/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A14/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A15/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H22/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A26/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A29/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A30/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H05/04
B2.League
82.2Avg total
41.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.940.780.6-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.977.3-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)42.141.583.6+0.669%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.082.2+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.879.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.443.482.8-4.033%-
vs Similar (8)37.938.576.4-0.662%-
vs Weaker (7)43.337.680.9+5.786%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H07/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H08/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A15/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A16/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/03
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H26/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
48-20
48
20
+28
A28/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A29/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A05/04
B2.League
80.4Avg total
42.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.380.1+5.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.137.081.1+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)41.737.679.3+4.169%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.080.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.640.485.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.044.075.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (4)45.241.887.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.436.079.4+7.371%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.5
51.3%
51.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.4
36.9%
32.9%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
70.7%11.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.4
52.3%
51.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.7
31.6%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.217.8
73.6%
70.7%17.8
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LLWWLWLWWW
Fukuoka
WWWLLWLLWW
#9
League position
#2
-5.4
Net rating
+8.8
102.8
Offensive rating
109.7
108.2
Defensive rating
100.9
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
13.7%
17.7%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.9%
3-point %
31.6%
71.0%
Assist %
72.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 109.7Defence108.2 · 100.9Shooting53.0% · 50.3%3-point %36.9% · 31.6%Ball care16.7% · 13.7%Off. rebounds17.7% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Nara   ■ Fukuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nara wins
6
Fukuoka wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Nara v Fukuoka72-89
05/01/25Fukuoka v Nara79-98
04/01/25Fukuoka v Nara91-68
27/10/24Nara v Fukuoka63-83
26/10/24Nara v Fukuoka81-62
27/03/24Fukuoka v Nara42-71
31/01/24Nara v Fukuoka74-83
03/12/23Nara v Fukuoka64-84
02/12/23Nara v Fukuoka68-60
28/10/23Fukuoka v Nara74-72
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HFukuoka72-89
30/03/25AKumamoto57-112
29/03/25AKumamoto67-64
26/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings83-71
23/03/25HYamagata Wyverns67-81
22/03/25HYamagata Wyverns72-60
15/03/25AShizuoka91-93
14/03/25AShizuoka83-76
09/03/25AAomori86-74
08/03/25AAomori85-74
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25ANara89-72
29/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings100-71
28/03/25AEhime Orange Vikings84-62
26/03/25HKobe85-95
23/03/25HFukui67-82
22/03/25HFukui89-80
16/03/25AAltiri Chiba62-79
15/03/25AAltiri Chiba60-80
08/03/25HShizuoka84-60
07/03/25HShizuoka85-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWWWLL33%
AwayWLWWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %44%33%54%
Points / game76.774.578.9
Allowed / game80.179.280.9
Point differential-3.3-4.7-2.0
Avg total156.8153.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)40% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fukuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW69%
HomeWWWLL77%
AwayLLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game83.186.080.5
Allowed / game74.474.374.6
Point differential+8.7+11.7+6.0
Avg total157.5160.2155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%58%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5552395%91.974.6+17.2
2 Fukuoka55381769%83.174.4+8.7
3 Toyama56362064%87.781.3+6.4
4 Shinshu56352162%84.077.9+6.2
5 Kagoshima Rebnise56342261%82.178.7+3.4
6 Shizuoka55322358%78.275.9+2.3
7 Fukui56302654%81.779.8+1.9
8 Kumamoto56253145%78.979.3-0.4
9 Nara55243144%76.780.1-3.3
10 Kobe55233242%79.883.1-3.4
11 Yamagata Wyverns55203536%78.281.9-3.7
12 Aomori55203536%78.185.8-7.8
13 Fukushima56144225%72.981.8-8.9
14 Ehime Orange Vikings555509%71.990.6-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2223181376
Fukuoka2626182090
← all games of the day
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