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Nardo vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 81-78
20-17 20-21 14-19 27-21
Position#19
Record6-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game81.0
Nardo 🏆
Italy
vs
Verona
Italy
Position#8
Record13-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game74.3
ItalySerie A2Round 24· Palasport San Giuseppe da Copertino
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nardo v Verona
29 Jan 2025
NARD81
VER78
28 Jan 2024
NARD57
VER69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nardo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
49avg 62
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 62
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
66avg 62
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 62
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 62
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
60-69
60
69
-9
50avg 62
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
48-81
48
81
-33
32avg 62
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
89-80
89
80
+9
78avg 62
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 62
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 62
A26/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
17-14
18-30
9-15
25-21
10-21
27-19
22-16
14-18
9-17
28-16
20-20
21-27
20-18
5-23
16-17
19-24
16-25
20-17
20-18
13-19
16-20
13-13
18-17
3-14
13-23
14-22
18-22
24-24
17-24
24-16
24-16
17-18
19-26
24-22
16-17
17-25
30-13
13-28
10-18
151.4Avg total
70.7Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)72.381.0153.3-8.626%
Season at home (11)77.680.2157.8-2.545%
Season away (12)67.581.7149.2-14.28%
Last 10 (10)70.780.7151.4-10.020%
Last 5 (5)68.679.4148.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.080.9153.9-7.932%
vs Similar (11)75.280.4155.5-5.236%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
79-72
79
72
+7
73avg 72
A01/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
84-59
84
59
+25
84avg 72
H07/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
57avg 72
A15/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
61avg 72
H22/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
69-58
69
58
+11
62avg 72
A29/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 72
H05/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 72
A12/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 72
H16/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 72
A19/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
67-77
67
77
-10
50avg 72
H26/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
14-21
18-9
19-17
19-17
19-13
23-11
23-18
18-17
23-15
9-20
20-25
22-22
16-23
23-11
15-14
16-18
21-12
13-17
19-11
18-14
21-21
19-18
20-17
19-14
8-29
16-20
27-23
32-9
19-25
23-22
19-21
24-21
20-20
13-19
19-23
17-17
15-21
26-22
9-17
149.1Avg total
76.2Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.974.3151.2+2.657%
Season at home (12)79.974.2154.1+5.867%
Season away (11)73.674.5148.1-0.845%
Last 10 (10)76.272.9149.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)76.878.6155.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.488.4158.8-18.00%
vs Similar (13)75.973.8149.7+2.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.376.1159.4+7.275%
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
NardoVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A21/12
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H29/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A12/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H15/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A26/01
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
34.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.176.6-5.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.177.6-0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)32.842.875.6-10.012%-
Last 10 (10)34.341.475.7-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)33.841.275.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.540.876.3-5.332%-
vs Similar (11)35.541.577.1-6.036%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A29/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A12/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H16/01
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H26/01
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
38.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.877.7+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.039.281.2+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)37.936.474.3+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.476.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.046.279.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (13)40.237.277.4+3.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.535.077.5+7.575%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.6
47.0%
50.1%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.8
35.8%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws14.19.3
66.0%
74.4%9.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.7
50.1%
50.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.4
33.5%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.6
75.0%
74.4%12.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nardo
LLWLLLLLWL
Verona
LLWLWWWLWW
#19
League position
#8
-13.5
Net rating
+4.4
94.5
Offensive rating
105.7
108.0
Defensive rating
101.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.1%
21.3%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.8%
3-point %
33.5%
48.0%
Assist %
51.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 105.7Defence108.0 · 101.3Shooting50.0% · 50.2%3-point %35.8% · 33.5%Ball care20.4% · 16.1%Off. rebounds21.3% · 27.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Nardo   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nardo wins
2
Verona wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Verona v Nardo86-76
28/01/24Nardo v Verona57-69
20/11/23Verona v Nardo79-80 OT
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25APesaro70-84
19/01/25HUdine76-83
15/01/25HAvellino Basket89-80
12/01/25ABasket Torino48-81
05/01/25ACantu60-69
29/12/24HForli75-84
21/12/24AUrania Milano62-85
15/12/24ACento76-82 OT
11/12/24HCividale84-77
08/12/24HRimini67-82
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HFortitudo Bologna67-77
19/01/25ACento76-83
16/01/25HForli93-77
12/01/25AUdine70-86
05/01/25HAssigeco Piacenza78-70
29/12/24ABrindisi69-58
22/12/24HRimini76-70
15/12/24AAvellino Basket70-77
07/12/24HCento84-59
01/12/24ALibertas Livorno79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL26%
HomeLWLWL45%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%45%8%
Points / game72.377.667.5
Allowed / game81.080.281.7
Point differential-8.6-2.5-14.2
Avg total153.3157.8149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %4%0%8%
Verona
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%67%45%
Points / game76.979.973.6
Allowed / game74.374.274.5
Point differential+2.6+5.8-0.8
Avg total151.2154.1148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2318578%82.375.9+6.4
2 Udine2317674%82.774.5+8.3
3 Cantu2316770%77.572.0+5.5
4 Cividale2315865%79.677.1+2.5
5 Fortitudo Bologna2314961%76.373.9+2.4
6 Urania Milano2314961%76.374.2+2.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti2314961%74.472.6+1.8
8 Verona23131057%76.974.3+2.6
9 Pesaro23131057%79.778.8+0.9
10 Avellino Basket23131057%77.778.0-0.3
11 Forli23121152%77.276.0+1.2
12 Basket Torino23101343%76.376.8-0.4
13 Brindisi23101343%76.177.0-0.9
14 JuVi Cremona2391439%79.982.7-2.8
15 Orzinuovi2391439%78.081.4-3.4
16 Libertas Livorno2381535%74.176.1-2.0
17 Vigevano2381535%77.280.8-3.7
18 Cento2381535%71.677.2-5.6
19 Nardo2361726%72.381.0-8.6
20 Assigeco Piacenza2332013%74.080.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nardo2020142781
Verona1721192178
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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