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Verona vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 93-77
32-9 19-25 23-22 19-21
Position#8
Record12-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game73.6
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record11-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game75.1
ItalySerie A2Round 21· PalaOlimpia
Other2024-25
Meetings · Verona v Forli
08 Apr 2026
VER89
FORL56
16 Jan 2025
VER93
FORL77
04 Nov 2023
VER96
FORL82
24 Oct 2021
VER79
FORL60
20 Jan 2019
VER77
FORL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
60-58
60
58
+2
53avg 72
A13/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
64-72
64
72
-8
55avg 72
A17/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
64-92
64
92
-28
54avg 72
H22/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
79-72
79
72
+7
73avg 72
A01/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
84-59
84
59
+25
84avg 72
H07/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
57avg 72
A15/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
76-70
76
70
+6
61avg 72
H22/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
69-58
69
58
+11
62avg 72
A29/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
78-70
78
70
+8
74avg 72
H05/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
61avg 72
A12/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
10-15
16-11
11-16
14-13
16-17
21-20
13-22
12-23
15-25
20-28
17-16
28-25
14-21
18-9
19-17
19-17
19-13
23-11
23-18
18-17
23-15
9-20
20-25
22-22
16-23
23-11
15-14
16-18
21-12
13-17
19-11
18-14
21-21
19-18
20-17
19-14
8-29
16-20
27-23
142.8Avg total
71.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.773.6150.2+3.160%
Season at home (10)79.973.6153.5+6.370%
Season away (10)73.473.6147.0-0.250%
Last 10 (10)71.471.4142.8+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.672.2144.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.488.4158.8-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.273.5149.7+2.758%
vs Weaker (13)83.374.5157.8+8.877%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 70
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
65avg 70
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
82-80
82
80
+2
79avg 70
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
88-82
88
82
+6
88avg 70
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 70
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
71-76 OT
71
76
-5
64avg 70
A14/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
93-91
93
91
+2
92avg 70
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 70
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
64-65
64
65
-1
56avg 70
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 70
H12/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-23
13-22
28-12
16-20
21-15
25-21
9-20
32-17
21-20
17-28
12-15
21-24
25-18
19-21
23-19
19-18
30-14
12-19
18-23
18-17
21-17
15-18
13-15
24-22
14-21
24-25
31-23
24-19
25-16
17-20
18-20
17-17
18-7
13-17
16-24
20-20
19-13
13-23
27-26
157.1Avg total
78.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)77.475.1152.5+2.355%
Season at home (10)78.774.2152.9+4.560%
Season away (10)76.176.0152.1+0.150%
Last 10 (10)78.678.5157.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.277.8156.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.375.6148.9-2.337%
vs Weaker (10)84.775.9160.6+8.890%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
VeronaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A13/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A17/11
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H22/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A01/12
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A15/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A29/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/01
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A12/01
Serie A2
72.2Avg total
35.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.278.2+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.439.982.3+2.664%-
Last 30 away (16)38.036.774.7+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.237.072.2-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.073.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.046.279.2-13.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.437.577.9+2.967%-
vs Weaker (13)42.535.778.2+6.869%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A13/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H17/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A23/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H01/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A14/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A29/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H05/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/01
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
41.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.976.4+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.435.373.7+3.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.579.1+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.578.4+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)40.033.873.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.050.084.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.135.373.4+2.763%-
vs Weaker (10)42.938.581.4+4.460%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.4
49.0%
50.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.2
32.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws13.39.8
73.7%
74.4%9.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.817.4
47.3%
50.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.814.9
79.3%
74.4%14.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LWWWLWWLLW
Forli
LLWWLWWWLL
#8
League position
#6
-0.6
Net rating
+0.1
99.4
Offensive rating
106.4
100.0
Defensive rating
106.2
48.7%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
15.7%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.1%
3-point %
33.8%
51.9%
Assist %
68.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 106.4Defence100.0 · 106.2Shooting48.7% · 48.8%3-point %32.1% · 33.8%Ball care18.6% · 15.7%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Verona   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Verona wins
4
Forli wins
DateGameScore
06/10/24Forli v Verona92-86 OT
13/01/24Forli v Verona76-68
04/11/23Verona v Forli96-82
30/01/22Forli v Verona65-73
24/10/21Verona v Forli79-60
20/01/19Verona v Forli77-87
15/10/18Forli v Verona67-65
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25AUdine70-86
05/01/25HAssigeco Piacenza78-70
29/12/24ABrindisi69-58
22/12/24HRimini76-70
15/12/24AAvellino Basket70-77
07/12/24HCento84-59
01/12/24ALibertas Livorno79-72
22/11/24HUdine64-92
17/11/24AOrzinuovi64-72
13/11/24ASebastiani Rieti60-58
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HCividale79-82
05/01/25HSebastiani Rieti64-65
29/12/24ANardo84-75
22/12/24HVigevano93-91
14/12/24AFortitudo Bologna71-76 OT
07/12/24AJuVi Cremona79-74
01/12/24HAssigeco Piacenza88-82
23/11/24AUrania Milano82-80
17/11/24HCantu71-76
13/11/24AUdine75-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game76.779.973.4
Allowed / game73.673.673.6
Point differential+3.0+6.3-0.2
Avg total150.2153.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game77.478.776.1
Allowed / game75.174.276.0
Point differential+2.3+4.5+0.1
Avg total152.5152.9152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %15%20%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini2117481%82.975.8+7.0
2 Udine2116576%82.973.7+9.2
3 Cantu2116576%78.972.2+6.6
4 Cividale2114767%79.676.6+3.0
5 Urania Milano2113862%77.274.0+3.3
6 Verona2012860%76.773.6+3.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna2112957%76.574.8+1.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti2112957%73.672.8+0.8
9 Avellino Basket2112957%78.278.2-0.0
10 Forli2011955%77.475.1+2.3
11 Pesaro21111052%78.779.7-1.0
12 Basket Torino2191243%75.776.6-1.0
13 Brindisi2191243%75.676.9-1.3
14 Orzinuovi2191243%78.080.4-2.4
15 Libertas Livorno2171433%73.975.7-1.9
16 Vigevano2171433%77.380.9-3.6
17 JuVi Cremona2171433%78.982.9-4.0
18 Cento2161529%70.377.6-7.3
19 Nardo2161529%72.380.7-8.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza2131814%74.580.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona3219231993
Forli925222177
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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