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Natacao W vs Benfica W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 37-74
14-25 12-17 8-20 3-12
Position#11
Record2-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.1
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#2
Record13-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game56.4
PortugalLFB WomenRound 18· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2024-25
Meetings · Natacao W v Benfica W
26 Feb 2025
NATA37
BENF74
03 Feb 2024
NATA41
BENF64
02 Oct 2022
NATA48
BENF58
27 Dec 2020
NATA40
BENF97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 49
A04/12
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 49
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
50-75
50
75
-25
36avg 49
A14/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#5
L
68-75
68
75
-7
52avg 49
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#6
L
48-67
48
67
-19
36avg 49
A29/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 49
A05/01
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
65-89
65
89
-24
55avg 49
H11/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
62-85
62
85
-23
48avg 49
A19/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
52-70
52
70
-18
38avg 49
H01/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
54-87
54
87
-33
37avg 49
A15/02
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
15-19
25-11
16-21
18-19
11-21
26-23
22-22
11-28
12-22
11-8
16-17
12-15
24-21
16-19
16-20
14-12
10-22
8-10
16-23
12-29
9-21
17-15
13-15
24-26
11-16
21-24
9-23
17-24
13-17
10-20
22-24
10-19
8-20
15-16
19-15
12-20
9-21
17-22
16-24
138.0Avg total
59.4Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)60.179.9140.0-19.812%
Season at home (8)64.876.4141.1-11.625%
Season away (9)56.083.0139.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)59.478.6138.0-19.20%
Last 5 (5)56.882.2139.0-25.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)57.876.4134.2-18.712%
vs Similar (4)70.562.2132.8+8.2100%
vs Weaker (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 65
A08/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
90-33
90
33
+57
90avg 65
H15/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#15
W
65-47
65
47
+18
56avg 65
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
43avg 65
A29/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
91-47
91
47
+44
94avg 65
H05/01
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
95-52
95
52
+43
97avg 65
A12/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
74-62
74
62
+12
73avg 65
H19/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
68-73
68
73
-5
59avg 65
A01/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
66-73
66
73
-7
58avg 65
H16/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#8
W
78-44
78
44
+34
83avg 65
H22/02
Taca de Portugal Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
16-28
14-13
20-12
26-2
25-11
16-14
23-6
17-18
12-10
16-11
20-8
15-9
13-12
11-14
21-22
25-18
23-11
27-8
16-10
21-6
32-17
23-18
19-11
18-13
19-11
16-22
21-16
15-12
14-22
20-22
19-17
22-18
10-23
20-15
14-17
22-8
21-12
16-14
19-10
132.0Avg total
75.5Scored
56.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.956.4135.3+22.676%
Season at home (9)84.450.7135.1+33.889%
Season away (8)72.862.8135.5+10.062%
Last 10 (10)75.556.5132.0+19.070%
Last 5 (5)76.260.8137.0+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)58.670.7129.3-12.129%
vs Similar (1)73.063.0136.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.656.5135.1+22.175%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +6.3+6.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: +6.3+6.3
Natacao WBenfica W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A04/12
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A14/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#6
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A29/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A05/01
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A19/01
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H01/02
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A15/02
LFB Women
67.7Avg total
26.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.937.567.4-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.233.364.5-2.127%-
Last 30 away (15)28.641.770.3-13.17%-
Last 10 (10)26.341.467.7-15.10%-
Last 5 (5)25.042.667.6-17.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)27.838.966.8-11.18%-
vs Similar (4)41.029.070.0+12.075%-
vs Weaker (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#7
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A08/12
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
W
51-13
51
13
+38
H15/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Barcelos W
#8
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A29/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H05/01
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
53-23
53
23
+30
A12/01
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H19/01
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A01/02
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/02
LFB Women
Galitos W
#8
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H22/02
Taca de Portugal Women
66.9Avg total
38.4Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.830.567.3+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.928.367.2+10.675%-
Last 30 away (14)34.333.167.4+1.264%-
Last 10 (10)38.428.566.9+9.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.828.467.2+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.638.069.6-6.429%-
vs Similar (1)41.032.073.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.228.667.8+10.780%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 58.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.115.7
40.2%
43.4%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.64.6
20.4%
29.8%13.8
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
72.2%13.0
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benfica Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica W: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.818.4
43.0%
43.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.48.1
37.9%
29.8%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.413.6
78.2%
72.2%13.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LLLLLLLLLL
Benfica W
WLLWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#2
-26.1
Net rating
+25.6
76.8
Offensive rating
100.6
102.9
Defensive rating
75.0
36.6%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
35.8%
25.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
20.4%
3-point %
37.9%
59.1%
Assist %
64.2%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence76.8 · 100.6Defence102.9 · 75.0Shooting36.6% · 47.6%3-point %20.4% · 37.9%Ball care25.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Natacao W   ■ Benfica W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Natacao W wins
8
Benfica W wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24Benfica W v Natacao W101-40
03/02/24Natacao W v Benfica W41-64
29/10/23Benfica W v Natacao W67-53
11/03/23Benfica W v Natacao W57-44
11/12/22Benfica W v Natacao W71-57
02/10/22Natacao W v Benfica W48-58
06/03/21Benfica W v Natacao W102-39
27/12/20Natacao W v Benfica W40-97
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/25AImortal W54-87
01/02/25HEsgueira W52-70
19/01/25ACAB Madeira W62-85
11/01/25HSanjoanense W65-89
05/01/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W51-80
29/12/24AGalitos W48-67
21/12/24HImortal W68-75
14/12/24AGdessa Barreiro W50-75
08/12/24HAD Vagos W77-85
04/12/24AUniao Sportiva W67-73
Benfica Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HGalitos W78-44
16/02/25HQuinta Dos Lombos W66-73
01/02/25AGalitos W68-73
19/01/25HGdessa Barreiro W74-62
12/01/25AAD Vagos W95-52
05/01/25HUniao Sportiva W91-47
29/12/24ABarcelos W60-57
22/12/24AUniao Sportiva W65-47
15/12/24HSanjoanense W90-33
08/12/24AImortal W68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game60.164.856.0
Allowed / game79.976.483.0
Point differential-19.8-11.6-27.0
Avg total140.0141.1139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL76%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %76%89%62%
Points / game78.984.472.8
Allowed / game56.450.762.8
Point differential+22.6+33.8+10.0
Avg total135.3135.1135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%89%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W1716194%74.760.4+14.3
2 Benfica W1713476%78.956.4+22.6
3 Gdessa Barreiro W1812667%69.762.7+6.9
4 Galitos W1812667%65.964.9+1.1
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W1811761%72.062.4+9.6
6 Uniao Sportiva W1811761%63.662.4+1.2
7 Imortal W189950%71.468.9+2.5
8 Barcelos W1881044%69.673.3-3.7
9 Sanjoanense W1761135%65.670.5-4.9
10 CAB Madeira W1851328%65.471.2-5.8
11 Natacao W1721512%60.179.9-19.8
12 AD Vagos W181176%58.481.7-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W14128337
Benfica W2517201274
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