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Hogsbo vs BC Lulea Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:04
Final 90-81
21-16 16-21 26-15 27-29
Position#9
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game89.0
Hogsbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
BC Lulea
Sweden
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game68.0
SwedenBasketligan· Gothia Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Hogsbo v BC Lulea
10 Jan 2027
HOGS v LUL
upcoming
16 Feb 2026
HOGS78
LUL92
03 Nov 2025
HOGS66
LUL106
07 Mar 2025
HOGS80
LUL107
08 Oct 2024
HOGS90
LUL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hogsbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
103-111
103
111
-8
95avg 91
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
101-90
101
90
+11
97avg 91
A07/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
76-87
76
87
-11
61avg 91
A12/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
96-64
96
64
+32
96avg 91
H14/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
103-70
103
70
+33
101avg 91
A19/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
84avg 91
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
100-61
100
61
+39
92avg 91
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
58avg 91
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
86-66
86
66
+20
81avg 91
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 91
A04/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
29-23
18-28
33-27
31-27
25-16
20-19
25-28
16-20
24-20
16-26
20-21
23-16
33-17
17-15
23-16
25-14
39-16
17-12
22-28
28-26
21-16
20-28
19-25
23-12
31-19
23-12
23-18
13-25
15-23
26-22
26-25
32-15
15-21
24-13
15-17
19-19
19-26
27-18
26-26
175.2Avg total
92.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.089.0180.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.089.0180.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.482.8175.2+9.660%
Last 5 (5)89.081.2170.2+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)91.089.0180.0+2.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (29)95.380.2175.5+15.179%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
W
91-84
91
84
+7
82avg 84
A22/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
88avg 84
H03/04
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
90-74
90
74
+16
80avg 84
H05/04
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
100-87
100
87
+13
96avg 84
A08/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
59avg 84
A16/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
65avg 84
A19/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
83-96
83
96
-13
79avg 84
H22/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
98-76
98
76
+22
91avg 84
H24/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
57-83
57
83
-26
47avg 84
A26/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
99-68
99
68
+31
100avg 84
H04/10
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
15-18
26-19
27-28
20-18
22-21
27-21
12-21
26-18
21-19
12-25
31-12
24-19
29-20
22-25
25-23
15-24
23-27
14-20
24-29
19-20
24-27
5-21
26-17
19-26
21-21
17-27
26-22
24-13
24-20
27-18
23-25
18-19
16-20
12-22
11-22
25-22
30-20
28-12
16-14
170.6Avg total
86.3Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.068.0167.0+31.0100%
Season at home (1)99.068.0167.0+31.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.384.3170.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)82.281.6163.8+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.088.9170.9-6.938%
vs Similar (5)87.288.6175.8-1.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)95.379.4174.7+15.994%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +5.4+5.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
HogsboBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A06/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A07/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A12/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
56-33
56
33
+23
H14/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
64-30
64
30
+34
A19/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H21/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H24/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A26/04
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H28/04
Superettan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A04/10
Basketligan
88.8Avg total
48.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.939.887.7+8.177%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.936.586.4+13.3100%-
Last 30 away (15)45.943.088.9+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)48.440.488.8+8.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)38.045.083.0-7.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (29)48.239.687.8+8.779%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A22/03
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H03/04
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H05/04
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A19/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H22/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H24/04
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A26/04
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H04/10
Basketligan
84.9Avg total
43.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.540.584.9+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.139.384.3+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)43.941.785.5+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)43.841.184.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.685.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.442.182.5-1.838%-
vs Similar (5)43.239.482.6+3.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.840.086.8+6.882%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.5
56.9%
52.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
34.6%39.6
🏀 Free throws15.611.0
70.5%
76.2%11.0
They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.8
54.2%
52.1%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.1
34.9%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.715.2
81.3%
76.2%15.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hogsbo
WWLWLWWLWL
BC Lulea
WLWLLLWWWW
#9
League position
#3
+11.6
Net rating
+2.8
112.9
Offensive rating
112.9
101.3
Defensive rating
110.1
55.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.5%
3-point %
34.9%
64.4%
Assist %
50.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 112.9Defence101.3 · 110.1Shooting55.8% · 53.5%3-point %36.5% · 34.9%Ball care14.4% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.9% · 27.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Hogsbo   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hogsbo wins
0
BC Lulea wins
No previous meetings.
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24ANorrkoping91-89
28/04/24HSloga Uppsala86-66
26/04/24ASloga Uppsala80-95
24/04/24HSloga Uppsala100-61
21/04/24HKFUM Fryshuset88-95
19/04/24AKFUM Fryshuset103-70
14/04/24HHelsingborg96-64
12/04/24AHelsingborg76-87
07/04/24AOckelbo101-90
06/04/24ASloga Uppsala103-111
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24HKoping Stars99-68
26/04/24ANorrkoping57-83
24/04/24HNorrkoping98-76
22/04/24HNorrkoping83-96
19/04/24ANorrkoping74-85
16/04/24ANorrkoping76-100
08/04/24ANassjo100-87
05/04/24HNassjo90-74
03/04/24HNassjo95-90 OT
22/03/24ANorrkoping91-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hogsbo
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total180.0-180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game99.099.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+31.0+31.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea110100%99.068.0+31.0
2 Boras110100%99.074.0+25.0
3 Jamtland110100%82.061.0+21.0
4 Hogsbo110100%91.089.0+2.0
5 Uppsala110100%76.075.0+1.0
6 Umea1010%75.076.0-1.0
7 Norrkoping1010%89.091.0-2.0
8 Sodertalje1010%61.082.0-21.0
9 Nassjo1010%74.099.0-25.0
10 Koping Stars1010%68.099.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hogsbo2116262790
BC Lulea1621152981
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