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Fukuoka vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 42-71
15-9 11-20 6-23 10-19
Position#4
Record34-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record19-32
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game77.7
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Nara
05 Jan 2025
FUKU79
NARA98
04 Jan 2025
FUKU91
NARA68
27 Mar 2024
FUKU42
NARA71
28 Oct 2023
FUKU74
NARA72
27 Oct 2023
FUKU74
NARA68
01 Mar 2015
FUKU105
NARA82
28 Feb 2015
FUKU99
NARA94
02 Nov 2013
FUKU85
NARA64
01 Nov 2013
FUKU80
NARA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
72-83
72
83
-11
73avg 73
H23/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
71avg 73
H24/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
71avg 73
A02/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 73
A03/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 73
H11/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-77
66
77
-11
58avg 73
H12/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
77-81
77
81
-4
62avg 73
H15/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
90-73
90
73
+17
87avg 73
H16/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
81-85
81
85
-4
79avg 73
A23/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
97-60
97
60
+37
97avg 73
A24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
19-22
22-24
17-19
10-18
28-11
21-20
12-20
14-22
24-16
14-20
25-15
22-20
25-28
12-9
23-17
25-17
17-21
23-23
15-17
16-27
16-15
15-16
19-19
25-13
16-23
19-20
17-25
16-15
25-14
24-20
25-24
16-24
17-19
19-20
29-22
32-8
25-16
18-23
22-13
154.6Avg total
79.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)78.474.4152.8+4.067%
Season at home (25)79.676.3156.0+3.364%
Season away (26)77.372.6149.8+4.769%
Last 10 (10)79.375.3154.6+4.060%
Last 5 (5)82.275.2157.4+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.975.1146.0-4.238%
vs Similar (11)77.671.0148.6+6.691%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)82.378.4160.6+3.945%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
68-56
68
56
+12
61avg 66
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
70-71 OT
70
71
-1
no box
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
91-75
91
75
+16
90avg 66
H02/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
64-78
64
78
-14
53avg 66
H03/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 66
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
62-75
62
75
-13
49avg 66
A10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 66
H16/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 66
H17/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
70avg 66
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
63avg 66
H24/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-11
26-14
14-10
11-21
12-17
16-12
19-21
15-12
29-15
19-22
22-17
21-21
12-22
20-15
15-16
17-25
12-15
20-22
19-9
19-23
27-17
14-25
11-15
10-18
21-13
18-22
23-22
25-20
24-22
33-19
13-26
14-20
22-16
12-27
22-25
18-13
15-23
23-20
15-21
21-19
149.6Avg total
74.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)74.077.7151.7-3.737%
Season at home (26)76.280.2156.5-4.042%
Season away (25)71.775.1146.8-3.432%
Last 10 (10)74.475.2149.6-0.840%
Last 5 (5)76.280.6156.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)74.174.7148.9-0.643%
vs Similar (21)74.177.2151.3-3.138%
vs Weaker (2)94.586.0180.5+8.550%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -2.1-2.1
FukuokaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H24/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A02/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A03/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/03
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H12/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H15/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H16/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A23/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
57-24
57
24
+33
A24/03
B2.League
76.9Avg total
40.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.877.1+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.737.275.9+1.565%-
Last 30 away (13)40.038.578.5+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.776.9+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.875.6+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.239.676.9-2.438%-
vs Similar (11)39.338.477.6+0.945%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.735.976.6+4.873%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A23/02
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A24/02
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H02/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H03/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/03
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H17/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/03
B2.League
76.1Avg total
39.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.976.1-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.439.679.9+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)33.638.171.7-4.421%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.976.1+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.840.882.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.036.372.3-0.329%-
vs Similar (21)36.739.075.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker (2)47.047.094.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.4
57.1%
52.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.3
31.2%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.511.1
71.6%
71.0%11.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.1
49.6%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.9
35.1%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
71.0%14.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WLWLLWWWWL
Nara
LLLWLWLWLW
#4
League position
#11
+5.9
Net rating
+3.6
110.1
Offensive rating
107.7
104.2
Defensive rating
104.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.2%
3-point %
35.1%
70.0%
Assist %
70.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 107.7Defence104.2 · 104.0Shooting52.8% · 50.7%3-point %31.2% · 35.1%Ball care17.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.3% · 28.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fukuoka wins
2
Nara wins
DateGameScore
31/01/24Nara v Fukuoka74-83
03/12/23Nara v Fukuoka64-84
02/12/23Nara v Fukuoka68-60
28/10/23Fukuoka v Nara74-72
27/10/23Fukuoka v Nara74-68
15/03/15Nara v Fukuoka67-73
14/03/15Nara v Fukuoka88-87
01/03/15Fukuoka v Nara105-82
28/02/15Fukuoka v Nara99-94
16/02/14Nara v Fukuoka58-78
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24ANiigata97-60
23/03/24ANiigata81-85
16/03/24HFukushima90-73
15/03/24HFukushima77-81
12/03/24HShiga66-77
11/03/24HShiga80-78
03/03/24AKobe82-74
02/03/24AKobe77-73
24/02/24HIwate71-69
23/02/24HIwate72-83
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings74-83
23/03/24HEhime Orange Vikings74-81
17/03/24HKumamoto84-87
16/03/24HKumamoto87-77
10/03/24AShizuoka62-75
09/03/24AShizuoka70-69
03/03/24HIwate64-78
02/03/24HIwate91-75
24/02/24AKobe70-71 OT
23/02/24AKobe68-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayWWWLW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %67%64%69%
Points / game78.479.677.3
Allowed / game74.476.372.6
Point differential+4.0+3.3+4.7
Avg total152.8156.0149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%24%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (15)70% (10)80% (5)
Overtime %8%12%4%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL37%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLWLWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512625
Win %37%42%32%
Points / game74.076.271.7
Allowed / game77.780.275.1
Point differential-3.7-4.0-3.4
Avg total151.7156.5146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)50% (6)29% (7)
Overtime %6%4%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5147492%91.977.2+14.7
2 Shiga51361571%86.979.9+7.0
3 Fukuoka51341767%78.474.4+4.0
4 Kumamoto51321963%85.284.2+1.0
5 Koshigaya Alphas51302159%83.174.5+8.6
6 Aomori51262551%85.287.0-1.9
7 Yamagata Wyverns51252649%81.485.1-3.7
8 Kobe51242747%79.478.1+1.2
9 Shizuoka51232845%80.581.1-0.5
10 Fukushima51203139%80.884.6-3.8
11 Nara51193237%74.077.7-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings51193237%79.084.0-5.0
13 Iwate51153629%71.175.5-4.4
14 Niigata5174414%73.586.9-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka151161042
Nara920231971
← all games of the day
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