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Shizuoka vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 93-91
24-28 21-21 31-23 17-19
Position#6
Record28-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#9
Record21-27
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game79.9
JapanB2.League· Numazu City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shizuoka v Nara
20 Apr 2025
SHIZ81
NARA74
19 Apr 2025
SHIZ70
NARA75
15 Mar 2025
SHIZ93
NARA91
14 Mar 2025
SHIZ76
NARA83
10 Mar 2024
SHIZ75
NARA62
09 Mar 2024
SHIZ69
NARA70
21 Jan 2024
SHIZ75
NARA71
20 Jan 2024
SHIZ66
NARA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shizuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
W
79-61
79
61
+18
82avg 74
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
96-73
96
73
+23
101avg 74
A14/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-62
89
62
+27
90avg 74
A15/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
57-69
57
69
-12
51avg 74
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
94-85
94
85
+9
98avg 74
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 74
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
88avg 74
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
40avg 74
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
60-84
60
84
-24
50avg 74
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
69avg 74
H14/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
23-15
13-15
23-19
28-20
22-14
22-16
24-23
16-14
25-19
24-11
24-18
14-20
15-20
19-11
9-18
31-19
18-21
24-20
21-25
21-26
16-23
28-16
20-11
22-22
24-14
21-28
14-14
9-29
14-20
21-20
14-16
17-26
12-25
20-13
11-20
21-21
20-25
14-22
21-15
153.1Avg total
77.5Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)77.375.4152.7+1.958%
Season at home (22)79.380.3159.5-1.045%
Season away (26)75.771.3147.0+4.369%
Last 10 (10)77.575.6153.1+1.960%
Last 5 (5)72.081.2153.2-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.289.0160.2-17.80%
vs Similar (14)77.975.1153.0+2.964%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.767.9149.6+13.891%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
67-79
67
79
-12
62avg 71
H09/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
91-87
91
87
+4
84avg 71
H15/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
85avg 71
H16/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-82
87
82
+5
92avg 71
A22/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
71-78
71
78
-7
68avg 71
A23/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
96-65
96
65
+31
101avg 71
H01/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
86avg 71
H02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 71
A08/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
86-74
86
74
+12
79avg 71
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
77avg 71
A14/03
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
22-23
16-20
20-22
27-28
18-20
28-19
18-20
18-17
21-20
24-8
19-25
25-17
19-19
21-18
22-28
19-14
20-17
11-27
21-20
16-17
34-12
23-20
23-16
23-19
17-17
23-17
26-17
24-20
26-20
15-16
20-18
20-27
25-17
24-19
17-11
21-21
25-20
22-14
15-21
159.2Avg total
83.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)77.379.9157.2-2.644%
Season at home (24)75.079.5154.6-4.533%
Season away (24)79.680.2159.8-0.654%
Last 10 (10)83.775.5159.2+8.280%
Last 5 (5)87.871.8159.6+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.284.2159.4-9.128%
vs Similar (5)80.078.0158.0+2.060%
vs Weaker (7)82.374.1156.4+8.171%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
ShizuokaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A09/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A14/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H22/02
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/02
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A01/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A02/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A07/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A08/03
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H14/03
B2.League
79.3Avg total
38.8Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.177.9+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.439.880.2+0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.436.876.2+2.671%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.579.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.281.4-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.849.485.2-13.60%-
vs Similar (14)40.036.876.8+3.271%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.534.676.1+6.882%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukui
#7
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/02
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H16/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A22/02
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/02
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H01/03
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A08/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A09/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A14/03
B2.League
80.8Avg total
42.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.479.9-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.940.876.7-4.929%-
Last 30 away (16)40.841.982.7-1.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.980.8+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)46.238.084.2+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.143.080.1-5.928%-
vs Similar (5)40.238.478.6+1.860%-
vs Weaker (7)41.039.480.4+1.671%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.9
51.4%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.3
31.3%
32.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
70.7%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.0
55.6%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.6
38.9%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.911.9
66.5%
70.7%11.9
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shizuoka
LLLWWWLWWW
Nara
WWWWWLWWWL
#6
League position
#9
+2.3
Net rating
+11.2
104.7
Offensive rating
112.6
102.4
Defensive rating
101.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.3%
3-point %
38.9%
75.9%
Assist %
72.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.7 · 112.6Defence102.4 · 101.4Shooting49.8% · 56.6%3-point %31.3% · 38.9%Ball care17.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.6% · 25.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Shizuoka   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Shizuoka wins
4
Nara wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Shizuoka v Nara76-83
15/12/24Nara v Shizuoka76-79
14/12/24Nara v Shizuoka67-82
10/03/24Shizuoka v Nara75-62
09/03/24Shizuoka v Nara69-70
21/01/24Shizuoka v Nara75-71
20/01/24Shizuoka v Nara66-75
12/11/23Nara v Shizuoka86-70
11/11/23Nara v Shizuoka56-81
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HNara76-83
08/03/25AFukuoka60-84
07/03/25AFukuoka58-85
02/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise81-78
01/03/25AKagoshima Rebnise85-76
23/02/25HShinshu94-85
22/02/25HShinshu57-69
15/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings89-62
14/02/25AEhime Orange Vikings96-73
09/02/25AKobe79-61
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AShizuoka83-76
09/03/25AAomori86-74
08/03/25AAomori85-74
02/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings89-70
01/03/25HEhime Orange Vikings96-65
23/02/25AYamagata Wyverns71-78
22/02/25AYamagata Wyverns87-82
16/02/25HKobe82-70
15/02/25HKobe91-87
09/02/25HFukui67-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL58%
HomeWWLWL45%
AwayWWWLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482226
Win %58%45%69%
Points / game77.379.375.7
Allowed / game75.480.371.3
Point differential+1.9-1.0+4.3
Avg total152.7159.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%23%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW44%
HomeLWWWW33%
AwayWLWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %44%33%54%
Points / game77.375.079.6
Allowed / game79.979.580.2
Point differential-2.6-4.5-0.6
Avg total157.2154.6159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%21%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba4744394%91.974.6+17.3
2 Fukuoka47341372%83.773.9+9.8
3 Shinshu47311666%85.677.6+8.0
4 Toyama47301764%88.080.8+7.2
5 Kagoshima Rebnise47291862%81.978.5+3.3
6 Shizuoka48282058%77.375.4+1.9
7 Fukui47272057%82.780.0+2.7
8 Nara48212744%77.379.9-2.6
9 Kumamoto47202743%77.780.5-2.8
10 Aomori47182938%78.285.5-7.3
11 Yamagata Wyverns47173036%78.983.0-4.1
12 Kobe47163134%78.483.5-5.1
13 Fukushima47123526%72.682.3-9.7
14 Ehime Orange Vikings473446%72.290.9-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shizuoka2421311793
Nara2821231991
← all games of the day
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