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Nardo vs JuVi Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 102-98
32-26 26-28 15-21 29-23
Position#19
Record12-28
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game82.2
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record15-25
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game83.2
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Final· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v JuVi Cremona
18 May 2025
NARD73
JUVI85
16 May 2025
NARD102
JUVI98
06 Oct 2024
NARD72
JUVI97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JuVi Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
107-65
107
65
+42
109avg 66
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
73avg 66
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 66
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
62avg 66
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
77-92
77
92
-15
67avg 66
A06/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
72-99
72
99
-27
48avg 66
H13/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
103-83
103
83
+20
95avg 66
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 66
A27/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
80-87
80
87
-7
68avg 66
A10/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
81-90
81
90
-9
67avg 66
A12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-8
30-24
22-17
30-16
23-24
19-20
27-24
8-19
24-13
8-25
20-13
22-19
22-21
15-26
19-23
17-17
20-30
12-21
25-16
20-25
11-24
13-29
20-28
28-18
31-15
20-15
25-28
27-25
17-27
23-22
25-15
21-20
15-33
28-15
16-20
21-19
14-34
24-20
23-22
20-14
167.4Avg total
83.0Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)75.982.2158.0-6.330%
Season at home (19)79.480.1159.4-0.747%
Season away (21)72.784.0156.8-11.314%
Last 10 (10)83.084.4167.4-1.440%
Last 5 (5)84.488.6173.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.583.2157.8-8.821%
vs Similar (6)81.777.5159.2+4.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
L
86-89
86
89
-3
77avg 72
A14/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
54avg 72
H23/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 72
A30/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
76-88
76
88
-12
64avg 72
A03/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
80avg 72
H06/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
107-95
107
95
+12
104avg 72
H12/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
67-69
67
69
-2
62avg 72
A19/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
90-101
90
101
-11
74avg 72
H27/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-80
87
80
+7
79avg 72
H10/05
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
90-81
90
81
+9
92avg 72
H12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
24-19
16-26
24-22
19-26
15-25
18-16
16-12
16-18
20-24
15-28
33-18
19-23
19-30
23-22
15-13
17-30
20-15
27-17
15-17
17-33
32-19
25-15
33-28
17-20
13-18
29-12
8-19
27-23
18-24
24-26
21-28
33-15
15-28
20-16
19-21
34-14
20-24
22-23
14-20
170.5Avg total
84.6Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)81.483.2164.6-1.738%
Season at home (21)83.182.1165.2+1.052%
Season away (19)79.584.3163.8-4.821%
Last 10 (10)84.685.9170.5-1.340%
Last 5 (5)88.285.2173.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.785.0155.7-14.30%
vs Similar (19)85.184.4169.5+0.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.080.0169.0+9.075%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
NardoJuVi Cremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H15/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A23/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H30/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H02/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A06/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H13/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H19/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A27/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A10/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A12/05
Serie A2
84.0Avg total
39.4Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.979.7-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.539.978.4-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.243.680.9-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.684.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.886.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.242.981.1-4.629%-
vs Similar (6)36.238.074.2-1.833%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A14/03
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H06/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H27/04
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/05
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H12/05
Serie A2
86.7Avg total
41.7Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.584.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.442.284.7+0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)40.642.783.4-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.086.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)45.243.688.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.147.381.4-13.10%-
vs Similar (19)42.341.583.7+0.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)51.538.890.2+12.8100%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.7
53.4%
50.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.1
38.0%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.512.3
79.4%
74.4%12.3
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JuVi Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JuVi Cremona: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.7
52.5%
50.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.5
30.6%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.615.1
81.2%
74.4%15.1
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLWWLLLWLW
JuVi Cremona
WWLLWWLLLL
#19
League position
#16
-1.9
Net rating
-6.6
110.4
Offensive rating
105.9
112.3
Defensive rating
112.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.0%
3-point %
30.6%
38.3%
Assist %
46.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 105.9Defence112.3 · 112.6Shooting54.9% · 49.8%3-point %38.0% · 30.6%Ball care16.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds24.6% · 29.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Nardo   ■ JuVi Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nardo wins
5
JuVi Cremona wins
DateGameScore
12/05/25JuVi Cremona v Nardo90-81
10/05/25JuVi Cremona v Nardo87-80
02/03/25JuVi Cremona v Nardo98-73
06/10/24Nardo v JuVi Cremona72-97
06/04/24JuVi Cremona v Nardo73-68
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/25AJuVi Cremona81-90
10/05/25AJuVi Cremona80-87
27/04/25ARimini86-84
19/04/25HOrzinuovi103-83
13/04/25HCento72-99
06/04/25ALibertas Livorno77-92
02/04/25HCantu73-87
30/03/25HAssigeco Piacenza74-70
23/03/25AFortitudo Bologna77-87
15/03/25HVigevano107-65
JuVi Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/25HNardo90-81
10/05/25HNardo87-80
27/04/25HAvellino Basket90-101
19/04/25ASebastiani Rieti67-69
12/04/25HLibertas Livorno107-95
06/04/25HPesaro91-89 OT
03/04/25ARimini76-88
30/03/25ABasket Torino84-88
23/03/25HUdine68-79
14/03/25ABrindisi86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWWLLW47%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %30%47%14%
Points / game75.979.472.7
Allowed / game82.280.184.0
Point differential-6.3-0.7-11.3
Avg total158.0159.4156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %2%0%5%
JuVi Cremona
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW38%
HomeWWLWW52%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %38%52%21%
Points / game81.483.179.5
Allowed / game83.282.184.3
Point differential-1.7+1.0-4.8
Avg total164.6165.2163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)33% (3)20% (10)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3830879%84.075.9+8.2
2 Rimini40281270%82.278.0+4.2
3 Cantu41261563%77.873.6+4.2
4 Sebastiani Rieti40251562%75.373.2+2.1
5 Cividale40251562%80.578.5+2.1
6 Forli40231757%77.576.2+1.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna42231955%75.474.0+1.4
8 Verona39211854%77.975.2+2.8
9 Pesaro40211952%82.280.6+1.6
10 Urania Milano40211952%75.776.4-0.7
11 Basket Torino39201951%77.577.0+0.5
12 Avellino Basket39201951%79.680.3-0.7
13 Brindisi42212150%76.976.6+0.3
14 Orzinuovi38162242%77.880.3-2.5
15 Cento38152339%73.977.3-3.4
16 Libertas Livorno40152538%77.278.8-1.6
17 JuVi Cremona40152538%81.483.2-1.7
18 Vigevano40132732%77.082.2-5.2
19 Nardo40122830%75.982.2-6.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza3873118%76.483.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo32261529102
JuVi Cremona2628212398
← all games of the day
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