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Natacao W vs Benfica W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 41-64
12-18 8-10 9-22 12-14
Position#8
Record6-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game70.5
Natacao W
Portugal
vs
Benfica W 🏆
Portugal
Position#2
Record10-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game64.2
PortugalLFB WomenRound 17· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Meetings · Natacao W v Benfica W
26 Feb 2025
NATA37
BENF74
03 Feb 2024
NATA41
BENF64
02 Oct 2022
NATA48
BENF58
27 Dec 2020
NATA40
BENF97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
63-68
63
68
-5
56avg 52
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 52
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
42-77
42
77
-35
20avg 52
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 52
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
65-53
65
53
+12
57avg 52
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 52
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 52
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
44-70
44
70
-26
31avg 52
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 52
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
77-49
77
49
+28
72avg 52
H06/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-8
14-21
14-20
20-19
19-20
7-12
10-15
17-20
7-21
18-23
3-22
14-11
26-14
17-12
19-20
5-14
13-11
15-18
17-17
20-7
22-16
23-22
16-30
14-21
31-21
20-21
12-23
19-19
12-15
13-14
9-23
10-18
4-21
23-24
15-18
8-23
25-7
9-13
14-15
29-14
132.1Avg total
61.8Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)63.170.5133.6-7.443%
Season at home (7)63.968.9132.7-5.043%
Season away (7)62.472.1134.6-9.743%
Last 10 (10)61.870.3132.1-8.530%
Last 5 (5)65.675.6141.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)61.370.7132.0-9.532%
vs Similar (8)64.567.9132.4-3.438%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Caledonia Gladiators W
#21
L
53-64
53
64
-11
35avg 52
H23/11
EuroCup Women
Galitos W
#10
W
85-62
85
62
+23
80avg 52
A26/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
61-81
61
81
-20
46avg 52
H03/12
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
66-52
66
52
+14
54avg 52
A08/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
46-55
46
55
-9
25avg 52
H10/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
65-60
65
60
+5
52avg 52
A22/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
67-56
67
56
+11
56avg 52
A05/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
73-58
73
58
+15
71avg 52
A07/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#7
W
63-42
63
42
+21
no box
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
70-60
70
60
+10
63avg 52
H21/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
15-24
10-11
17-14
22-21
20-17
18-11
25-13
10-18
16-19
18-25
17-19
17-13
14-17
14-11
21-11
15-20
6-10
12-10
13-15
23-27
18-12
12-15
12-6
18-16
21-20
14-10
14-10
19-19
19-17
18-9
17-13
19-13
11-10
14-16
19-3
12-16
22-16
19-16
17-12
123.9Avg total
64.9Scored
59.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.664.2131.8+3.362%
Season at home (7)62.664.3126.9-1.743%
Season away (9)71.464.2135.7+7.278%
Last 10 (10)64.959.0123.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)67.655.2122.8+12.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.470.2125.6-14.80%
vs Similar (4)68.872.2141.0-3.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)67.257.8125.0+9.475%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +5.6+5.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +5.6+5.6
Natacao WBenfica W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H06/01
LFB Women
66.7Avg total
33.3Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.433.665.0-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.831.963.8-0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)31.134.865.9-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)33.333.466.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.871.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.834.965.7-4.132%-
vs Similar (8)33.833.567.2+0.238%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Benfica W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Benfica WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caledonia Gladiators W
#21
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H23/11
EuroCup Women
Galitos W
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A26/11
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H03/12
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
21-30
21
30
-9
H10/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A22/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/01
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#7
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A14/01
Taca de Portugal Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H21/01
LFB Women
66.8Avg total
32.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.263.8+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.229.662.8+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)32.132.764.9-0.653%-
Last 10 (10)32.834.066.8-1.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.433.269.6+3.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.234.261.4-7.00%-
vs Similar (4)35.035.870.8-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)33.729.963.6+3.875%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.713.0
37.5%
43.3%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.5
28.5%
28.2%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
72.6%12.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benfica Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica W: 63.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.716.0
41.3%
43.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.7
30.1%
28.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws12.98.8
68.2%
72.6%8.8
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
WLLLLWWLLL
Benfica W
WWWWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#2
-11.8
Net rating
+3.3
84.3
Offensive rating
92.2
96.1
Defensive rating
88.9
39.8%
Effective FG%
42.8%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.8%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.20
28.5%
3-point %
30.1%
61.0%
Assist %
57.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.3 · 92.2Defence96.1 · 88.9Shooting39.8% · 42.8%3-point %28.5% · 30.1%Ball care20.5% · 17.8%Off. rebounds26.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Natacao W   ■ Benfica W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Natacao W wins
6
Benfica W wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Benfica W v Natacao W67-53
11/03/23Benfica W v Natacao W57-44
11/12/22Benfica W v Natacao W71-57
02/10/22Natacao W v Benfica W48-58
06/03/21Benfica W v Natacao W102-39
27/12/20Natacao W v Benfica W40-97
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HImortal W77-49
29/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W50-86
22/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W44-70
08/12/23HBarcelos W82-84
03/12/23ACDEFF W75-89
02/12/23ACAB Madeira W65-53
18/11/23HGalitos W67-60
04/11/23HUniao Sportiva W42-77
29/10/23ABenfica W53-67
21/10/23HACD Ferragudo W63-68
Benfica Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HBarcelos W70-60
14/01/24ACAB Madeira W63-42
07/01/24ACAB Madeira W73-58
05/01/24ACDEFF W67-56
22/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W65-60
10/12/23HImortal W46-55
08/12/23AACD Ferragudo W66-52
03/12/23HUniao Sportiva W61-81
26/11/23AGalitos W85-62
23/11/23HCaledonia Gladiators W53-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game63.163.962.4
Allowed / game70.568.972.1
Point differential-7.4-5.0-9.7
Avg total133.6132.7134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%43%78%
Points / game67.662.671.4
Allowed / game64.264.364.2
Point differential+3.3-1.7+7.2
Avg total131.8126.9135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %19%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W1614288%72.057.1+14.9
2 Gdessa Barreiro W1613381%67.357.2+10.1
3 Esgueira W1510567%68.562.3+6.3
4 Benfica W1610662%67.664.2+3.3
5 Imortal W169756%65.263.3+1.9
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W168850%65.460.8+4.6
7 CAB Madeira W167944%63.368.3-5.0
8 Natacao W146843%63.170.5-7.4
9 Barcelos W1661038%69.673.9-4.3
10 CDEFF W1641225%63.470.1-6.7
11 Galitos W1641225%57.466.8-9.4
12 ACD Ferragudo W1531220%61.571.0-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W12891241
Benfica W1810221464
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