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Pesaro vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 97-70
27-21 25-13 23-11 22-25
Position#9
Record11-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game79.7
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Urania Milano
Italy
Position#12
Record13-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game74.0
ItalySerie A2Round 22· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pesaro v Urania Milano
07 Feb 2027
PES v URAN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
PES73
URAN68
19 Jan 2025
PES97
URAN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 71
H17/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
84-100
84
100
-16
73avg 71
A24/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
90-67
90
67
+23
84avg 71
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
94avg 71
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
77-74
77
74
+3
72avg 71
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 71
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 71
H29/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 71
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 71
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-82
93
82
+11
84avg 71
A15/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
20-17
19-11
22-20
18-24
23-25
23-23
20-28
20-19
25-20
27-20
18-8
22-34
25-22
19-17
20-13
17-19
23-20
14-24
23-11
22-18
25-26
29-21
16-16
26-11
18-26
17-11
21-13
27-21
20-31
24-22
15-23
28-17
18-22
20-18
20-22
27-28
30-22
20-16
16-16
166.8Avg total
87.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.779.7158.3-1.052%
Season at home (11)80.574.6155.2+5.973%
Season away (10)76.685.2161.8-8.630%
Last 10 (10)87.179.7166.8+7.480%
Last 5 (5)87.880.0167.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.488.3169.7-6.943%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.784.4165.1-3.741%
vs Weaker (6)78.073.2151.2+4.883%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 72
A17/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 72
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
74avg 72
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
51-81
51
81
-30
34avg 72
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
73avg 72
H14/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
85-62
85
62
+23
85avg 72
H21/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
68-86
68
86
-18
51avg 72
A29/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
78avg 72
H05/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
66-56
66
56
+10
61avg 72
A11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
66avg 72
H15/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
21-23
24-20
17-11
17-32
20-21
28-17
15-12
17-17
20-24
18-13
16-17
16-28
11-25
14-20
10-8
19-20
15-18
17-14
19-18
27-21
18-20
23-5
17-16
12-23
11-22
26-19
19-22
23-13
18-23
19-30
15-9
21-9
15-16
12-11
18-20
11-16
18-24
15-14
28-19
150.3Avg total
74.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.274.0151.2+3.362%
Season at home (11)80.272.8153.0+7.473%
Season away (10)74.075.2149.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)74.975.4150.3-0.550%
Last 5 (5)75.071.6146.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.484.2161.7-6.822%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.976.6155.5+2.358%
vs Weaker (2)85.567.5153.0+18.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +2.2+2.2
PesaroUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#15
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A24/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H08/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A14/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H22/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H29/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A05/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H12/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A15/01
Serie A2
88.5Avg total
45.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.882.1-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.781.1-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)40.242.983.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.488.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.492.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.441.480.9-2.043%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.943.182.9-3.235%-
vs Weaker (6)42.738.581.2+4.267%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A17/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H21/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A29/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A11/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H15/01
Serie A2
76.1Avg total
34.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.279.4-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.840.979.6-2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)37.541.679.1-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.941.276.1-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.472.2-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.343.477.8-9.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.140.079.1-0.947%-
vs Weaker (2)46.542.589.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.0
54.2%
50.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.1
37.5%
34.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.517.2
80.0%
74.4%17.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.6
49.3%
50.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.3
28.9%
34.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.411.0
67.1%
74.4%11.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWLWWWWWLW
Urania Milano
LWWLWWLLLW
#9
League position
#12
+10.5
Net rating
-0.9
116.2
Offensive rating
97.6
105.7
Defensive rating
98.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
47.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
37.5%
3-point %
28.9%
52.2%
Assist %
63.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 97.6Defence105.7 · 98.5Shooting55.2% · 47.0%3-point %37.5% · 28.9%Ball care15.5% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.1% · 22.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
1
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24Urania Milano v Pesaro77-60
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AVigevano93-82
12/01/25HBrindisi86-79
05/01/25ACividale86-97
29/12/24HFortitudo Bologna82-61
22/12/24HJuVi Cremona92-81
14/12/24AAssigeco Piacenza77-74
08/12/24HBasket Torino103-96 OT
01/12/24HCantu90-67
24/11/24ABrindisi84-100
17/11/24HCento78-60
Urania Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25HBasket Torino72-73
11/01/25ASebastiani Rieti66-56
05/01/25HCento84-81 OT
29/12/24ALibertas Livorno68-86
21/12/24HNardo85-62
14/12/24HCividale81-79 OT
08/12/24ACantu51-81
01/12/24AAvellino Basket81-83 OT
23/11/24HForli80-82
17/11/24ABasket Torino81-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW52%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%73%30%
Points / game78.780.576.6
Allowed / game79.774.685.2
Point differential-1.0+5.9-8.6
Avg total158.3155.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL62%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game77.280.274.0
Allowed / game74.072.875.2
Point differential+3.3+7.4-1.2
Avg total151.2153.0149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %14%18%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2117481%82.975.8+7.0
2 Udine2116576%82.973.7+9.2
3 Cantu2116576%78.972.2+6.6
4 Cividale2215768%80.076.5+3.5
5 Verona2113862%77.473.8+3.7
6 Urania Milano2113862%77.274.0+3.3
7 Fortitudo Bologna2112957%76.574.8+1.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti2112957%73.672.8+0.8
9 Avellino Basket2112957%78.278.2-0.0
10 Forli21111052%77.476.0+1.4
11 Pesaro21111052%78.779.7-1.0
12 Basket Torino2191243%75.776.6-1.0
13 Brindisi2191243%75.676.9-1.3
14 Orzinuovi2191243%78.080.4-2.4
15 Vigevano2171433%77.380.9-3.6
16 JuVi Cremona2171433%78.982.9-4.0
17 Libertas Livorno2271532%73.976.3-2.4
18 Cento2161529%70.377.6-7.3
19 Nardo2161529%72.380.7-8.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza2131814%74.580.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2725232297
Urania Milano2113112570
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