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Fukushima vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 04:45
Final 67-85
18-20 22-14 14-28 13-23
Position#10
Record7-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Nara 🏆
Japan
Position#11
Record7-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game78.4
JapanB2.League· Kokichi Tsuburaya Memorial Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukushima v Nara
22 Dec 2024
FUKU77
NARA83
21 Dec 2024
FUKU73
NARA62
17 Dec 2023
FUKU74
NARA56
16 Dec 2023
FUKU67
NARA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukushima winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 75
A10/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
72-78
72
78
-6
62avg 75
A11/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
85-86
85
86
-1
84avg 75
H18/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
76-73
76
73
+3
68avg 75
H19/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
55avg 75
H25/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
63avg 75
H26/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-76
100
76
+24
102avg 75
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 75
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
88-101
88
101
-13
86avg 75
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
88-85
88
85
+3
90avg 75
A10/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
16-10
23-28
34-34
27-11
18-20
11-25
16-22
19-22
27-21
22-26
17-17
23-26
19-22
12-5
22-20
12-23
25-22
13-21
17-15
21-13
17-16
14-18
17-27
21-16
29-24
22-15
28-21
21-18
16-23
24-16
15-26
30-28
26-20
22-25
10-28
24-14
21-21
21-24
22-26
165.0Avg total
81.6Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.384.1165.4-2.833%
Season at home (10)81.081.6162.6-0.640%
Season away (11)81.586.4167.9-4.827%
Last 10 (10)81.683.4165.0-1.830%
Last 5 (5)84.283.8168.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.786.6159.2-13.911%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.984.9166.8-3.035%
vs Weaker (4)88.076.0164.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
56-81
56
81
-25
41avg 63
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
85avg 63
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
76-62
76
62
+14
69avg 63
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
82-77 OT
82
77
+5
no box
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
76avg 63
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 63
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 63
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 63
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 63
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 63
A10/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
19-19
12-18
12-20
18-17
26-17
20-13
22-23
15-15
27-10
19-19
15-18
23-15
21-21
10-22
17-13
21-22
22-14
13-16
24-17
15-17
21-26
22-5
19-23
22-14
10-16
16-13
20-17
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
149.0Avg total
74.0Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.978.4150.3-6.533%
Season at home (10)68.680.2148.8-11.630%
Season away (11)74.976.8151.7-1.936%
Last 10 (10)74.075.0149.0-1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.078.2150.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)67.883.0150.7-15.25%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.874.0144.8-3.250%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
FukushimaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A11/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H18/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H19/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H26/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A02/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A03/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A09/12
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A10/12
B2.League
82.9Avg total
43.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)41.341.782.9-0.446%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.841.983.8-0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)40.841.482.2-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.582.9+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.683.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.740.681.3+0.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.742.883.5-2.147%-
vs Weaker (4)44.539.283.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H11/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H12/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A20/11
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A21/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
74.5Avg total
37.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.139.672.7-6.531%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.840.671.4-9.821%-
Last 30 away (15)35.338.773.9-3.440%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.474.5-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.240.073.2-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.041.572.5-10.516%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.637.473.0-1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Fukushima) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.8
49.0%
52.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
33.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.416.4
80.4%
71.0%16.4
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.7
50.0%
52.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.9
31.9%
33.6%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.3
75.9%
71.0%12.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukushima
WLLWLLWLLL
Nara
LLLWWWWWWL
#10
League position
#11
-2.4
Net rating
-3.4
109.5
Offensive rating
103.0
111.9
Defensive rating
106.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
31.9%
66.2%
Assist %
59.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 103.0Defence111.9 · 106.4Shooting51.1% · 49.3%3-point %36.3% · 31.9%Ball care17.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.4% · 29.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Fukushima   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukushima wins
0
Nara wins
No previous meetings.
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AKobe88-85
09/12/23AKobe88-101
03/12/23AAomori76-83
02/12/23AAomori100-76
26/11/23HFukuoka69-74
25/11/23HFukuoka67-81
19/11/23HIwate76-73
18/11/23HIwate85-86
11/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings72-78
10/11/23AEhime Orange Vikings95-97
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84
02/12/23HFukuoka68-60
26/11/23AIwate77-71
25/11/23AIwate80-69
21/11/23ANiigata82-77 OT
20/11/23ANiigata76-62
12/11/23HShizuoka86-70
11/11/23HShizuoka56-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLWLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%40%27%
Points / game81.381.081.5
Allowed / game84.181.686.4
Point differential-2.8-0.6-4.8
Avg total165.4162.6167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)20% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%30%36%
Points / game71.968.674.9
Allowed / game78.480.276.8
Point differential-6.5-11.6-1.9
Avg total150.3148.8151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2119290%88.075.8+12.2
2 Fukuoka2216673%80.475.1+5.3
3 Shiga2215768%85.476.7+8.7
4 Koshigaya Alphas2114767%82.871.9+10.9
5 Kumamoto2114767%83.081.1+2.0
6 Aomori2113862%86.287.0-0.8
7 Kobe2213959%80.577.1+3.4
8 Shizuoka21111052%80.076.7+3.2
9 Yamagata Wyverns2181338%80.786.2-5.5
10 Fukushima2171433%81.384.1-2.8
11 Nara2171433%71.978.4-6.5
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2261627%78.887.5-8.6
13 Iwate2151624%70.476.7-6.3
14 Niigata211205%68.083.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukushima1822141367
Nara2014282385
← all games of the day
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