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Fukuoka vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 74-72
21-15 14-22 15-18 24-17
Position#4
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game71.1
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#11
Record0-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game84.1
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Nara
05 Jan 2025
FUKU79
NARA98
04 Jan 2025
FUKU91
NARA68
27 Mar 2024
FUKU42
NARA71
28 Oct 2023
FUKU74
NARA72
27 Oct 2023
FUKU74
NARA68
01 Mar 2015
FUKU105
NARA82
28 Feb 2015
FUKU99
NARA94
02 Nov 2013
FUKU85
NARA64
01 Nov 2013
FUKU80
NARA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 77
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
64avg 77
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
75-61
75
61
+14
79avg 77
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 77
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-70
90
70
+20
93avg 77
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 77
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 77
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 77
H27/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
12-21
26-21
16-14
16-18
25-15
16-14
15-25
20-11
21-17
16-28
21-19
24-17
20-23
13-20
13-17
20-16
25-10
16-13
14-22
28-20
15-25
19-21
22-15
19-14
25-21
22-25
24-10
21-28
21-12
22-10
23-17
15-15
21-14
22-23
19-18
18-17
20-12
18-15
18-24
152.1Avg total
79.1Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.471.1150.5+8.288%
Season at home (3)83.768.3152.0+15.3100%
Season away (5)76.872.8149.6+4.080%
Last 10 (10)79.173.0152.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)82.471.2153.6+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.883.2157.1-9.419%
vs Similar (9)74.878.0152.8-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.871.4151.2+8.480%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/04
BJ League
Shimane
#12
L
56-87
56
87
-31
no box
A26/04
BJ League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
66avg 59
A07/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 59
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 59
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
58-96
58
96
-38
48avg 59
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
48avg 59
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 59
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 59
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 59
A27/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
9-21
23-11
15-23
–
–
–
–
13-28
19-25
22-25
26-17
25-19
20-24
19-24
12-16
13-17
11-20
27-22
15-18
17-25
10-19
19-24
12-28
16-26
18-21
22-21
10-28
16-15
22-30
21-21
19-22
12-17
15-20
17-16
18-11
17-18
12-20
15-18
24-18
151.7Avg total
68.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.284.1153.4-14.90%
Season at home (4)67.089.2156.2-22.20%
Season away (4)71.579.0150.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)68.083.7151.7-15.70%
Last 5 (5)66.483.6150.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.983.1151.0-15.24%
vs Similar (7)75.985.4161.3-9.614%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -7.1-7.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -3.3-3.3
FukuokaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H27/10
B2.League
75.2Avg total
40.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.539.776.1-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.339.776.9-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)35.739.775.3-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.534.775.2+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.676.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.240.675.8-5.325%-
vs Similar (9)35.741.076.7-5.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.834.476.2+7.4100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/04
BJ League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A07/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A25/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A27/10
B2.League
75.0Avg total
32.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.340.473.7-7.028%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.639.971.4-8.321%-
Last 30 away (15)35.040.975.9-5.933%-
Last 10 (9)32.043.075.0-11.011%-
Last 5 (5)31.042.273.2-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)31.841.673.4-9.814%-
vs Similar (7)38.336.674.9+1.771%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.2
49.5%
52.4%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.19.2
40.0%
33.6%27.8
🏀 Free throws14.910.1
68.1%
71.0%10.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.2
45.8%
52.4%34.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.4
28.8%
33.6%19.1
🏀 Free throws20.614.6
70.9%
71.0%14.6
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWWWWLWLL
Nara
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#11
+11.0
Net rating
-20.3
107.6
Offensive rating
93.3
96.6
Defensive rating
113.7
53.3%
Effective FG%
44.9%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.35
40.0%
3-point %
28.8%
72.0%
Assist %
56.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 93.3Defence96.6 · 113.7Shooting53.3% · 44.9%3-point %40.0% · 28.8%Ball care18.3% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 28.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 0%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Fukuoka wins
2
Nara wins
DateGameScore
27/10/23Fukuoka v Nara74-68
15/03/15Nara v Fukuoka67-73
14/03/15Nara v Fukuoka88-87
01/03/15Fukuoka v Nara105-82
28/02/15Fukuoka v Nara99-94
16/02/14Nara v Fukuoka58-78
15/02/14Nara v Fukuoka84-73
02/11/13Fukuoka v Nara85-64
01/11/13Fukuoka v Nara80-57
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23HNara74-68
25/10/23AKobe77-70
22/10/23HNiigata87-67
21/10/23HNiigata90-70
15/10/23AShiga84-81
14/10/23AShiga75-61
07/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings70-77
06/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings78-75
21/04/19HDiamond Dolphins83-84 OT
20/04/19HDiamond Dolphins73-77
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23AFukuoka68-74
25/10/23AKumamoto62-64
22/10/23HShiga78-88
21/10/23HShiga66-96
15/10/23HKobe58-96
14/10/23HKobe66-77
08/10/23AAltiri Chiba76-83
07/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-95
26/04/15AShimane56-87
25/04/15AShimane70-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game79.483.776.8
Allowed / game71.168.372.8
Point differential+8.2+15.3+4.0
Avg total150.5152.0149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.267.071.5
Allowed / game84.189.279.0
Point differential-14.9-22.2-7.5
Avg total153.4156.2150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba87188%85.577.1+8.4
2 Fukuoka87188%79.471.1+8.2
3 Kobe76186%86.375.9+10.4
4 Koshigaya Alphas75271%85.773.6+12.1
5 Aomori75271%89.686.9+2.7
6 Shizuoka74357%81.176.7+4.4
7 Kumamoto74357%82.380.6+1.7
8 Yamagata Wyverns74357%83.184.7-1.6
9 Shiga84450%84.977.2+7.6
10 Fukushima72529%83.788.3-4.6
11 Ehime Orange Vikings72529%72.679.0-6.4
12 Iwate71614%67.978.7-10.9
13 Nara8080%69.284.1-14.9
14 Niigata7070%66.184.9-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2114152474
Nara1522181772
← all games of the day
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