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Natacao W vs Imortal W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-49
25-7 9-13 14-15 29-14
Position#8
Record5-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game62.1
Allowed / game72.2
Natacao W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Imortal W
Portugal
Position#6
Record8-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game61.3
PortugalLFB WomenRound 15· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Meetings · Natacao W v Imortal W
21 Dec 2024
NATA68
IMOR75
16 Nov 2024
NATA79
IMOR72
06 Jan 2024
NATA77
IMOR49
15 Jan 2023
NATA36
IMOR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Imortal W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
66avg 51
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
L
63-68
63
68
-5
56avg 51
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
53-67
53
67
-14
39avg 51
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
42-77
42
77
-35
20avg 51
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
67-60
67
60
+7
63avg 51
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
65-53
65
53
+12
57avg 51
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
75-89
75
89
-14
63avg 51
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 51
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
44-70
44
70
-26
31avg 51
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
50-86
50
86
-36
34avg 51
A29/12
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
12-23
22-14
12-17
15-8
14-21
14-20
20-19
19-20
7-12
10-15
17-20
7-21
18-23
3-22
14-11
26-14
17-12
19-20
5-14
13-11
15-18
17-17
20-7
22-16
23-22
16-30
14-21
31-21
20-21
12-23
19-19
12-15
13-14
9-23
10-18
4-21
23-24
15-18
8-23
133.0Avg total
61.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)62.172.2134.2-10.138%
Season at home (6)61.772.2133.8-10.533%
Season away (7)62.472.1134.6-9.743%
Last 10 (10)61.171.9133.0-10.830%
Last 5 (5)63.276.4139.6-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)60.370.9131.3-10.632%
vs Similar (8)64.567.9132.4-3.438%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (Imortal W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Imortal WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Natacao W
#8
L
65-70
65
70
-5
50avg 60
H15/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
L
67-72 OT
67
72
-5
no box
A22/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
W
70-64
70
64
+6
70avg 60
A29/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
79-47
79
47
+32
80avg 60
H04/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
75avg 60
H18/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
62-64
62
64
-2
51avg 60
A26/11
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
52-59
52
59
-7
43avg 60
H03/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
70avg 60
A08/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
W
55-46
55
46
+9
53avg 60
A10/12
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
38avg 60
A21/12
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-24
23-12
14-22
17-12
17-14
13-14
17-12
14-21
16-19
23-10
18-22
13-13
18-9
28-17
12-10
21-11
23-15
19-8
18-17
11-20
12-12
14-12
13-18
23-22
19-17
14-13
13-12
6-17
21-20
18-12
12-24
23-13
20-15
10-6
10-12
15-13
12-16
19-15
15-10
10-14
125.7Avg total
65.1Scored
60.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)66.161.3127.4+4.862%
Season at home (6)65.859.2125.0+6.750%
Season away (7)66.363.1129.4+3.171%
Last 10 (10)65.160.6125.7+4.560%
Last 5 (5)59.858.6118.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)58.165.7123.8-7.625%
vs Similar (5)69.064.6133.6+4.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)71.064.6135.6+6.462%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
Natacao WImortal W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal W
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/10
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H21/10
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A29/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-44
25
44
-19
H04/11
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H18/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A02/12
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A03/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A22/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/12
LFB Women
68.3Avg total
33.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.765.0-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.532.363.8-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)31.134.865.9-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)33.534.868.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.635.265.8-4.532%-
vs Similar (8)33.833.567.2+0.238%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Imortal W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Imortal WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Natacao W
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#10
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A22/10
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A29/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H04/11
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H18/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A26/11
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H03/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A10/12
LFB Women
ACD Ferragudo W
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
LFB Women
63.0Avg total
35.0Scored
28.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.733.265.9-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.932.765.6+0.231%-
Last 30 away (17)32.533.666.2-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.028.063.0+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)31.827.659.4+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.533.763.2-4.231%-
vs Similar (5)35.033.468.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.631.869.4+5.962%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 59.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.212.7
37.1%
43.3%25.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.6
28.3%
28.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.7
72.7%
72.6%11.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Imortal Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Imortal W: 65.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.5
43.8%
43.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.4
29.1%
28.2%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.312.8
78.5%
72.6%12.8
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LLLLWWLLLW
Imortal W
WWWLLWWWLL
#8
League position
#6
-15.5
Net rating
+9.0
82.8
Offensive rating
87.8
98.3
Defensive rating
78.7
39.4%
Effective FG%
43.7%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
38.8%
21.1%
Turnover %
22.2%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.3%
3-point %
29.1%
63.1%
Assist %
62.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence82.8 · 87.8Defence98.3 · 78.7Shooting39.4% · 43.7%3-point %28.3% · 29.1%Ball care21.1% · 22.2%Off. rebounds26.5% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Natacao W   ■ Imortal W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Natacao W wins
2
Imortal W wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Imortal W v Natacao W65-70
15/01/23Natacao W v Imortal W36-61
22/10/22Imortal W v Natacao W69-54
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W50-86
22/12/23AGdessa Barreiro W44-70
08/12/23HBarcelos W82-84
03/12/23ACDEFF W75-89
02/12/23ACAB Madeira W65-53
18/11/23HGalitos W67-60
04/11/23HUniao Sportiva W42-77
29/10/23ABenfica W53-67
21/10/23HACD Ferragudo W63-68
15/10/23AImortal W70-65
Imortal Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AACD Ferragudo W56-55
10/12/23ABenfica W55-46
08/12/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W74-69
03/12/23HEsgueira W52-59
26/11/23AGdessa Barreiro W62-64
18/11/23HCAB Madeira W71-60
04/11/23HCDEFF W79-47
29/10/23AUniao Sportiva W70-64
22/10/23AGalitos W67-72 OT
15/10/23HNatacao W65-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game62.161.762.4
Allowed / game72.272.272.1
Point differential-10.1-10.5-9.7
Avg total134.2133.8134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Imortal W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %62%50%71%
Points / game66.165.866.3
Allowed / game61.359.263.1
Point differential+4.8+6.7+3.1
Avg total127.4125.0129.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uniao Sportiva W1412286%72.455.9+16.6
2 Gdessa Barreiro W1412286%66.155.9+10.2
3 Imortal W138562%66.161.3+4.8
4 Esgueira W138562%67.463.2+4.2
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W148657%65.759.9+5.9
6 Benfica W148657%67.065.0+2.0
7 CAB Madeira W147750%64.167.5-3.4
8 Natacao W135838%62.172.2-10.1
9 Barcelos W134931%69.675.2-5.5
10 CDEFF W1441029%62.468.3-5.9
11 Galitos W1441029%57.466.2-8.8
12 ACD Ferragudo W1421214%60.070.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W259142977
Imortal W713151449
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