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Nara vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 08:05
Final 78-69
21-19 15-16 15-17 27-17
Position#9
Record5-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.4
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record4-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game83.7
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Fukushima
10 Nov 2024
NARA78
FUKU69
09 Nov 2024
NARA65
FUKU76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
77-90
77
90
-13
43avg 70
A11/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
81-88
81
88
-7
75avg 70
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-59
90
59
+31
84avg 70
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
79-66
79
66
+13
79avg 70
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
73-97
73
97
-24
69avg 70
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
77avg 70
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 70
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 70
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 70
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 70
H09/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
19-16
19-28
25-21
18-20
20-18
24-20
19-30
28-18
25-19
22-9
15-13
20-7
21-16
11-23
27-20
14-26
18-19
20-27
21-25
20-16
21-22
15-15
25-9
22-17
15-21
9-27
17-18
30-23
30-20
14-25
20-18
22-25
19-12
16-15
28-19
15-18
16-15
16-27
18-16
156.6Avg total
78.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.280.4160.7-0.242%
Season at home (6)76.284.2160.3-8.017%
Season away (6)84.376.7161.0+7.767%
Last 10 (10)78.877.8156.6+1.050%
Last 5 (5)77.675.6153.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.175.6147.7-3.433%
vs Similar (16)80.680.6161.1+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.877.6159.4+4.240%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-86
87
86
+1
85avg 76
H12/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
62avg 76
H13/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
76avg 76
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
58-68
58
68
-10
47avg 76
A20/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
79-104
79
104
-25
69avg 76
A23/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
74-101
74
101
-27
59avg 76
H26/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
73avg 76
H27/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
87-75
87
75
+12
87avg 76
H02/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 76
H03/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
76-65
76
65
+11
76avg 76
A09/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
23-23
20-24
22-15
20-30
15-24
20-16
15-16
16-21
18-23
18-16
24-19
20-18
15-9
13-24
10-17
24-18
17-32
20-29
18-25
6-20
22-27
22-25
24-29
22-30
19-19
20-24
19-20
21-21
16-19
22-14
28-21
21-21
17-23
20-14
24-27
18-15
15-16
27-16
16-18
161.1Avg total
76.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.683.7161.2-6.133%
Season at home (8)80.286.0166.2-5.838%
Season away (4)72.279.0151.2-6.825%
Last 10 (10)76.984.2161.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)79.883.8163.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.487.5164.9-10.122%
vs Similar (7)85.383.1168.4+2.143%
vs Weaker (5)87.473.0160.4+14.480%
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
NaraFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A18/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A19/10
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H23/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/11
B2.League
78.0Avg total
40.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.079.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.040.880.8-0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)40.637.077.6+3.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.378.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.879.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.637.072.6-1.444%-
vs Similar (16)41.640.281.9+1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.438.883.2+5.660%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H12/10
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H13/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A19/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A20/10
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A23/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H26/10
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H27/10
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H03/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A09/11
B2.League
80.0Avg total
36.7Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.882.7-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.145.585.6-5.425%-
Last 30 away (14)39.739.879.5-0.157%-
Last 10 (10)36.743.380.0-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.442.277.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.344.382.6-6.028%-
vs Similar (7)40.942.183.0-1.343%-
vs Weaker (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Nara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.7
54.5%
51.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.6
30.0%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
70.7%14.8
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.0
47.9%
51.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.09.3
38.8%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.710.7
68.2%
70.7%10.7
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWWLWLWWLL
Fukushima
WLWLLLLLLW
#9
League position
#13
+1.4
Net rating
-9.3
106.7
Offensive rating
104.7
105.4
Defensive rating
113.9
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
20.3%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
30.0%
3-point %
38.8%
64.7%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 104.7Defence105.4 · 113.9Shooting51.1% · 51.7%3-point %30.0% · 38.8%Ball care16.3% · 20.3%Off. rebounds25.9% · 33.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Nara   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nara wins
2
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Nara v Fukushima65-76
17/12/23Fukushima v Nara74-56
16/12/23Fukushima v Nara67-85
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HFukushima65-76
03/11/24AKumamoto85-71
02/11/24AKumamoto94-86
27/10/24HFukuoka63-83
26/10/24HFukuoka81-62
23/10/24HKagoshima Rebnise73-97
19/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings79-66
18/10/24AEhime Orange Vikings90-59
12/10/24AKobe81-88
11/10/24AKobe77-90
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24ANara76-65
03/11/24HAomori82-85
02/11/24HAomori87-75
27/10/24HShinshu80-93
26/10/24HShinshu74-101
23/10/24AToyama79-104
20/10/24AFukui58-68
19/10/24AFukui76-79
13/10/24HYamagata Wyverns70-86
12/10/24HYamagata Wyverns87-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%17%67%
Points / game80.276.284.3
Allowed / game80.484.276.7
Point differential-0.2-8.0+7.7
Avg total160.7160.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%17%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %33%38%25%
Points / game77.680.272.2
Allowed / game83.786.079.0
Point differential-6.1-5.8-6.8
Avg total161.2166.2151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba13130100%90.475.9+14.5
2 Shinshu139469%85.576.4+9.2
3 Fukui117464%81.476.4+5.0
4 Toyama138562%85.780.4+5.3
5 Shizuoka138562%77.575.8+1.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise138562%80.581.5-0.9
7 Kobe126650%83.381.9+1.4
8 Aomori136746%79.484.2-4.8
9 Fukuoka115645%80.477.5+2.8
10 Nara125742%80.280.4-0.2
11 Yamagata Wyverns114736%79.783.8-4.1
12 Fukushima124833%77.683.7-6.1
13 Ehime Orange Vikings111109%75.388.3-13.0
14 Kumamoto121118%75.789.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2115152778
Fukushima1916171769
← all games of the day
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