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Fukushima vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 74-56
17-16 20-6 18-17 19-17
Position#10
Record7-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#11
Record8-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game77.9
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Nara
22 Dec 2024
FUKU77
NARA83
21 Dec 2024
FUKU73
NARA62
17 Dec 2023
FUKU74
NARA56
16 Dec 2023
FUKU67
NARA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 75
A11/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
85-86
85
86
-1
84avg 75
H18/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 75
H19/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
55avg 75
H25/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
63avg 75
H26/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-76
100
76
+24
102avg 75
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 75
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
88-101
88
101
-13
86avg 75
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
90avg 75
A10/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
67-85
67
85
-18
59avg 75
H16/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
18-20
11-25
16-22
19-22
27-21
22-26
17-17
23-26
19-22
12-5
22-20
12-23
25-22
13-21
17-15
21-13
17-16
14-18
17-27
21-16
29-24
22-15
28-21
21-18
16-23
24-16
15-26
30-28
26-20
22-25
10-28
24-14
21-21
21-24
22-26
18-20
22-14
14-28
13-23
161.0Avg total
78.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.684.1164.8-3.532%
Season at home (11)79.781.9161.6-2.236%
Season away (11)81.586.4167.9-4.827%
Last 10 (10)78.882.2161.0-3.430%
Last 5 (5)83.886.0169.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.786.6159.2-13.911%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.184.1166.2-2.035%
vs Weaker (4)88.076.0164.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 64
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
76-62
76
62
+14
69avg 64
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
no box
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 64
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 64
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 64
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 64
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 64
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 64
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 64
A16/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
26-17
20-13
22-23
15-15
27-10
19-19
15-18
23-15
21-21
10-22
17-13
21-22
22-14
13-16
24-17
15-17
21-26
22-5
19-23
22-14
10-16
16-13
20-17
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
20-18
14-22
28-14
23-13
150.5Avg total
76.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.577.9150.4-5.436%
Season at home (10)68.680.2148.8-11.630%
Season away (12)75.876.0151.8-0.242%
Last 10 (10)76.973.6150.5+3.370%
Last 5 (5)73.677.4151.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.883.0150.7-15.25%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.871.5145.2+2.262%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +0.0+0.0
FukushimaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H18/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H19/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H16/12
B2.League
83.0Avg total
43.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)41.640.782.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.741.383.0+0.454%-
Last 30 away (13)41.540.181.6+1.546%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.483.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.639.685.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.740.681.3+0.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.341.182.4+0.153%-
vs Weaker (4)44.539.283.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/12
B2.League
74.4Avg total
37.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.039.973.0-6.928%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.840.671.4-9.821%-
Last 30 away (15)35.139.374.5-4.233%-
Last 10 (10)37.337.174.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.472.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.041.572.5-10.516%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.438.674.0-3.238%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.1
48.5%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.0
33.8%
33.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.516.2
79.0%
71.0%16.2
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.7
48.7%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.9
35.3%
33.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
71.0%12.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
LWLLWLLWLL
Nara
WLLLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#11
-4.1
Net rating
+0.3
106.7
Offensive rating
105.4
110.7
Defensive rating
105.1
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
35.3%
63.8%
Assist %
61.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 105.4Defence110.7 · 105.1Shooting49.3% · 50.2%3-point %33.8% · 35.3%Ball care17.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.5% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Fukushima   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukushima wins
1
Nara wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Fukushima v Nara67-85
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HNara67-85
10/12/23AKobe88-85
09/12/23AKobe88-101
03/12/23AAomori76-83
02/12/23AAomori100-76
26/11/23HFukuoka69-74
25/11/23HFukuoka67-81
19/11/23HIwate76-73
18/11/23HIwate85-86
11/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings72-78
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AFukushima85-67
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84
02/12/23HFukuoka68-60
26/11/23AIwate77-71
25/11/23AIwate80-69
21/11/23ANiigata82-77 OT
20/11/23ANiigata76-62
12/11/23HShizuoka86-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL32%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLWLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game80.679.781.5
Allowed / game84.181.986.4
Point differential-3.5-2.2-4.8
Avg total164.8161.6167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayWWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%30%42%
Points / game72.568.675.8
Allowed / game77.980.276.0
Point differential-5.4-11.6-0.2
Avg total150.4148.8151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%10%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2220291%88.576.1+12.4
2 Fukuoka2317674%80.474.8+5.6
3 Shiga2316770%86.578.0+8.5
4 Kumamoto2215768%84.682.5+2.1
5 Koshigaya Alphas2214864%84.073.9+10.1
6 Aomori2214864%86.687.1-0.5
7 Kobe23131057%81.678.6+3.0
8 Shizuoka22111150%80.077.7+2.4
9 Yamagata Wyverns23101343%80.084.7-4.7
10 Nara2281436%72.577.9-5.4
11 Fukushima2271532%80.684.1-3.5
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2361726%78.487.2-8.8
13 Iwate2351822%70.376.3-6.0
14 Niigata221215%69.084.1-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima1720181974
Nara166171756
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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