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Nardo vs Vigevano Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 107-65
25-8 30-24 22-17 30-16
Position#19
Record8-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game81.4
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#18
Record10-20
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.7
ItalySerie A2Round 28· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vigevano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 63
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 63
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 63
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
73avg 63
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
78avg 63
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81
79
81
-2
67avg 63
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
74-87
74
87
-13
60avg 63
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 63
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-98
73
98
-25
57avg 63
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
56avg 63
H09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
17-25
30-13
13-28
10-18
20-17
20-21
14-19
27-21
25-24
24-16
19-29
19-22
17-19
27-23
8-29
27-10
14-23
27-23
15-25
18-16
25-19
19-10
20-16
18-24
16-28
18-26
26-24
13-20
18-20
16-15
18-23
13-18
160.3Avg total
77.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.581.4154.9-7.927%
Season at home (14)77.179.8156.9-2.743%
Season away (16)70.482.8153.2-12.412%
Last 10 (10)77.682.7160.3-5.130%
Last 5 (5)74.682.2156.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)74.281.4155.6-7.331%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.281.2150.5-12.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVigevano
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
80avg 68
H15/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
73-92
73
92
-19
64avg 68
A19/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
76avg 68
H26/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
48avg 68
H29/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
66-83
66
83
-17
62avg 68
A02/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
62-73
62
73
-11
50avg 68
A09/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
74avg 68
H16/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 68
A26/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 68
H02/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
100-84
100
84
+16
98avg 68
H09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
22-30
16-20
16-16
28-31
12-23
16-19
17-19
17-19
22-22
10-10
30-18
17-27
18-18
9-22
18-24
15-17
20-24
19-23
12-19
23-18
10-17
9-16
20-22
19-12
18-28
18-15
18-23
19-20
24-21
16-18
21-16
12-17
24-11
14-29
26-21
28-17
24-22
18-24
30-21
156.9Avg total
75.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.580.7157.2-4.233%
Season at home (16)76.980.4157.2-3.538%
Season away (14)76.081.1157.1-5.129%
Last 10 (10)75.381.6156.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)78.277.6155.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)77.182.9160.1-5.826%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.476.8152.2-1.545%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
NardoVigevano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H29/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A01/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H09/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A26/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A02/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H09/03
Serie A2
82.4Avg total
41.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.140.776.8-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.439.176.4-1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)35.042.177.1-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.482.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.280.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (26)36.940.777.7-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)30.840.571.2-9.80%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vigevano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VigevanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A19/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H29/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H16/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A26/02
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H09/03
Serie A2
82.1Avg total
40.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.279.9-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.040.281.2+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.240.278.4-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.182.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.676.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.940.980.9-1.032%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.338.978.2+0.455%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.1
49.6%
50.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
74.4%13.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vigevanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vigevano: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.5
52.2%
50.1%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.9
33.3%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
74.4%12.8
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLWLLLWLLW
Vigevano
WLWLLLLWLL
#19
League position
#18
-6.7
Net rating
-8.6
104.9
Offensive rating
101.2
111.6
Defensive rating
109.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
36.6%
3-point %
33.3%
43.7%
Assist %
68.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 101.2Defence111.6 · 109.7Shooting51.9% · 51.2%3-point %36.6% · 33.3%Ball care19.3% · 18.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 20.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Nardo   ■ Vigevano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
1
Vigevano wins
DateGameScore
16/10/24Vigevano v Nardo84-68
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HBrindisi65-76
02/03/25AJuVi Cremona73-98
26/02/25AForli82-69
15/02/25ASebastiani Rieti74-87
09/02/25HUrania Milano79-81
01/02/25ACividale87-91
29/01/25HVerona81-78
26/01/25APesaro70-84
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
Vigevanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HCividale100-84
02/03/25HForli76-78
26/02/25AAssigeco Piacenza80-75
16/02/25HCento73-78
09/02/25ABasket Torino62-73
02/02/25AFortitudo Bologna66-83
29/01/25HUdine62-91
26/01/25HAvellino Basket79-69
19/01/25AJuVi Cremona73-92
15/01/25HPesaro82-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %27%43%12%
Points / game73.577.170.4
Allowed / game81.479.882.8
Point differential-7.9-2.7-12.4
Avg total154.9156.9153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Vigevano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %33%38%29%
Points / game76.576.976.0
Allowed / game80.780.481.1
Point differential-4.2-3.5-5.1
Avg total157.2157.2157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%19%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3123874%83.475.3+8.1
2 Rimini30201067%80.878.2+2.6
3 Cantu31201165%77.772.9+4.9
4 Urania Milano30191163%77.375.1+2.2
5 Sebastiani Rieti31191261%75.373.5+1.9
6 Cividale31191261%80.879.2+1.6
7 Fortitudo Bologna31181358%75.773.4+2.4
8 Forli31181358%76.875.6+1.2
9 Avellino Basket30171357%78.779.0-0.3
10 Pesaro32181456%81.879.6+2.2
11 Verona31171455%76.273.4+2.8
12 Brindisi32171553%76.675.7+0.9
13 Basket Torino32161650%76.575.8+0.7
14 Orzinuovi31121939%77.680.9-3.3
15 JuVi Cremona31112035%80.582.5-1.9
16 Cento31112035%72.677.9-5.3
17 Libertas Livorno32112134%74.776.7-2.0
18 Vigevano30102033%76.580.7-4.2
19 Nardo3082227%73.581.4-7.9
20 Assigeco Piacenza3262619%75.882.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo25302230107
Vigevano824171665
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