Nassjo vs Norrkoping Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026

Tip-off: 18:04

Projected 82-91

Projected total 173.9

Final 93-90

23-31 19-22 23-22 28-15

Position#7

Record3-7

FormWWLLL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game84.3

Nassjo 🏆

21%

79%

■ NASS 21%■ NOR 79%

Pythia win probability

Norrkoping

Position#4

Record7-3

FormWLLWW

Points / game91.7

Allowed / game83.2

Basketligan· Nassjo Sporthall

Other2026-27

Meetings · Nassjo v Norrkoping

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Nassjo will host Norrköping on 13 November 2026 in the Basketligan, and the Pythia model names Norrköping the favourite, giving them a 79% chance of victory, a reflection of their 7-3 record, 91.7 points per game and 83.2 allowed per game, compared with Nassjo's 3-7 record, 78.2 points per game and 84.3 allowed per game. Nassjo has struggled this season, winning only three of ten games, while Norrköping has won seven of ten and remains fourth in the league; the latter's road form is flawless, 4-0 with 89.5 points scored and 80.8 allowed. Nassjo's last five games included losses to Sodertalje, Koping Stars and Jamtland, and they are 2-3 at home. Norrköping's recent outings feature wins over Uppsala and Hogsbo and a loss to BC Luleå, and they are 3-2 in their last five. Historically, Norrköping has won eight of the ten meetings, most recently 89-79 on 29 September 2026. Pythia projects a final score of 82-91, a total of 173.9 points, and a 13.5-point line favouring Nassjo, with a 66% chance the home side will cover; the over on 169.5 points carries a 60% probability, and the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will test whether Nassjo can overturn their recent slump against a dominant Norrköping side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nassjo winWon

21.3%fair 4.70

Best odds6.75

Implied15.5%

Edge+5.7pp

Norrkoping winLost

78.7%fair 1.27

Best odds1.12

Implied84.5%

Edge-5.7pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 18:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nassjo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNassjo

Date

Competition

Boras

79-75

64avg 79

A25/09

Basketligan

Norrkoping

79-89

-10

72avg 79

H29/09

Basketligan

Hogsbo

#10

81-85

-4

72avg 79

A09/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

74-91

-17

66avg 79

A13/10

Basketligan

Uppsala

74-80

-6

64avg 79

H16/10

Basketligan

Umea

88-78

+10

82avg 79

H19/10

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#11

83-73

+10

78avg 79

H27/10

Basketligan

Jamtland

74-92

-18

62avg 79

A30/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

81-89

-8

no box

H06/11

Basketligan

Sodertalje

69-91

-22

no box

A10/11

Basketligan

22-19

20-19

12-18

25-19

20-21

19-27

12-25

28-16

17-17

25-23

15-28

24-17

16-21

14-28

13-25

31-17

16-28

25-24

22-21

11-7

27-25

20-17

21-19

20-17

23-19

25-10

9-21

26-23

18-25

18-30

23-19

15-18

17-21

18-18

12-28

34-22

23-16

16-28

13-19

17-28

162.5Avg total

78.2Scored

84.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	78.2	84.3	162.5	-6.1	30%
Season at home (5)	81.0	81.8	162.8	-0.8	40%
Season away (5)	75.4	86.8	162.2	-11.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.2	84.3	162.5	-6.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	84.6	163.6	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	80.0	94.9	174.9	-14.9	17%
vs Similar (6)	90.2	90.8	181.0	-0.7	50%
vs Weaker (6)	97.2	86.0	183.2	+11.2	67%

This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Norrkoping Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNorrkoping

Date

Competition

Umea

108-75

108

+33

110avg 85

H25/09

Basketligan

Nassjo

89-79

+10

85avg 85

A29/09

Basketligan

Sodertalje

85-94

-9

73avg 85

H09/10

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#11

97-90

94avg 85

A13/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

103-80

103

+23

80avg 85

H16/10

Basketligan

Boras

88-85

71avg 85

A23/10

Basketligan

Jamtland

83-86

-3

75avg 85

H26/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

80-92

-12

69avg 85

H30/10

Basketligan

Hogsbo

#10

84-69

+15

no box

A06/11

Basketligan

Uppsala

100-82

100

+18

no box

H10/11

Basketligan

29-18

25-15

27-21

21-20

27-19

25-12

16-28

17-21

19-31

25-19

24-23

21-24

28-15

20-19

28-32

22-24

14-20

38-12

29-24

22-17

33-18

16-22

17-28

23-22

22-25

21-24

17-15

16-28

27-20

13-18

24-26

20-16

22-18

14-18

28-17

25-21

26-27

28-22

21-12

174.9Avg total

91.7Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	91.7	83.2	174.9	+8.5	70%
Season at home (6)	93.2	84.8	178.0	+8.3	50%
Season away (4)	89.5	80.8	170.2	+8.8	100%
Last 10 (10)	91.7	83.2	174.9	+8.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	82.8	169.8	+4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	82.5	93.0	175.5	-10.5	0%
vs Similar (9)	84.9	87.1	172.0	-2.2	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	97.6	81.1	178.7	+16.5	84%

This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 164.5Actual: Over 164.5

Over 164.5

71.1%

@ 1.50+8.6pp

Under 164.5

28.9%

@ 2.50-8.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.47

Under

Bet365

2.50

Betano

2.45

Over/Under 169.75 · main lineActual: Over 169.75

Over 169.75

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under 169.75

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.79

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 174.5Actual: Over 174.5

Over 174.5

47.8%

@ 2.40+8.3pp

Under 174.5

52.2%

@ 1.53-8.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.27

Under

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.52

Bet365

1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Nassjo total 74.5Actual: Nassjo over 74.5

Over 74.5

77.7%

@ 1.47+15.3pp

Under 74.5

22.3%

@ 2.45-15.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.47

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.45

1xBet

2.32

Nassjo total 78.5 · main lineActual: Nassjo over 78.5

Over 78.5

64.3%

@ 1.91+15.8pp

Under 78.5

35.7%

@ 1.83-15.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Betano

1.90

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.77

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.78

Marathon Be

1.74

1xBet

1.68

Nassjo total 82.5Actual: Nassjo over 82.5

Over 82.5

49.0%

@ 2.67+14.0pp

Under 82.5

51.0%

@ 1.40-14.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.48

Under

Betano

1.40

1xBet

1.36

Norrkoping total 86.5Actual: Norrkoping over 86.5

Over 86.5

68.9%

@ 1.44+4.4pp

Under 86.5

31.1%

@ 2.69-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.44

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.32

Under

1xBet

2.69

Bet365

2.62

Betano

2.57

Norrkoping total 90.5 · main lineActual: Norrkoping under 90.5

Over 90.5

53.8%

@ 1.83-0.2pp

Under 90.5

46.2%

@ 2.07+0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.65

1xBet

1.60

Under

Betano

2.07

1xBet

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Norrkoping total 94.5Actual: Norrkoping under 94.5

Over 94.5

38.1%

@ 2.40-2.5pp

Under 94.5

61.9%

@ 1.57+2.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.22

1xBet

2.14

Under

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.52

1xBet

1.46

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Nassjo +10.5Actual: Nassjo +10.5

NASS +10.5

55.2%

@ 2.30+14.2pp

NOR -10.5

44.8%

@ 1.70-14.2pp

Best 5 market prices

NASS

Betano

2.30

Pinnacle

2.26

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.23

SBO

1.98

NOR

SBO

1.70

Pinnacle

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.53

Marathon Be

1.49

Spread Nassjo +13.5 · main lineActual: Nassjo +13.5

NASS +13.5

65.6%

@ 1.89+16.2pp

NOR -13.5

34.4%

@ 1.85-16.2pp

Best 5 market prices

NASS

Pinnacle

1.89

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

Betano

1.87

Betfair

1.83

NOR

Pinnacle

1.85

1xBet

1.84

Betfair

1.83

SBO

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Spread Nassjo +16.5Actual: Nassjo +16.5

NASS +16.5

74.7%

@ 1.60+15.7pp

NOR -16.5

25.3%

@ 2.26-15.7pp

Best 5 market prices

NASS

Betano

1.60

Pinnacle

1.57

Marathon Be

1.57

Bet365

1.57

1xBet

1.46

NOR

Pinnacle

2.26

1xBet

2.25

Bet365

2.25

Betano

2.15

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NassjoNorrkoping

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.8	45.3	-2.3	33%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	23.7	46.9	-0.4	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	23.9	43.7	-4.1	20%	47%
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.2	41.1	-1.3	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.4	24.3	44.7	-3.8	22%	56%
vs Similar (6)	24.3	25.0	49.3	-0.7	50%	67%
vs Weaker (6)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	50%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.75
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	70%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	20.4	43.7	+3.0	71%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.2	69%	62%
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.5	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	24.5	41.0	-8.0	0%	50%
vs Similar (9)	23.0	20.2	43.2	+2.8	89%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.1	20.7	43.8	+2.3	68%	68%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.4	44.7	-2.2	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.3	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	24.7	44.7	-4.7	27%	73%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	25.7	45.2	-6.1	22%	78%
vs Similar (6)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	50%	50%
vs Weaker (6)	24.0	19.7	43.7	+4.3	83%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	21.3	43.8	+1.2	47%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	23.3	20.2	43.5	+3.2	62%	54%
Last 10 (10)	24.3	20.8	45.1	+3.5	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	26.0	21.6	47.6	+4.4	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.0	25.5	48.5	-2.5	50%	100%
vs Similar (9)	21.0	22.7	43.7	-1.7	33%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	23.7	19.4	43.2	+4.3	63%	58%

NassjoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Boras

42-38

A25/09

Basketligan

Norrkoping

39-48

-9

H29/09

Basketligan

Hogsbo

#10

42-40

A09/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

30-49

-19

A13/10

Basketligan

Uppsala

41-52

-11

H16/10

Basketligan

Umea

47-42

H19/10

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#11

48-29

+19

H27/10

Basketligan

Jamtland

36-55

-19

A30/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

35-39

-4

H06/11

Basketligan

Sodertalje

39-44

-5

A10/11

Basketligan

83.5Avg total

39.9Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86
Last 30 (30)	42.8	47.2	90.0	-4.5	33%	63%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.7	45.8	91.5	-0.1	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	48.7	88.5	-8.9	20%	53%
Last 10 (10)	39.9	43.6	83.5	-3.7	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	41.0	41.8	82.8	-0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	40.0	49.9	89.9	-9.9	17%	67%
vs Similar (6)	47.8	45.5	93.3	+2.3	50%	67%
vs Weaker (6)	46.0	40.8	86.8	+5.2	67%	50%

This opponent (Norrkoping) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NorrkopingLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Umea

54-33

+21

H25/09

Basketligan

Nassjo

48-39

A29/09

Basketligan

Sodertalje

36-52

-16

H09/10

Basketligan

Sloga Uppsala

#11

49-39

+10

A13/10

Basketligan

Koping Stars

36-44

-8

H16/10

Basketligan

Boras

55-35

+20

A23/10

Basketligan

Jamtland

45-47

-2

H26/10

Basketligan

BC Lulea

43-48

-5

H30/10

Basketligan

Hogsbo

#10

42-34

A06/11

Basketligan

Uppsala

51-48

H10/11

Basketligan

87.8Avg total

45.9Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 86
Last 30 (30)	45.5	41.6	87.1	+3.8	63%	60%
Last 30 at home (17)	45.9	41.6	87.5	+4.2	65%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	44.9	41.6	86.5	+3.3	62%	54%
Last 10 (10)	45.9	41.9	87.8	+4.0	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	47.2	42.4	89.6	+4.8	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	50.0	89.5	-10.5	0%	100%
vs Similar (9)	44.0	42.9	86.9	+1.1	44%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	46.8	40.2	86.9	+6.6	79%	58%

This opponent (Nassjo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Norrkoping win

NASS win

no forecast

@ 4.28

NOR win

no forecast

@ 1.26

1st half Spread Nassjo +7.5 · main lineActual: Norrkoping -7.5

NASS +7.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

NOR -7.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 86 · main lineActual: Over 86

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Nassjo 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Nassjo over 39

Over

no forecast

@ 1.88

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

Norrkoping 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Norrkoping over 45.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half: NASS + total 85.5

NASS & over

no forecast

@ 7.00

NASS & under

no forecast

@ 6.75

1st half: Draw + total 85.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 31.00

1st half: NOR + total 85.5

NOR & over

no forecast

@ 2.55

NOR & under

no forecast

@ 2.45

1st half Over/Under 84.75Actual: Over 84.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.71

Under

no forecast

@ 1.92

1st half Over/Under 87.5Actual: Over 87.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Nassjo +6.5Actual: Norrkoping -6.5

NASS +6.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

NOR -6.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Nassjo +8.5Actual: Norrkoping -8.5

NASS +8.5

no forecast

@ 1.76

NOR -8.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.68

Under

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Spread Nassjo +5.5Actual: Norrkoping -5.5

NASS +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.27

NOR -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Nassjo +9.5Actual: Norrkoping -9.5

NASS +9.5

no forecast

@ 1.65

NOR -9.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Nassjo (regulation)

NASS

no forecast

@ 4.92

Draw

no forecast

@ 20.00

NOR

no forecast

@ 1.29

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	19.7	23.6	43.3	-3.9	30%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	22.8	42.4	-3.2	33%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	24.4	44.1	-4.7	27%	67%
Last 10 (10)	15.2	22.3	37.5	-7.1	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.9	23.3	42.3	-4.4	22%	56%
vs Similar (6)	19.2	23.5	42.7	-4.3	33%	50%
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	24.5	46.8	-2.2	50%	83%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	23.8	20.0	43.7	+3.8	60%	63%
Last 30 at home (17)	25.5	19.1	44.6	+6.4	76%	76%
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	21.1	42.5	+0.4	38%	46%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+4.0	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	50%
vs Similar (9)	20.2	22.2	42.4	-2.0	44%	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.9	19.1	45.0	+6.9	68%	68%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.4	43.9	+1.1	57%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	20.7	44.4	+2.9	67%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	47%	60%
Last 10 (10)	23.1	18.4	41.5	+4.7	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	21.1	21.7	42.7	-0.6	44%	56%
vs Similar (6)	23.2	21.8	45.0	+1.3	50%	67%
vs Weaker (6)	26.3	20.2	46.5	+6.2	100%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	23.6	22.1	45.7	+1.5	53%	77%
Last 30 at home (17)	25.1	21.2	46.4	+3.9	71%	82%
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	23.2	44.8	-1.7	31%	69%
Last 10 (10)	23.1	22.6	45.7	+0.5	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.0	24.5	48.5	-0.5	50%	100%
vs Similar (9)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	44%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	24.9	21.9	46.8	+3.0	58%	79%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	42.2	45.0	87.2	-2.8	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	43.5	86.8	-0.3	47%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	41.1	46.5	87.6	-5.3	33%	60%
Last 10 (10)	38.3	40.7	79.0	-2.4	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.0	42.8	80.8	-4.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	40.0	45.0	85.0	-5.0	39%	44%
vs Similar (6)	42.3	45.3	87.7	-3.0	17%	67%
vs Weaker (6)	48.7	44.7	93.3	+4.0	67%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83.5
Last 30 (30)	47.3	42.1	89.4	+5.3	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	50.6	40.4	91.0	+10.3	71%	82%
Last 30 away (13)	43.0	44.3	87.3	-1.3	31%	46%
Last 10 (10)	45.8	41.3	87.1	+4.5	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.8	40.4	80.2	-0.6	40%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	50%
vs Similar (9)	40.9	44.2	85.1	-3.3	11%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	50.8	40.9	91.8	+9.9	74%	68%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

NASS win + total 169.5

🔒 Pro

NOR win + total 169.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NASS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: NOR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (NASS:NOR): NASS wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Nassjo over 77	70.3%	1.73	Marathon Bet 1.73	-	-	-	-	+17.7pp	Won
Nassjo +17	76.8%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+16.4pp	Won
Nassjo +19.5	82.2%	1.39	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
Nassjo +17.5	77.4%	1.47	Betano 1.52	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
Nassjo +20.5	84.3%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+15.9pp	Won
Nassjo over 76.5	71.4%	1.60	Betano 1.65	1xBet 1.56	-	-	-	+15.9pp	Won
Nassjo +15	71.0%	1.69	Marathon Bet 1.70	Pinnacle 1.68	Bet365 1.68	-	-	+15.8pp	Won
Nassjo +16.5	74.7%	1.55	Betano 1.60	Pinnacle 1.57	Marathon Bet 1.57	Bet365 1.57	1xBet 1.46	+15.7pp	Won
Nassjo +16	74.0%	1.60	Marathon Bet 1.61	Bet365 1.60	Pinnacle 1.58	-	-	+15.5pp	Won
Nassjo over 75.5	74.6%	1.51	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.52	1xBet 1.47	-	-	+15.4pp	Won
Nassjo +18.5	79.9%	1.40	Betano 1.45	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.31	-	-	+15.4pp	Won
Nassjo over 74.5	77.7%	1.44	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+15.3pp	Won
Nassjo +15.5	71.9%	1.63	Betano 1.67	Marathon Bet 1.66	Bet365 1.66	Pinnacle 1.63	1xBet 1.54	+15.0pp	Won
Nassjo +21.5	86.3%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
Nassjo over 73.5	80.6%	1.37	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+14.9pp	Won
Nassjo over 72.5	83.2%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Nassjo +23.5	89.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Over 162.5	75.2%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Over 159.5	80.7%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Over 164.5	71.1%	1.48	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Over 163.5	73.2%	1.42	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Over 154.5	88.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Norrkoping over 80.5	86.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Norrkoping over 70.5	98.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Over 149.5	93.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Norrkoping over 71.5	97.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Norrkoping over 74.5	95.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Over 144.5	96.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Norrkoping over 72.5	96.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Norrkoping over 81.5	83.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Norrkoping over 82.5	81.3%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Norrkoping over 76.5	93.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Norrkoping over 78.5	90.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Norrkoping over 84.5	75.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Norrkoping under 97.5	72.6%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Overtime: no	96.2%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Norrkoping under 98.5	75.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Norrkoping +11.5	95.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Nassjo under 99.5	94.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Norrkoping over 85.5	72.4%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Nassjo under 98.5	93.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Nassjo under 97.5	92.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Norrkoping +6.5	90.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Under 194.5	89.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Nassjo under 95.5	89.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Nassjo under 93.5	85.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Under 189.5	82.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Won
Nassjo under 91.5	81.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-5.0pp	Lost
Under 184.5	74.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-5.1pp	Won
Norrkoping win	78.7%	1.09	WilliamHill 1.12	Betano 1.10	Betfair 1.10	Bet365 1.09	BetVictor 1.08	-5.7pp	Lost
Norrkoping (regulation)	76.5%	1.09	Betano 1.12	Marathon Bet 1.08	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-6.2pp	Lost
Norrkoping +1.5	80.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-6.5pp	Lost
Nassjo under 89.5	75.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-6.6pp	Lost
Nassjo under 88.5	72.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.8pp	Lost
Norrkoping -3.5	70.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-8.7pp	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Nassjotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nassjo: 80.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game

48%

32%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.9	20.1	51.7%	52.7%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.1	8.2	35.5%	33.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	21.9	15.2	69.4%	74.1%	15.2

They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Norrkopingtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norrkoping: 87.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game

48%

32%

20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	19.2	52.3%	52.7%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	11.0	37.0%	33.9%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.4	76.6%	74.1%	16.4

They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.5	16.4	52.1%	52.7%	32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	11.8	38.3%	33.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	23.7	17.4	73.4%	74.1%	17.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	17.1	52.9%	52.7%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	10.6	37.5%	33.9%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	26.0	19.4	74.6%	74.1%	19.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	22.0	54.7%	52.7%	44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	8.8	36.7%	33.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	21.1	15.5	73.5%	74.1%	15.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	20.0	56.1%	52.7%	40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.6	11.6	35.7%	33.9%	34.9
🏀 Free throws	22.9	17.0	74.1%	74.1%	17.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	20.2	56.2%	52.7%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	11.8	37.8%	33.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	21.9	16.1	73.6%	74.1%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	19.5	52.3%	52.7%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	9.9	36.8%	33.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.5	75.2%	74.1%	15.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Nassjo

LLLWWLLLLW

Norrkoping

WWLLWWWLWW

League position

-6.5

Net rating

+2.8

93.2

Offensive rating

101.5

99.7

Defensive rating

98.7

52.3%

Effective FG%

53.8%

54.7%

Opp. effective FG%

54.5%

16.1%

Turnover %

13.3%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.32

35.5%

3-point %

37.0%

55.5%

Assist %

53.6%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Nassjo ■ Norrkoping

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nassjo wins

Norrkoping wins

Date	Game	Score
29/09/26	Nassjo v Norrkoping	79-89
30/03/26	Nassjo v Norrkoping	82-113
28/03/26	Nassjo v Norrkoping	86-80
23/03/26	Norrkoping v Nassjo	118-88
21/03/26	Norrkoping v Nassjo	119-68
17/02/26	Nassjo v Norrkoping	87-91
14/11/25	Norrkoping v Nassjo	110-91
17/10/25	Norrkoping v Nassjo	108-65
07/02/25	Nassjo v Norrkoping	99-91
30/12/24	Norrkoping v Nassjo	106-76

Nassjolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	A	Sodertalje	69-91
06/11/26	H	Koping Stars	81-89
30/10/26	A	Jamtland	74-92
27/10/26	H	Sloga Uppsala	83-73
19/10/26	H	Umea	88-78
16/10/26	H	Uppsala	74-80
13/10/26	A	BC Lulea	74-91
09/10/26	A	Hogsbo	81-85
29/09/26	H	Norrkoping	79-89
25/09/26	A	Boras	79-75

Norrkopinglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	H	Uppsala	100-82
06/11/26	A	Hogsbo	84-69
30/10/26	H	BC Lulea	80-92
26/10/26	H	Jamtland	83-86
23/10/26	A	Boras	88-85
16/10/26	H	Koping Stars	103-80
13/10/26	A	Sloga Uppsala	97-90
09/10/26	H	Sodertalje	85-94
29/09/26	A	Nassjo	89-79
25/09/26	H	Umea	108-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nassjo

Basketligan 2026-27

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	30%
Home	LLWWL	40%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	30%	40%	20%
Points / game	78.2	81.0	75.4
Allowed / game	84.3	81.8	86.8
Point differential	-6.1	-0.8	-11.4
Avg total	162.5	162.8	162.2
Over 169.75	10%	20%	0%
Win by 10+	20%	40%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Norrkoping

Basketligan 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	70%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	6	4
Win %	70%	50%	100%
Points / game	91.7	93.2	89.5
Allowed / game	83.2	84.8	80.8
Point differential	+8.5	+8.3	+8.8
Avg total	174.9	178.0	170.2
Over 169.75	70%	83%	50%
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sodertalje	10	9	1	90%	88.0	74.2	+13.8
2	BC Lulea	10	8	2	80%	97.6	82.7	+14.9
3	Jamtland	10	8	2	80%	91.0	82.4	+8.6
4	Norrkoping	10	7	3	70%	91.7	83.2	+8.5
5	Boras	10	6	4	60%	87.3	83.6	+3.7
6	Koping Stars	10	4	6	40%	86.5	87.8	-1.3
7	Uppsala	10	4	6	40%	74.9	87.4	-12.5
8	Nassjo	10	3	7	30%	78.2	84.3	-6.1
9	Hogsbo	9	2	7	22%	81.1	89.0	-7.9
10	Sloga Uppsala	10	2	8	20%	80.7	94.0	-13.3
11	Umea	9	1	8	11%	77.8	88.0	-10.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nassjo	23	19	23	28	93
Norrkoping	31	22	22	15	90

← all games of the day

Nassjo vs Norrkoping Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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